2013 · Week 8 · Division

Final

Giants

New York

QB Eli Manning

15·7

Eagles

Philadelphia

QB Michael Vick

Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors · grass · 56°F · wind 13mph

Closing spread

PHI -5.5

Total

49

Model margin

-0.3est.

PHI perspective

Push chance

None

half-point line — cannot push

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Giants

Eagles

Win probability

  • Eagles
  • Giants

How each play moved the game.

Eagles winsGiants wins

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Giantsedge mapEagles
  • -0.142EPA / play+0.100
  • 40.2%Success rate46.4%
  • -0.087EPA / dropback+0.181
  • -0.235EPA / rush-0.009
  • 8.8%Explosive rate13.5%
  • -3.07CPOE+2.43
  • 32.2%Third-down rate39.3%
  • 58.7%Red-zone TD rate56.7%
  • 1.06Points / drive1.91
  • 4.0%Turnover rate1.7%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

PHI lead 38–20 since 1999

Meetings average 43.1 points. PHI are 30-27-1 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2025 · W8NYG @ PHI20–38PHI
2025 · W6PHI @ NYG17–34NYG
2024 · W18NYG @ PHI13–20PHI
2024 · W7PHI @ NYG28–3PHI
2023 · W18PHI @ NYG10–27NYG
2023 · W16NYG @ PHI25–33PHI
2022 · playoffsNYG @ PHI7–38PHI
2022 · W18NYG @ PHI16–22PHI

Possession by possession

How it unfolded

Every drive: who had the ball, how far it went, how it ended, and the score as it settled.

Drive-by-drive log
BallStartPlaysYardsResultNYG–PHI
NYGQ1 15:0039Punt0–0
PHIQ1 12:5033Turnover0–0
NYGQ1 11:54857Field goal3–0
PHIQ1 7:303-2Punt3–0
NYGQ1 6:03645Field goal6–0
PHIQ1 2:59514Punt6–0
NYGQ1 0:531258Field goal9–0
PHIQ2 10:22611Punt9–0
NYGQ2 7:32934Field goal12–0
PHIQ2 2:241045Turnover12–0
NYGQ2 1:05526End of half12–0
PHIQ3 15:001248Turnover on downs12–0
NYGQ3 9:1537Punt12–0
PHIQ3 7:2339Punt12–0
NYGQ3 5:45312Punt12–0
PHIQ3 5:0539Punt12–0
NYGQ3 3:21942Field goal15–0
PHIQ4 12:23632Punt15–0
NYGQ4 10:13619Punt15–0
PHIQ4 6:57831Turnover on downs15–0
NYGQ4 5:134-4Opp touchdown15–7
NYGQ4 4:11621Punt15–7
PHIQ4 0:2720Turnover15–7
NYGQ4 0:1100End of half15–7

Box score

Individual performances

Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Eli Manning25/3924600

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Peyton Hillis20703.50
Michael Cox9192.10
Eli Manning1-1-1.00

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Victor Cruz710860
Hakeem Nicks712510
Brandon Myers34420
Jerrel Jernigan33290
Peyton Hillis35150
Michael Cox11110
Larry Donnell0100
Rueben Randle0100

Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Matt Barkley17/2615801
Mike Vick6/93001

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
LeSean McCoy15483.20
Mike Vick111.00
Bryce Brown3-1-0.30

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
DeSean Jackson811630
Jason Avant34540
Brent Celek23170
LeSean McCoy45170
Riley Cooper25130
James Casey11110
Damaris Johnson1160
Zach Ertz1350
Bryce Brown1120

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line +5.54.5%2.9%7.4%7.3%2.9%4.4%2.7%

Positive margins favour Eagles; negative favour Giants.

Half-point at risk

2.90%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

48.3%

Expected total

44.3est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)+2.26
  • Home-field advantage+2.49
  • Quarterback adjustment-5.10
  • Rest differential+0.08
  • Expected margin-0.27