2026 · 8 divisions
Standings & seeding
Seeded with the league’s full tiebreaker cascade — head-to-head, division and conference record, common games, strength of victory. Where a tiebreaker decided a position, the rule that did it is named under the team.
AFC
7 seeds · 1 bye| # | Team | W-L | Div | Conf | Net | Playoffest. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JaguarsSouth· leader | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | +24 | 100% |
| 2 | ChiefsWest· leader· division record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | +21 | 99% |
| 3 | RavensNorth· leader· conference record | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | +18 | 99% |
| 4 | JetsEast· leader· net points | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | +13 | 82% |
| 5 | RaidersWest· conference record | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | +14 | 79% |
| 6 | BillsEast· conference record | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | +5 | 88% |
| 7 | SteelersNorth | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +7 | 76% |
| 8 | BengalsNorth | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +6 | 59% |
| 9 | PatriotsEast | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -3 | 9% |
| 10 | TexansSouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | -5 | 3% |
| 11 | ChargersWest | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -12 | 1% |
| 12 | TitansSouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | -13 | 2% |
| 13 | DolphinsEast | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | -14 | 2% |
| 14 | ColtsSouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | -18 | 0% |
| 15 | BroncosWest | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -21 | 0% |
| 16 | BrownsNorth | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | -24 | 0% |
NFC
7 seeds · 1 bye| # | Team | W-L | Div | Conf | Net | Playoffest. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49ersWest· leader· division record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | +20 | 97% |
| 2 | VikingsNorth· leader· division record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | +17 | 85% |
| 3 | GiantsEast· leader· net points | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | +8 | 71% |
| 4 | SaintsSouth· leader· net points | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | -1 | 60% |
| 5 | BearsNorth· conference record | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | +22 | 88% |
| 6 | EaglesEast· conference record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | +2 | 36% |
| 7 | LionsNorth· conference record | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | +1 | 24% |
| 8 | CardinalsWest | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +12 | 87% |
| 9 | SeahawksWest | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +3 | 57% |
| 10 | CommandersEast | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -2 | 27% |
| 11 | BuccaneersSouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -6 | 32% |
| 12 | FalconsSouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -7 | 15% |
| 13 | CowboysEast | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -8 | 12% |
| 14 | PackersNorth | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -17 | 3% |
| 15 | RamsWest | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -20 | 0% |
| 16 | PanthersSouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | -22 | 5% |
Monte Carlo
Projected win totals
10,000 simulations of the 256 games still to play. Each simulation samples a score, not just a winner, because the tiebreakers depend on points.
Win-total distribution
Darker means more simulations landed there. The vertical mark is the median.
Team
0 wins9 wins17 wins
PlayoffsJaguars
100%
Chiefs
99%
Ravens
99%
49ers
97%
Bears
88%
Bills
88%
Cardinals
87%
Vikings
85%
Jets
82%
Raiders
79%
Steelers
76%
Giants
71%
Saints
60%
Bengals
59%
Seahawks
57%
Eagles
36%