2026 · 8 divisions

Standings & seeding

Seeded with the league’s full tiebreaker cascade — head-to-head, division and conference record, common games, strength of victory. Where a tiebreaker decided a position, the rule that did it is named under the team.

Records and seeds include today’s 12 finals from ESPN (BUF 36, BAL 10; CIN 43, TEN 36; ARI 33, DAL 30; DET 19, MIN 15; JAX 42, IND 7; LV 38, NYJ 33; PIT 27, CLE 6; TB 16, ATL 0; LA 24, LAC 9; DEN 28, KC 24; NE 24, MIA 19; WAS 27, PHI 10). Playoff odds and projections update with the overnight data refresh.

AFC

7 seeds · 1 bye
AFC standings and seeding
#TeamW-LPlayoffest.
1BillsEast· leader6-184%
2BroncosWest· leader6-274%
3SteelersNorth· leader6-271%
4JaguarsSouth· leader5-281%
5ChiefsWest· conference record5-288%
6BengalsNorth5-269%
7PatriotsEast· conference record5-361%
8BrownsNorth5-369%
9RaidersWest4-416%
10RavensNorth4-445%
11TexansSouth2-516%
12JetsEast2-69%
13ColtsSouth2-611%
14DolphinsEast1-64%
15TitansSouth1-72%
16ChargersWest0-71%

NFC

7 seeds · 1 bye
NFC standings and seeding
#TeamW-LPlayoffest.
149ersWest· leader6-193%
2VikingsNorth· leader6-195%
3GiantsEast· leader4-2-175%
4PanthersSouth· leader3-438%
5LionsNorth5-261%
6BearsNorth5-270%
7PackersNorth5-360%
8SeahawksWest4-349%
9RamsWest4-432%
10BuccaneersSouth3-521%
11FalconsSouth3-537%
12CardinalsWest3-54%
13CowboysEast3-533%
14CommandersEast2-4-18%
15SaintsSouth2-516%
16EaglesEast2-66%

Monte Carlo

Projected win totals

10,000 simulations of the 164 games still to play. Each simulation samples a score, not just a winner, because the tiebreakers depend on points.

Win-total distribution

Darker means more simulations landed there. The vertical mark is the median.

Team
0 wins9 wins17 wins
Playoffs
Vikings
95%
49ers
93%
Chiefs
88%
Bills
84%
Jaguars
81%
Giants
75%
Broncos
74%
Steelers
71%
Bears
70%
Bengals
69%
Browns
69%
Patriots
61%
Lions
61%
Packers
60%
Seahawks
49%
Ravens
45%