Betting Edge

Built around the spread, because that is the market this sport trades on.

Read this first

Our model does not beat the closing line. Walk-forward tested on 1999-2025, 6967 games: the market’s mean absolute error is 10.26 points, ours is 11.06. Model-preferred sides went 49.93% against the spread where 52.38% is break-even. Nothing below is a tip. Full methodology.