2015 · Week 6 · Division

Final

Giants

New York

QB Eli Manning

7·27

Eagles

Philadelphia

QB Sam Bradford

Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors · grass · 44°F · wind 6mph

Closing spread

PHI -3.5

Total

50.5

Model margin

+1.9est.

PHI perspective

Push chance

None

half-point line — cannot push

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Giants

Eagles

Win probability

  • Eagles
  • Giants

How each play moved the game.

Eagles winsGiants wins

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Giantsedge mapEagles
  • +0.025EPA / play-0.044
  • 44.0%Success rate42.7%
  • +0.106EPA / dropback-0.008
  • -0.119EPA / rush-0.105
  • 8.0%Explosive rate8.7%
  • -1.12CPOE-0.86
  • 37.1%Third-down rate39.1%
  • 58.4%Red-zone TD rate66.8%
  • 2.02Points / drive1.56
  • 1.9%Turnover rate2.7%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

PHI lead 38–20 since 1999

Meetings average 43.1 points. PHI are 30-27-1 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2025 · W8NYG @ PHI20–38PHI
2025 · W6PHI @ NYG17–34NYG
2024 · W18NYG @ PHI13–20PHI
2024 · W7PHI @ NYG28–3PHI
2023 · W18PHI @ NYG10–27NYG
2023 · W16NYG @ PHI25–33PHI
2022 · playoffsNYG @ PHI7–38PHI
2022 · W18NYG @ PHI16–22PHI

Possession by possession

How it unfolded

Every drive: who had the ball, how far it went, how it ended, and the score as it settled.

Drive-by-drive log
BallStartPlaysYardsResultNYG–PHI
NYGQ1 15:00875Touchdown7–0
PHIQ1 10:2333Punt7–0
NYGQ1 9:371035Turnover7–0
PHIQ1 5:18763Touchdown7–7
NYGQ1 3:33725Turnover on downs7–7
PHIQ1 0:1840Punt7–7
NYGQ2 13:4342Opp touchdown7–14
NYGQ2 12:26427Turnover7–14
PHIQ2 10:34313Turnover7–14
NYGQ2 9:303-6Punt7–14
PHIQ2 7:36517Punt7–14
NYGQ2 5:1535Punt7–14
PHIQ2 4:10623Punt7–14
NYGQ2 2:11629Punt7–14
PHIQ2 1:12732Field goal7–17
NYGQ2 0:0300End of half7–17
PHIQ3 15:00554Turnover7–17
NYGQ3 12:5346Punt7–17
PHIQ3 10:491185Touchdown7–24
NYGQ3 6:1333Punt7–24
PHIQ3 5:0810Turnover7–24
NYGQ3 4:5537Punt7–24
PHIQ3 4:061165Turnover7–24
NYGQ3 0:0637Punt7–24
PHIQ4 13:35940Field goal7–27
NYGQ4 8:191032Punt7–27
PHIQ4 3:33436End of half7–27

Box score

Individual performances

Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Eli Manning24/3818912

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
Rashad Jennings13634.80
Eli Manning11212.00
Andre Williams561.20
Shane Vereen400.00

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Odell Beckham Jr.78611
Rueben Randle56440
Larry Donnell35290
Will Tye23220
Rashad Jennings33200
Dwayne Harris24180
Shane Vereen1460
Myles White0100
Geremy Davis0100

Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINT
Sam Bradford24/3828013

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsAvgTD
DeMarco Murray211125.31
Ryan Mathews9404.40
Darren Sproles242.00
Sam Bradford520.40

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Riley Cooper36761
Miles Austin33600
Jordan Matthews611590
Zach Ertz47430
Josh Huff33190
DeMarco Murray34140
Ryan Mathews1160
Darren Sproles1230

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line +3.54.1%2.7%7.1%7.5%3.1%4.7%2.9%

Positive margins favour Eagles; negative favour Giants.

Half-point at risk

2.52%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

54.1%

Expected total

46.3est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)-0.62
  • Home-field advantage+2.49
  • Quarterback adjustment0.00
  • Rest differential0.00
  • Expected margin+1.87