2013 · Week 13 · Division

Final

Giants

New York

QB Eli Manning

24·17

Commanders

Washington

QB Robert Griffin

FedExField · outdoors · grass · 43°F · wind 0mph

Closing spread

WAS -1

Total

45.5

Model margin

+2.0est.

WAS perspective

Push chance

2.2%est.

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Giants

Commanders

Win probability

  • Commanders
  • Giants

How each play moved the game.

Commanders winsGiants wins

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Giantsedge mapCommanders
  • -0.142EPA / play-0.058
  • 40.2%Success rate42.2%
  • -0.087EPA / dropback-0.053
  • -0.235EPA / rush-0.065
  • 8.8%Explosive rate8.0%
  • -3.07CPOE-3.92
  • 32.2%Third-down rate40.7%
  • 58.7%Red-zone TD rate57.9%
  • 1.06Points / drive1.37
  • 4.0%Turnover rate2.9%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

NYG lead 32–21–2 since 1999

Meetings average 40.1 points. WAS are 24-29-2 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2026 · W5NYG @ WAS27–27Tie
2025 · W15WAS @ NYG29–21WAS
2025 · W1NYG @ WAS6–21WAS
2024 · W9WAS @ NYG27–22WAS
2024 · W2NYG @ WAS18–21WAS
2023 · W11NYG @ WAS31–19NYG
2023 · W7WAS @ NYG7–14NYG
2022 · W15NYG @ WAS20–12NYG

Possession by possession

How it unfolded

Every drive: who had the ball, how far it went, how it ended, and the score as it settled.

Drive-by-drive log
BallStartPlaysYardsResultNYG–WAS
WASQ1 15:001572Touchdown0–7
NYGQ1 7:5431Punt0–7
WASQ1 5:53520Punt0–7
NYGQ1 2:2434Punt0–7
WASQ1 0:47864Touchdown0–14
NYGQ2 11:45674Touchdown7–14
WASQ2 8:4638Punt7–14
NYGQ2 7:0235Punt7–14
WASQ2 5:1239Punt7–14
NYGQ2 3:34981Touchdown14–14
WASQ2 0:35554End of half14–14
NYGQ3 15:00527Punt14–14
WASQ3 11:50958Punt14–14
NYGQ3 6:4138Turnover14–14
WASQ3 5:0332Field goal14–17
NYGQ3 4:253-6Punt14–17
WASQ3 2:394-7Punt14–17
NYGQ3 0:54446Touchdown21–17
WASQ4 14:2630Punt21–17
NYGQ4 12:1668Punt21–17
WASQ4 8:34512Punt21–17
NYGQ4 6:29740Field goal24–17
WASQ4 2:32831Turnover24–17
NYGQ4 1:1800End of half24–17

Box score

Individual performances

Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Eli Manning22/2823511

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Peyton Hillis6457.50
Andre Brown14352.52
Eli Manning300.00

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Victor Cruz67800
Brandon Myers56611
Hakeem Nicks22340
Andre Brown35230
Rueben Randle34200
Bear Pascoe23110
Peyton Hillis1160

Commanders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Robert Griffin III24/3220710

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Robert Griffin III12887.30
Alfred Morris11262.41
Santana Moss11010.00
Aldrick Robinson199.00
Roy Helu461.50
Evan Royster200.00

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Pierre Garcon912610
Logan Paulsen34411
Roy Helu44340
Alfred Morris33270
Santana Moss11150
Fred Davis24130
Josh Morgan11100
Nick Williams1160
Aldrick Robinson0200

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line +14.1%2.7%7.1%7.5%3.1%4.7%2.9%

Positive margins favour Commanders; negative favour Giants.

Half-point at risk

2.16%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

54.3%

Expected total

43.0est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)-0.45
  • Home-field advantage+2.49
  • Quarterback adjustment0.00
  • Rest differential-0.08
  • Expected margin+1.96