Task Enterprises presentsNFL Intelligence

2026 · 8 divisions

Standings & seeding

Seeded with the league’s full tiebreaker cascade — head-to-head, division and conference record, common games, strength of victory. Where a tiebreaker decided a position, the rule that did it is named under the team.

AFC

7 seeds · 1 bye
AFC standings and seeding
#TeamW-LPlayoffest.
1JaguarsSouth· leader1-0100%
2ChiefsWest· leader· division record1-099%
3RavensNorth· leader· conference record1-099%
4JetsEast· leader· net points1-082%
5RaidersWest· conference record1-079%
6BillsEast· conference record1-088%
7SteelersNorth1-076%
8BengalsNorth1-059%
9PatriotsEast0-19%
10TexansSouth0-13%
11ChargersWest0-11%
12TitansSouth0-12%
13DolphinsEast0-12%
14ColtsSouth0-10%
15BroncosWest0-10%
16BrownsNorth0-10%

NFC

7 seeds · 1 bye
NFC standings and seeding
#TeamW-LPlayoffest.
149ersWest· leader· division record1-097%
2VikingsNorth· leader· division record1-085%
3GiantsEast· leader· net points1-071%
4SaintsSouth· leader· net points0-160%
5BearsNorth· conference record1-088%
6EaglesEast· conference record1-036%
7LionsNorth· conference record1-024%
8CardinalsWest1-087%
9SeahawksWest1-057%
10CommandersEast0-127%
11BuccaneersSouth0-132%
12FalconsSouth0-115%
13CowboysEast0-112%
14PackersNorth0-13%
15RamsWest0-10%
16PanthersSouth0-15%

Monte Carlo

Projected win totals

10,000 simulations of the 256 games still to play. Each simulation samples a score, not just a winner, because the tiebreakers depend on points.

Win-total distribution

Darker means more simulations landed there. The vertical mark is the median.

Team
0 wins9 wins17 wins
Playoffs
Jaguars
100%
Chiefs
99%
Ravens
99%
49ers
97%
Bears
88%
Bills
88%
Cardinals
87%
Vikings
85%
Jets
82%
Raiders
79%
Steelers
76%
Giants
71%
Saints
60%
Bengals
59%
Seahawks
57%
Eagles
36%