2026 · 8 divisions
Standings & seeding
Seeded with the league’s full tiebreaker cascade — head-to-head, division and conference record, common games, strength of victory. Where a tiebreaker decided a position, the rule that did it is named under the team.
Records and seeds include today’s 12 finals from ESPN (BUF 36, BAL 10; CIN 43, TEN 36; ARI 33, DAL 30; DET 19, MIN 15; JAX 42, IND 7; LV 38, NYJ 33; PIT 27, CLE 6; TB 16, ATL 0; LA 24, LAC 9; DEN 28, KC 24; NE 24, MIA 19; WAS 27, PHI 10). Playoff odds and projections update with the overnight data refresh.
AFC
7 seeds · 1 bye| # | Team | W-L | Div | Conf | Net | Playoffest. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BillsEast· leader | 6-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 | +52 | 84% |
| 2 | BroncosWest· leader | 6-2 | 2-1 | 3-1 | +7 | 74% |
| 3 | SteelersNorth· leader | 6-2 | 2-1 | 3-2 | +36 | 71% |
| 4 | JaguarsSouth· leader | 5-2 | 1-1 | 4-2 | +85 | 81% |
| 5 | ChiefsWest· conference record | 5-2 | 3-1 | 5-1 | +36 | 88% |
| 6 | BengalsNorth | 5-2 | 1-1 | 4-2 | +48 | 69% |
| 7 | PatriotsEast· conference record | 5-3 | 3-0 | 5-1 | +22 | 61% |
| 8 | BrownsNorth | 5-3 | 2-1 | 3-3 | -34 | 69% |
| 9 | RaidersWest | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | -9 | 16% |
| 10 | RavensNorth | 4-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | -24 | 45% |
| 11 | TexansSouth | 2-5 | 2-1 | 2-3 | -5 | 16% |
| 12 | JetsEast | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | -18 | 9% |
| 13 | ColtsSouth | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-5 | -61 | 11% |
| 14 | DolphinsEast | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1-4 | -64 | 4% |
| 15 | TitansSouth | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1-5 | -55 | 2% |
| 16 | ChargersWest | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-4 | -76 | 1% |
NFC
7 seeds · 1 bye| # | Team | W-L | Div | Conf | Net | Playoffest. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49ersWest· leader | 6-1 | 3-0 | 4-1 | +58 | 93% |
| 2 | VikingsNorth· leader | 6-1 | 2-1 | 4-1 | +47 | 95% |
| 3 | GiantsEast· leader | 4-2-1 | 1-0-1 | 2-2-1 | +2 | 75% |
| 4 | PanthersSouth· leader | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | -15 | 38% |
| 5 | LionsNorth | 5-2 | 2-0 | 4-1 | +23 | 61% |
| 6 | BearsNorth | 5-2 | 0-2 | 3-2 | +37 | 70% |
| 7 | PackersNorth | 5-3 | 1-2 | 4-3 | +7 | 60% |
| 8 | SeahawksWest | 4-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | +43 | 49% |
| 9 | RamsWest | 4-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | +26 | 32% |
| 10 | BuccaneersSouth | 3-5 | 2-0 | 3-2 | +27 | 21% |
| 11 | FalconsSouth | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | -18 | 37% |
| 12 | CardinalsWest | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | -63 | 4% |
| 13 | CowboysEast | 3-5 | 2-1 | 2-4 | +6 | 33% |
| 14 | CommandersEast | 2-4-1 | 1-2-1 | 2-3-1 | -23 | 8% |
| 15 | SaintsSouth | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | -32 | 16% |
| 16 | EaglesEast | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-5 | -65 | 6% |
Monte Carlo
Projected win totals
10,000 simulations of the 164 games still to play. Each simulation samples a score, not just a winner, because the tiebreakers depend on points.
Win-total distribution
Darker means more simulations landed there. The vertical mark is the median.