2013 · Week 7 · Division

Final

Seahawks

Seattle

QB Russell Wilson

34·22

Cardinals

Arizona

QB Carson Palmer

University of Phoenix Stadium · closed · grass

Closing spread

SEA -5

Total

41

Model margin

-0.1est.

ARI perspective

Push chance

1.9%est.

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Seahawks

Cardinals

Win probability

  • Cardinals
  • Seahawks

How each play moved the game.

Cardinals winsSeahawks wins

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Seahawksedge mapCardinals
  • +0.059EPA / play-0.020
  • 44.6%Success rate41.6%
  • +0.190EPA / dropback+0.035
  • -0.101EPA / rush-0.109
  • 10.9%Explosive rate8.5%
  • +5.19CPOE+3.74
  • 38.4%Third-down rate35.3%
  • 61.9%Red-zone TD rate59.3%
  • 2.17Points / drive1.71
  • 1.7%Turnover rate2.9%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

SEA lead 31–17–1 since 1999

SEA have won 10 straight. Meetings average 43.4 points. ARI are 21-27-1 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2026 · W2SEA @ ARI31–7SEA
2025 · W10ARI @ SEA22–44SEA
2025 · W4SEA @ ARI23–20SEA
2024 · W14SEA @ ARI30–18SEA
2024 · W12ARI @ SEA6–16SEA
2023 · W18SEA @ ARI21–20SEA
2023 · W7ARI @ SEA10–20SEA
2022 · W9SEA @ ARI31–21SEA

Possession by possession

How it unfolded

Every drive: who had the ball, how far it went, how it ended, and the score as it settled.

Drive-by-drive log
BallStartPlaysYardsResultSEA–ARI
ARIQ1 15:00924Punt0–0
SEAQ1 9:44583Touchdown7–0
ARIQ1 7:13624Turnover7–0
SEAQ1 3:511264Touchdown14–0
ARIQ2 13:253-8Punt14–0
SEAQ2 11:5649Turnover on downs14–0
ARIQ2 10:121026Field goal14–3
SEAQ2 4:022-8Turnover14–9
ARIQ2 3:4313Touchdown14–10
SEAQ2 3:401262Field goal17–10
ARIQ2 0:0500End of half17–10
SEAQ3 15:003-9Punt17–10
ARIQ3 12:5751Field goal17–13
SEAQ3 11:481080Touchdown24–13
ARIQ3 7:48626Turnover24–13
SEAQ3 4:4321Touchdown31–13
ARIQ3 3:52527Punt31–13
SEAQ3 1:122-5Turnover31–13
ARIQ3 0:2057Field goal31–16
SEAQ4 14:41852Field goal34–16
ARIQ4 10:213-1Punt34–16
SEAQ4 8:5732Punt34–16
ARIQ4 8:02966Touchdown34–22
SEAQ4 4:34314Punt34–22
ARIQ4 3:541239Turnover on downs34–22
SEAQ4 0:2400End of half34–22

Box score

Individual performances

Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Russell Wilson18/2923530

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Marshawn Lynch21914.31
Russell Wilson8293.60
Robert Turbin3155.00

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Golden Tate47770
Sidney Rice34501
Zach Miller57401
Luke Willson12230
Jermaine Kearse13170
Doug Baldwin11160
Marshawn Lynch1330
Kellen Davis1111

Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Carson Palmer30/4525812

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Rashard Mendenhall13221.71
Carson Palmer252.50
Andre Ellington331.00

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Michael Floyd59580
Rob Housler77530
Andre Roberts58330
Alfonso Smith44300
Jaron Brown33301
Larry Fitzgerald25170
Andre Ellington25100
Jim Dray1280

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line -52.7%4.4%2.9%7.4%7.3%2.9%4.4%2.7%

Positive margins favour Cardinals; negative favour Seahawks.

Half-point at risk

1.86%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

48.7%

Expected total

42.2est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)-2.64
  • Home-field advantage+2.49
  • Quarterback adjustment0.00
  • Rest differential0.00
  • Expected margin-0.15