2014 · Week 17 · Division

Final

Eagles

Philadelphia

QB Mark Sanchez

34·26

Giants

New York

QB Eli Manning

MetLife Stadium · outdoors · fieldturf · 48°F · wind 8mph

Closing spread

PHI -1

Total

51.5

Model margin

+2.5est.

NYG perspective

Push chance

2.1%est.

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Eagles

Giants

Win probability

  • Giants
  • Eagles

How each play moved the game.

Giants winsEagles wins

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Eaglesedge mapGiants
  • -0.005EPA / play-0.014
  • 43.7%Success rate41.2%
  • +0.063EPA / dropback+0.072
  • -0.113EPA / rush-0.147
  • 9.9%Explosive rate7.7%
  • -0.76CPOE+0.79
  • 44.2%Third-down rate43.5%
  • 57.8%Red-zone TD rate63.1%
  • 1.88Points / drive1.78
  • 3.0%Turnover rate2.2%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

PHI lead 38–20 since 1999

Meetings average 43.1 points. NYG are 27-30-1 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2025 · W8NYG @ PHI20–38PHI
2025 · W6PHI @ NYG17–34NYG
2024 · W18NYG @ PHI13–20PHI
2024 · W7PHI @ NYG28–3PHI
2023 · W18PHI @ NYG10–27NYG
2023 · W16NYG @ PHI25–33PHI
2022 · playoffsNYG @ PHI7–38PHI
2022 · W18NYG @ PHI16–22PHI

Possession by possession

How it unfolded

Every drive: who had the ball, how far it went, how it ended, and the score as it settled.

Drive-by-drive log
BallStartPlaysYardsResultPHI–NYG
NYGQ1 15:00680Touchdown0–7
PHIQ1 12:11385Touchdown7–7
NYGQ1 11:00614Punt7–7
PHIQ1 8:38839Touchdown14–7
NYGQ1 6:12960Field goal14–10
PHIQ1 2:11633Punt14–10
NYGQ2 15:0035Punt14–10
PHIQ2 14:0137Punt14–10
NYGQ2 13:0131Punt14–10
PHIQ2 11:5710Turnover14–10
NYGQ2 11:46947Field goal14–13
PHIQ2 7:26431Punt14–13
NYGQ2 5:291071Field goal14–16
PHIQ2 2:021071Field goal17–16
PHIQ3 15:0039Punt17–16
NYGQ3 13:563-1Opp touchdown24–16
NYGQ3 12:21550Punt24–16
PHIQ3 8:45519Punt24–16
NYGQ3 7:16856Field goal24–19
PHIQ3 4:24417Punt24–19
NYGQ3 2:47619Punt24–19
PHIQ3 0:07865Touchdown31–19
NYGQ4 13:08580Touchdown31–26
PHIQ4 11:47933Field goal34–26
NYGQ4 7:56519Punt34–26
PHIQ4 5:1939Punt34–26
NYGQ4 3:4524Turnover34–26
PHIQ4 2:51311End of half34–26

Box score

Individual performances

Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Mark Sanchez23/3629221

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
LeSean McCoy17995.80
Chris Polk7385.41
Mark Sanchez7223.10
Darren Sproles155.00

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Jordan Matthews8101051
Zach Ertz46560
Jeremy Maclin36490
Riley Cooper23370
Darren Sproles36230
LeSean McCoy11150
Josh Huff1260
Brent Celek1111
Chris Polk0100

Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Eli Manning28/5342911

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Andre Williams15432.91
Rashad Jennings10333.30

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Odell Beckham Jr.12211851
Rueben Randle6131580
Larry Donnell26260
Rashad Jennings35210
Preston Parker24200
Andre Williams33190
Adrien Robinson0100

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line -14.0%2.7%7.0%7.5%3.1%4.7%3.0%2.6%

Positive margins favour Giants; negative favour Eagles.

Half-point at risk

2.10%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

55.9%

Expected total

44.6est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)+0.12
  • Home-field advantage+2.49
  • Quarterback adjustment0.00
  • Rest differential-0.08
  • Expected margin+2.53