2010 · Week 7 · Division

Final

Cardinals

Arizona

QB Max Hall

10·22

Seahawks

Seattle

QB Matt Hasselbeck

Qwest Field · outdoors · fieldturf · 52°F · wind 12mph

Closing spread

SEA -6.5

Total

40.5

Model margin

+3.0est.

SEA perspective

Push chance

None

half-point line — cannot push

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Cardinals

Seahawks

Win probability

  • Seahawks
  • Cardinals

How each play moved the game.

Seahawks winsCardinals wins

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Cardinalsedge mapSeahawks
  • -0.220EPA / play-0.117
  • 37.1%Success rate38.3%
  • -0.248EPA / dropback-0.072
  • -0.165EPA / rush-0.194
  • 8.3%Explosive rate7.9%
  • -9.59CPOE-1.80
  • 27.4%Third-down rate37.0%
  • 45.0%Red-zone TD rate48.0%
  • 1.06Points / drive1.36
  • 3.1%Turnover rate3.0%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

SEA lead 31–17–1 since 1999

SEA have won 10 straight. Meetings average 43.4 points. SEA are 27-21-1 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2026 · W2SEA @ ARI31–7SEA
2025 · W10ARI @ SEA22–44SEA
2025 · W4SEA @ ARI23–20SEA
2024 · W14SEA @ ARI30–18SEA
2024 · W12ARI @ SEA6–16SEA
2023 · W18SEA @ ARI21–20SEA
2023 · W7ARI @ SEA10–20SEA
2022 · W9SEA @ ARI31–21SEA

Possession by possession

How it unfolded

Every drive: who had the ball, how far it went, how it ended, and the score as it settled.

Drive-by-drive log
BallStartPlaysYardsResultARI–SEA
SEAQ1 15:001381Field goal0–3
ARIQ1 7:29517Turnover0–3
SEAQ1 5:093-3Turnover0–3
ARIQ1 4:5531Punt0–3
SEAQ1 3:544-4Punt0–3
ARIQ1 2:2834Punt0–3
SEAQ1 0:5139Punt0–3
ARIQ2 14:4932Punt0–3
SEAQ2 13:52613Punt0–3
ARIQ2 10:26557Turnover0–3
SEAQ2 7:573-1Punt0–3
SEAQ2 5:5522Touchdown0–10
ARIQ2 5:46729Punt0–10
SEAQ2 1:4637Punt0–10
ARIQ2 0:4230Punt0–10
SEAQ2 0:2100End of half0–10
ARIQ3 15:003-9Turnover0–10
SEAQ3 14:063-2Field goal0–13
ARIQ3 12:1100Field goal0–13
SEAQ3 12:0633Field goal0–16
ARIQ3 10:57870Touchdown7–16
SEAQ3 5:431483Field goal7–19
ARIQ3 0:49427Field goal10–19
SEAQ4 14:481167Field goal10–22
ARIQ4 7:28822Turnover on downs10–22
SEAQ4 5:431348Turnover on downs10–22
ARIQ4 1:0437End of half10–22

Box score

Individual performances

Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Derek Anderson8/179600
Max Hall4/163601

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Tim Hightower6599.80
Chris Wells14543.91

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Andre Roberts24400
Early Doucet28330
Larry Fitzgerald310300
LaRod Stephens-Howling11130
Ben Patrick1160
Tim Hightower1340
Stephen Spach1230
Max Komar1430

Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Matt Hasselbeck20/3819210

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Marshawn Lynch24893.70
Justin Forsett9414.60
Matt Hasselbeck2115.50

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Mike Williams1116871
Deon Butler35410
Justin Forsett22310
Brandon Stokley12160
Ben Obomanu1170
John Carlson1630
Chris Baker0200
Leon Washington0100
Cameron Morrah0100
Golden Tate0100

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line +6.53.9%6.9%7.5%3.1%4.8%3.1%2.7%

Positive margins favour Seahawks; negative favour Cardinals.

Half-point at risk

4.78%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

57.0%

Expected total

41.8est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)-0.67
  • Home-field advantage+2.49
  • Quarterback adjustment+1.69
  • Rest differential-0.56
  • Expected margin+2.96