2020 · Week 2

Final

Rams

Los Angeles

QB Jared Goff

37·19

Eagles

Philadelphia

QB Carson Wentz

Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors · grass · 62°F · wind 12mph

Closing spread

PHI -2

Total

46

Model margin

-1.1est.

PHI perspective

Push chance

2.1%est.

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Rams

Eagles

Win probability

  • Eagles
  • Rams

How each play moved the game.

Eagles winsRams wins

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Ramsedge mapEagles
  • -0.013EPA / play-0.055
  • 44.6%Success rate41.8%
  • +0.032EPA / dropback-0.043
  • -0.081EPA / rush-0.081
  • 9.2%Explosive rate7.8%
  • +0.37CPOE-4.93
  • 44.2%Third-down rate36.0%
  • 59.0%Red-zone TD rate67.6%
  • 1.76Points / drive1.61
  • 2.1%Turnover rate2.6%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

PHI lead 12–5 since 1999

Meetings average 47.8 points. PHI are 12-4-1 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2026 · W4LA @ PHI24–20RAMS
2025 · W3LA @ PHI26–33PHI
2024 · playoffsLA @ PHI22–28PHI
2024 · W12PHI @ LA37–20PHI
2023 · W5PHI @ LA23–14PHI
2018 · W15PHI @ LA30–23PHI
2017 · W14PHI @ LA43–35PHI
2014 · W5STL @ PHI28–34PHI

Possession by possession

How it unfolded

Every drive: who had the ball, how far it went, how it ended, and the score as it settled.

Drive-by-drive log
BallStartPlaysYardsResultLA–PHI
PHIQ1 15:00317Turnover0–0
LAQ1 13:37541Touchdown7–0
PHIQ1 11:15845Field goal7–3
LAQ1 6:421075Touchdown14–3
PHIQ1 1:4838Punt14–3
LAQ1 0:47975Touchdown21–3
PHIQ2 12:151271Touchdown21–9
LAQ2 6:10738Punt21–9
PHIQ2 2:11618Punt21–9
PHIQ2 0:46211Touchdown21–16
LAQ2 0:351-1End of half21–16
LAQ3 15:0034Punt21–16
PHIQ3 13:321265Turnover21–16
LAQ3 8:031673Field goal24–16
PHIQ3 2:141260Field goal24–19
LAQ4 12:07370Touchdown31–19
PHIQ4 10:531057Turnover on downs31–19
LAQ4 7:48964Touchdown37–19
PHIQ4 3:37211Turnover37–19
LAQ4 3:09313End of half37–19

Box score

Individual performances

Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Jared Goff20/2726730

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Darrell Henderson12816.81
Malcolm Brown11474.30
Robert Woods3196.31
Cooper Kupp2199.50
Jared Goff7131.90
Cam Akers3134.30
Van Jefferson1-1-1.00

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Cooper Kupp56810
Tyler Higbee55543
Van Jefferson45450
Darrell Henderson23400
Josh Reynolds22330
Robert Woods25140

Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Carson Wentz26/4324202

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Miles Sanders20954.81
Boston Scott4194.80
Carson Wentz273.51

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
DeSean Jackson69640
Zach Ertz57420
Jalen Reagor44410
Miles Sanders37360
Dallas Goedert48300
Boston Scott33240
Greg Ward1150
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside0200

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line +22.8%4.6%3.0%7.5%7.2%2.8%4.2%

Positive margins favour Eagles; negative favour Rams.

Half-point at risk

2.08%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

46.0%

Expected total

38.7est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)-2.85
  • Home-field advantage+1.71
  • Quarterback adjustment0.00
  • Rest differential0.00
  • Expected margin-1.15