2004 · League
Team statistics
Every team, every category, sortable. Efficiency figures are computed from play-by-play.
Record, scoring, and the opponent-adjusted net rating the model runs on.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Net | PPG | PAPG | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steelers | 15 | 1 | 372 | 251 | 121 | 23.25 | 15.69 | +0.126 |
| 2 | Patriots | 14 | 2 | 437 | 260 | 177 | 27.31 | 16.25 | +0.187 |
| 3 | Eagles | 13 | 3 | 386 | 260 | 126 | 24.13 | 16.25 | +0.053 |
| 4 | Colts | 12 | 4 | 522 | 351 | 171 | 32.63 | 21.94 | +0.131 |
| 5 | Chargers | 12 | 4 | 446 | 313 | 133 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Falcons | 11 | 5 | 340 | 337 | 3 | 21.25 | 21.06 | -0.020 |
| 7 | Broncos | 10 | 6 | 381 | 304 | 77 | 23.81 | 19.00 | +0.122 |
| 8 | Packers | 10 | 6 | 424 | 380 | 44 | 26.50 | 23.75 | +0.092 |
| 9 | Jets | 10 | 6 | 333 | 261 | 72 | 20.81 | 16.31 | +0.018 |
| 10 | Ravens | 9 | 7 | 317 | 268 | 49 | 19.81 | 16.75 | +0.012 |
| 11 | Bills | 9 | 7 | 395 | 284 | 111 | 24.69 | 17.75 | +0.107 |
| 12 | Jaguars | 9 | 7 | 261 | 280 | -19 | 16.31 | 17.50 | -0.034 |
| 13 | Seahawks | 9 | 7 | 371 | 373 | -2 | 23.19 | 23.31 | -0.010 |
| 14 | Bengals | 8 | 8 | 374 | 372 | 2 | 23.38 | 23.25 | -0.004 |
| 15 | Vikings | 8 | 8 | 405 | 395 | 10 | 25.31 | 24.69 | +0.039 |
| 16 | Saints | 8 | 8 | 348 | 405 | -57 | 21.75 | 25.31 | -0.024 |
| 17 | Rams | 8 | 8 | 319 | 392 | -73 | — | — | — |
| 18 | Panthers | 7 | 9 | 355 | 339 | 16 | 22.19 | 21.19 | +0.076 |
| 19 | Texans | 7 | 9 | 309 | 339 | -30 | 19.31 | 21.19 | +0.017 |
| 20 | Chiefs | 7 | 9 | 483 | 435 | 48 | 30.19 | 27.19 | +0.023 |
| 21 | Cardinals | 6 | 10 | 284 | 322 | -38 | 17.75 | 20.13 | +0.008 |
| 22 | Cowboys | 6 | 10 | 293 | 405 | -112 | 18.31 | 25.31 | -0.072 |
| 23 | Lions | 6 | 10 | 296 | 350 | -54 | 18.50 | 21.88 | -0.063 |
| 24 | Giants | 6 | 10 | 303 | 347 | -44 | 18.94 | 21.69 | -0.073 |
| 25 | Commanders | 6 | 10 | 240 | 265 | -25 | 15.00 | 16.56 | +0.009 |
| 26 | Bears | 5 | 11 | 231 | 331 | -100 | 14.44 | 20.69 | -0.135 |
| 27 | Raiders | 5 | 11 | 320 | 442 | -122 | — | — | — |
| 28 | Buccaneers | 5 | 11 | 301 | 304 | -3 | 18.81 | 19.00 | +0.007 |
| 29 | Titans | 5 | 11 | 344 | 439 | -95 | 21.50 | 27.44 | -0.086 |
| 30 | Browns | 4 | 12 | 276 | 390 | -114 | 17.25 | 24.38 | -0.169 |
| 31 | Dolphins | 4 | 12 | 275 | 354 | -79 | 17.19 | 22.13 | -0.104 |
| 32 | 49ers | 2 | 14 | 259 | 452 | -193 | 16.19 | 28.25 | -0.209 |
Click a column to sort. League leader in each column is highlighted. Hover a header for the full definition.
Betting
Against the spread
Settled against closing lines. Situational splits: venue, favourite/underdog, division. 52.4% beats standard -110 juice; nothing here is predictive on its own.
| # | Team | ATS | ATS% | COVER± | HOME | AWAY | FAV | DOG | DIV | O/U | TOT± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chargers | 13-2-1 | 86.7% | +9.28 | 6-1-1 | 7-1 | 5-0-1 | 8-2 | 4-1-1 | 9-7 | +1.91 |
| 2 | Patriots | 11-3-2 | 78.6% | +4.88 | 5-1-2 | 6-2 | 9-3-2 | 1-0 | 4-1-1 | 8-7-1 | +1.88 |
| 3 | Bills | 11-5 | 68.8% | +5.78 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 7-2 | 4-3 | 4-2 | 11-5 | +6.38 |
| 4 | Steelers | 11-5 | 68.8% | +5.78 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 6-4 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 8-8 | +1.50 |
| 5 | Panthers | 10-6 | 62.5% | +1.25 | 3-5 | 7-1 | 3-5 | 7-1 | 4-2 | 7-9 | +1.75 |
| 6 | Jaguars | 10-6 | 62.5% | -0.12 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 3-3 | 7-3 | 2-4 | 4-12 | -5.03 |
| 7 | Colts | 9-6-1 | 60.0% | +5.34 | 5-3 | 4-3-1 | 9-5 | 0-1-1 | 4-2 | 11-5 | +3.97 |
| 8 | Cardinals | 9-7 | 56.3% | +1.28 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 2-1 | 7-6 | 4-2 | 9-7 | -1.28 |
| 9 | Ravens | 9-7 | 56.3% | +0.91 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 7-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8-8 | +0.63 |
| 10 | Eagles | 9-7 | 56.3% | +2.09 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 5-11 | -1.56 |
| 11 | Lions | 8-7-1 | 53.3% | -1.47 | 3-4-1 | 5-3 | 2-3-1 | 6-4 | 4-1-1 | 7-9 | -1.78 |
| 12 | Texans | 8-7-1 | 53.3% | +1.00 | 4-3-1 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 6-5-1 | 5-1 | 6-9-1 | -4.41 |
| 13 | Jets | 8-7-1 | 53.3% | +1.38 | 4-4 | 4-3-1 | 8-4 | 0-2-1 | 2-3-1 | 7-9 | -2.28 |
| 14 | Broncos | 7-7-2 | 50.0% | -0.75 | 4-4 | 3-3-2 | 7-7-1 | 0-0-1 | 3-2-1 | 6-9-1 | -0.87 |
| 15 | Saints | 8-8 | 50.0% | -0.87 | 2-6 | 6-2 | 1-3 | 7-5 | 4-2 | 7-9 | +0.56 |
| 16 | Giants | 8-8 | 50.0% | +0.38 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 7-9 | +1.38 |
| 17 | Commanders | 8-8 | 50.0% | -0.78 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 5-2 | 2-4 | 4-12 | -5.22 |
| 18 | Packers | 7-8-1 | 46.7% | +1.06 | 2-6 | 5-2-1 | 3-6-1 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 11-5 | +5.22 |
| 19 | Falcons | 7-9 | 43.8% | -1.47 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 5-11 | -0.28 |
| 20 | Bengals | 7-9 | 43.8% | +2.00 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 9-7 | +6.25 |
| 21 | Cowboys | 7-9 | 43.8% | -5.50 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 9-7 | +3.16 |
| 22 | Dolphins | 7-9 | 43.8% | -0.31 | 2-6 | 5-3 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1-5 | 9-6-1 | +2.84 |
| 23 | Vikings | 7-9 | 43.8% | -3.22 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5-8 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 8-8 | +0.88 |
| 24 | Bears | 6-9-1 | 40.0% | -1.66 | 2-6 | 4-3-1 | 1-4 | 5-5-1 | 3-2-1 | 6-10 | -2.03 |
| 25 | Browns | 6-10 | 37.5% | -1.62 | 4-4 | 2-6 | 1-0 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 7-9 | +3.25 |
| 26 | Chiefs | 6-10 | 37.5% | +0.91 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 3-2 | 2-4 | 10-6 | +7.00 |
| 27 | Raiders | 6-10 | 37.5% | -4.62 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 10-6 | +2.41 |
| 28 | 49ers | 6-10 | 37.5% | -6.06 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 9-7 | +3.91 |
| 29 | Rams | 6-10 | 37.5% | -5.87 | 4-4 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 9-7 | -0.78 |
| 30 | Buccaneers | 5-10-1 | 33.3% | +0.22 | 4-3-1 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 2-7-1 | 2-4 | 5-11 | -1.53 |
| 31 | Seahawks | 5-11 | 31.3% | -4.12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 11-5 | +4.19 |
| 32 | Titans | 5-11 | 31.3% | -5.06 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 10-6 | +4.66 |
Props
Defense versus position
PPR per game allowed to each position. The matchup grid behind player props and start/sit calls — highlighted value is the stingiest defense.
| # | Defense | vs QB | vs RB | vs WR | vs TE | vs K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seahawks | 13.4 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 7.9 | 0.0 |
| 2 | Vikings | 18.1 | 24.2 | 36.3 | 11.6 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 49ers | 15.0 | 25.1 | 36.1 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| 4 | Texans | 15.0 | 19.2 | 35.7 | 12.0 | -0.1 |
| 5 | Chiefs | 20.4 | 25.6 | 35.6 | 12.3 | 0.0 |
| 6 | Titans | 15.5 | 25.2 | 35.2 | 12.1 | 0.0 |
| 7 | Patriots | 12.1 | 17.2 | 34.9 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | Packers | 17.8 | 26.5 | 34.2 | 8.6 | 0.0 |
| 9 | LV | 18.3 | 23.9 | 33.8 | 12.4 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Cowboys | 16.5 | 24.2 | 33.6 | 10.4 | 0.0 |
| 11 | Falcons | 12.8 | 21.9 | 32.9 | 10.4 | 0.0 |
| 12 | Colts | 15.9 | 26.7 | 32.9 | 13.9 | 0.0 |
| 13 | Lions | 15.7 | 25.0 | 31.9 | 9.8 | 0.1 |
| 14 | Broncos | 12.8 | 17.9 | 31.8 | 5.8 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Saints | 15.5 | 27.3 | 31.4 | 12.0 | 0.0 |
| 16 | Bears | 13.5 | 22.1 | 31.0 | 6.7 | 0.0 |
| 17 | LAC | 13.9 | 22.5 | 30.9 | 12.8 | 0.0 |
| 18 | Jets | 12.2 | 18.4 | 30.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
| 19 | Ravens | 9.7 | 15.4 | 30.4 | 8.4 | 0.0 |
| 20 | Panthers | 11.6 | 25.5 | 30.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| 21 | Jaguars | 12.3 | 21.4 | 29.5 | 9.2 | 0.0 |
| 22 | Cardinals | 11.4 | 21.8 | 29.4 | 7.9 | 0.0 |
| 23 | Bills | 9.4 | 14.9 | 29.4 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
| 24 | Eagles | 11.4 | 20.5 | 29.3 | 10.7 | 0.0 |
| 25 | LA | 15.3 | 23.2 | 29.2 | 10.2 | 0.3 |
| 26 | Giants | 14.7 | 22.7 | 29.1 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| 27 | Browns | 11.4 | 25.0 | 28.8 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| 28 | Bengals | 12.4 | 23.1 | 28.0 | 11.4 | 0.0 |
| 29 | Steelers | 9.1 | 14.4 | 26.7 | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| 30 | Commanders | 10.4 | 16.9 | 26.1 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
| 31 | Dolphins | 11.0 | 22.4 | 25.0 | 8.4 | 0.0 |
| 32 | Buccaneers | 11.2 | 21.0 | 24.7 | 8.7 | 0.0 |