2026 · Week 8 · Division

Final

Browns

Cleveland

QB Deshaun Watson

6·27

Steelers

Pittsburgh

QB Aaron Rodgers

Acrisure Stadium · outdoors · grass

Final · play by play

How it finished

Final

PENALTY on CLV-K.Concepcion, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 1 - No Play. 10-second runoff.

Last play · Browns · Penalty

Win probability · ESPN's model, not ours

0% BrownsSteelers 100%

Scoring

  1. Q1 7:57Steelers Rico Dowdle 9 Yd Rush (Chris Boswell Kick)0-7
  2. Q2 14:05Steelers Chris Boswell 20 Yd Field Goal0-10
  3. Q2 8:43Browns Andre Szmyt 32 Yd Field Goal3-10
  4. Q2 3:27Steelers Chris Boswell 37 Yd Field Goal3-13
  5. Q2 0:45Browns Andre Szmyt 49 Yd Field Goal6-13
  6. Q2 0:01Steelers Pat Freiermuth 1 Yd Rush (Chris Boswell Kick)6-20
  7. Q3 9:39Steelers Jaylen Warren 1 Yd Rush (Chris Boswell Kick)6-27

Every drive · newest first

Q4 1:44Browns 5 plays, 38 yards, 1:44 · from PIT 44End of Game
  1. Q4 0:00END GAME
  2. 2nd & GoalPENALTY on CLV-K.Concepcion, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 1 - No Play. 10-second runoff.
  3. 1st & Goal(Shotgun) Q.Judkins right guard to PIT 1 for no gain (J.Brisker; G.Rubio).
  4. 1st & 1Timeout #3 by CLV at 00:22.
  5. 2nd & 1(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to D.Boston to PIT 1 for 9 yards (J.Dean).
  6. 1st & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to D.Sampson to PIT 10 for 9 yards (P.Queen).
  7. 1st & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to D.Sampson to PIT 19 for 14 yards (P.Queen; P.Wilson).
  8. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short middle to D.Sampson to PIT 33 for 11 yards (R.Spears-Jennings).
Q4 3:20Steelers 3 plays, -10 yards, 1:36 · from PIT 21Punt
  1. 4th & 20C.Johnston punts 54 yards to CLV 35, Center-C.Kuntz. K.Concepcion ran ob at PIT 44 for 21 yards (C.Kuntz).
  2. 4th & 20Timeout #2 by CLV at 01:56.
  3. 3rd & 19(Shotgun) R.Dowdle left guard to PIT 11 for -1 yards (M.Graham).
  4. 3rd & 19Two-Minute Warning
  5. 2nd & 16S.Anderson reported in as eligible. R.Dowdle left end to PIT 12 for -3 yards (Q.Williams).
  6. 1st & 10(Shotgun) R.Dowdle left end to PIT 15 for -6 yards (M.Graham, I.McGuire).
Q4 6:51Browns 11 plays, 66 yards, 3:31 · from CLE 13Downs
  1. 4th & 17(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to B.Whiteheart to PIT 21 for 9 yards (J.Brisker).
  2. 3rd & 17(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short right to D.Sampson (T.Watt).
  3. 2nd & 17(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short left to H.Fannin.
  4. 1st & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at PIT 30 for -7 yards (C.Heyward).
  5. 1st & 5(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short middle to D.Sampson to PIT 23 for 11 yards (P.Queen; A.Samuel).
  6. 1st & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete deep middle to D.Boston.PENALTY on PIT-A.Highsmith, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 39 - No Play.
  7. 3rd & 5(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to D.Boston to PIT 39 for 6 yards (P.Wilson).
  8. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to D.Boston to PIT 45 for 5 yards (J.Dean).
  9. 1st & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short right to J.Jeudy.
  10. 2nd & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to H.Fannin to 50 for 10 yards (P.Queen; P.Wilson).
  11. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at CLV 40 for 0 yards (K.Jobity).
  12. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to H.Fannin pushed ob at CLV 40 for 27 yards (J.Brisker).
Q4 9:52Steelers 5 plays, 39 yards, 3:01 · from PIT 14Punt
  1. 4th & 2C.Johnston punts 34 yards to CLV 13, Center-C.Kuntz, fair catch by K.Concepcion.
  2. 3rd & 2A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to R.Nowakowski.
  3. 3rd & 2Timeout #1 by PIT at 07:05.
  4. 2nd & 11J.Warren left tackle to CLV 48 for 8 yards (T.Campbell). FUMBLES (T.Campbell), and recovers at CLV 47.
  5. 1st & 10R.Dowdle left guard to PIT 44 for -1 yards (M.Graham).
  6. 2nd & 6S.Anderson reported in as eligible. A.Rodgers pass short left to D.Washington to PIT 30 for 12 yards (E.McNeil-Warren; R.Hickman).PENALTY on CLV-Q.Williams, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 30.
  7. 1st & 10(Shotgun) R.Dowdle right guard to PIT 18 for 4 yards (Q.Williams; A.Huntington).
Q4 11:20Browns 3 plays, -12 yards, 1:28 · from PIT 42Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 09:52.
  2. 4th & 22C.Bojorquez punts 40 yards to PIT 14, Center-R.Sunahara, fair catch by K.Wetjen.
  3. 3rd & 18(Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at CLV 46 for -4 yards (T.Watt).
  4. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at 50 for -8 yards (P.Queen).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short right to D.Boston (K.Benton).
Q4 12:53Steelers 3 plays, 3 yards, 1:33 · from PIT 5Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 11:20.
  2. 4th & 7C.Johnston punts 34 yards to PIT 42, Center-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-R.Spears-Jennings.
  3. 3rd & 8(Shotgun) R.Dowdle right guard to PIT 8 for 1 yard (M.Hall).
  4. 2nd & 8A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep left to D.Metcalf.
  5. 1st & 10S.Anderson reported in as eligible. J.Warren up the middle to PIT 7 for 2 yards (M.Hall; E.McNeil-Warren).
Q3 4:19Browns 12 plays, 68 yards, 6:26 · from CLE 27Downs
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 12:53.
  2. 4th & Goal(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short left to D.Boston.
  3. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short right to D.Boston (A.Samuel).
  4. 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short left to H.Fannin [Y.Black].
  5. 1st & GoalQ.Judkins left tackle to PIT 5 for -3 yards (P.Wilson).
  6. 3rd & 3(Shotgun) D.Watson pass deep right to H.Fannin pushed ob at PIT 2 for 37 yards (J.Brisker; R.Spears-Jennings).
  7. 2nd & 11(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to K.Concepcion to PIT 39 for 7 yards (C.Heyward).
  8. Q3 0:00END QUARTER 3
  9. 1st & 20(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short middle to D.Sampson to PIT 46 for 9 yards (P.Queen; P.Wilson).
  10. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short left.PENALTY on CLV-S.Fano, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at PIT 45 - No Play.
  11. 2nd & 4(Shotgun) D.Sampson left end to PIT 49 for 1 yard (P.Wilson; G.Rubio).PENALTY on PIT-J.Sawyer, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.
  12. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to K.Concepcion to 50 for 6 yards (J.Brisker).
  13. 2nd & 7(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to Q.Judkins to PIT 41 for 12 yards (J.Brisker; R.Spears-Jennings).PENALTY on CLV-Q.Judkins, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 41.
  14. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson scrambles right end to CLV 47 for 3 yards (J.Sawyer).
  15. 2nd & 8(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to H.Fannin to CLV 44 for 15 yards (R.Spears-Jennings).
  16. 1st & 20(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to Q.Judkins pushed ob at CLV 29 for 12 yards (R.Spears-Jennings).
  17. 1st & 10Q.Judkins right end to CLV 30 for 3 yards (P.Queen; N.Herbig).PENALTY on CLV-A.Barber, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CLV 27 - No Play.
Q3 7:56Steelers 6 plays, 25 yards, 3:37 · from PIT 7Interception
  1. 2nd & 10S.Anderson reported in as eligible. A.Rodgers pass deep middle intended for D.Metcalf INTERCEPTED by D.Ward at CLV 27. D.Ward to CLV 27 for no gain (D.Metcalf).
  2. 1st & 10(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short right to J.Warren to PIT 32 for no gain (C.Schwesinger; S.Williams).
  3. 1st & 10J.Warren up the middle to PIT 32 for 13 yards (E.McNeil-Warren). FUMBLES (E.McNeil-Warren), RECOVERED by CLV-E.McNeil-Warren at PIT 32.The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED.J.Warren up the middle to PIT 32 for 13 yards (E.McNeil-Warren).
  4. 3rd & 1R.Dowdle left guard to PIT 19 for 3 yards (T.Campbell; R.Hickman).
  5. 2nd & 8S.Anderson reported in as eligible. A.Rodgers pass short right to G.Bernard pushed ob at PIT 16 for 7 yards (D.Ward).
  6. 1st & 10(Shotgun) R.Dowdle up the middle to PIT 9 for 2 yards (Q.Williams; E.McNeil-Warren). ** Injury Update: CLV-T.Campbell has returned to the game.
Q3 9:39Browns 3 plays, 8 yards, 1:43 · from CLE 20Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 07:56.
  2. 4th & 2C.Bojorquez punts 58 yards to PIT 14, Center-R.Sunahara. K.Wetjen to PIT 24 for 10 yards (R.Sunahara; W.Reid).PENALTY on PIT-Y.Black, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, enforced at PIT 14.
  3. 3rd & 2(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short left to K.Concepcion (C.Heyward).
  4. 2nd & 2(Shotgun) D.Watson up the middle to CLV 28 for no gain (P.Queen; C.Heyward).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to D.Sampson to CLV 28 for 8 yards (P.Queen; J.Dean).
  6. Q3 9:39C.Boswell kicks 50 yards from 50 to end zone, Touchback to the CLV 20.
Q3 10:23Steelers 2 plays, 59 yards, 0:44 · from PIT 41Touchdown
  1. Q3 9:39Official Timeout at 09:39.
  2. 1st & GoalS.Anderson reported in as eligible. J.Warren right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.PENALTY on CLV-S.Williams, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
  3. 1st & 10(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short left to D.Washington pushed ob at CLV 1 for 58 yards (C.Schwesinger).
Q3 12:29Browns 3 plays, 8 yards, 2:06 · from CLE 5Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 10:23.
  2. 4th & 2C.Bojorquez punts 46 yards to PIT 41, Center-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.
  3. 3rd & 1Q.Judkins left tackle to CLV 13 for -1 yards (C.Heyward).
  4. 3rd & 1Timeout #1 by CLV at 11:11.
  5. 2nd & 4(Shotgun) Q.Judkins left tackle to CLV 14 for 3 yards (K.Benton; C.Heyward).
  6. 1st & 10D.Sampson left tackle to CLV 12 for 7 yards (D.Elliott).
Q3 15:00Steelers 5 plays, 16 yards, 2:31 · from PIT 33Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 12:29.
  2. 4th & 5C.Johnston punts 46 yards to CLV 5, Center-C.Kuntz, fair catch by K.Concepcion.
  3. 3rd & 5(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to D.Metcalf (D.Ward).Penalty on PIT-M.Iheanachor, Offensive Holding, declined.
  4. 2nd & 5(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to D.Washington. ** Injury Update: CLV-M.Collins has returned to the game.
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Warren right tackle to PIT 49 for 5 yards (M.Blackmon; C.Schwesinger).
  6. 2nd & 5(Shotgun) J.Warren right guard to PIT 44 for 6 yards (E.McNeil-Warren).
  7. 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Warren right guard to PIT 38 for 5 yards (M.Hall).
  8. Q3 15:00A.Szmyt kicks 58 yards from CLV 35 to PIT 7. K.Wetjen to PIT 33 for 26 yards (E.Mascarenas-Arnold).
Q2 0:01Browns 1 play, -1 yard, 0:01 · from CLE 35End of Half
  1. Q2 0:00END QUARTER 2
  2. 1st & 10D.Watson kneels to CLV 34 for -1 yards.
  3. Q2 0:01C.Boswell kicks 65 yards from PIT 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CLV 35.
Q2 0:45Steelers 6 plays, 69 yards, 0:44 · from PIT 31Touchdown
  1. 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) Direct snap to P.Freiermuth. P.Freiermuth up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.
  2. 1st & Goal(No Huddle) A.Rodgers spiked the ball to stop the clock.
  3. 1st & 10(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short right to G.Bernard to CLV 1 for 15 yards (Q.Williams; R.Hickman).
  4. 1st & 10Timeout #3 by PIT at 00:20.
  5. 2nd & 8(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass deep middle to P.Freiermuth to CLV 16 for 28 yards (R.Hickman).
  6. 2nd & 8Timeout #2 by CLV at 00:25.
  7. 1st & 10(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short left to G.Bernard to CLV 44 for 2 yards (T.Campbell; M.Harden). CLV-T.Campbell was injured during the play.
  8. 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Warren up the middle pushed ob at CLV 46 for 23 yards (G.Delpit).
  9. Q2 0:45A.Szmyt kicks 57 yards from CLV 35 to PIT 8. K.Wetjen to PIT 31 for 23 yards (S.Williams; E.McNeil-Warren).
Q2 3:27Browns 8 plays, 44 yards, 2:42 · from CLE 25Field Goal
  1. Q2 0:45Official Timeout at 00:45.
  2. 4th & 9A.Szmyt 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.
  3. 4th & 9Timeout #2 by PIT at 00:49.
  4. 3rd & 18(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short middle to H.Fannin to PIT 31 for 9 yards (P.Queen) [A.Highsmith].
  5. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at PIT 40 for -8 yards (T.Watt).
  6. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to D.Boston.
  7. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to D.Boston ran ob at PIT 32 for 12 yards.
  8. 3rd & 3(Shotgun) D.Watson pass deep left to K.Concepcion to PIT 44 for 24 yards (D.Everette; R.Spears-Jennings) [T.Watt].
  9. 3rd & 3Two-Minute Warning
  10. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) Q.Judkins up the middle to CLV 32 for 7 yards (J.Ramsey).
  11. 2nd & 10Timeout #1 by CLV at 02:24.
  12. 2nd & 5(Shotgun) PENALTY on CLV-Z.Johnson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CLV 30 - No Play.
  13. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to D.Boston to CLV 30 for 5 yards (J.Dean).
  14. Q2 3:27C.Boswell kicks 64 yards from PIT 35 to CLV 1. D.Sampson to CLV 25 for 24 yards (R.Nowakowski; J.Sawyer).
Q2 8:43Steelers 10 plays, 45 yards, 5:16 · from PIT 36Field Goal
  1. Q2 3:27Official Timeout at 03:27.
  2. 4th & GoalC.Boswell 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.
  3. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) A.Rodgers sacked at CLV 19 for -11 yards (A.Huntington).
  4. 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to D.Washington (Q.Williams) [J.Verse].
  5. 1st & Goal(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right.
  6. 3rd & 3(Shotgun) R.Dowdle up the middle to CLV 8 for 4 yards (M.Collins).
  7. 2nd & 12(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short middle to B.Johnson to CLV 12 for 9 yards (M.Harden).
  8. 1st & 10J.Warren up the middle to CLV 21 for -2 yards (M.Collins).
  9. 1st & 10(Shotgun) R.Dowdle right end to CLV 23 for 14 yards (Q.Williams). FUMBLES (Q.Williams), recovered by PIT-T.Fautanu at CLV 19.
  10. 2nd & 7(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short right to D.Washington pushed ob at CLV 37 for 24 yards (C.Schwesinger).
  11. 1st & 10S.Anderson reported in as eligible. R.Dowdle left end to PIT 39 for 3 yards (C.Schwesinger; T.Campbell).
  12. Q2 8:43A.Szmyt kicks 60 yards from CLV 35 to PIT 5. K.Wetjen pushed ob at PIT 36 for 31 yards (D.McMillon).
Q2 14:05Browns 10 plays, 61 yards, 5:22 · from CLE 25Field Goal
  1. Q2 8:43Official Timeout at 08:43.
  2. 4th & 5A.Szmyt 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.
  3. 3rd & 5(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short right [A.Highsmith].Penalty on CLV-S.Fano, Offensive Holding, declined.
  4. 2nd & 14(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to H.Fannin to PIT 14 for 9 yards (P.Wilson).
  5. 2nd & 9(Shotgun) PENALTY on CLV-T.Howard, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 18 - No Play.
  6. 1st & 10Q.Judkins up the middle to PIT 18 for 1 yard (J.Sawyer; P.Wilson).
  7. 1st & 10D.Watson pass deep right to H.Fannin to PIT 19 for 25 yards (J.Ramsey; J.Dean).
  8. 3rd & 6(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to H.Fannin to PIT 44 for 12 yards (J.Brisker).
  9. 2nd & 6(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short middle to D.Sampson (P.Queen).
  10. 1st & 10Q.Judkins right guard to CLV 44 for 4 yards (Y.Black; K.Benton).
  11. 2nd & 2(Shotgun) Q.Judkins right tackle to CLV 40 for 7 yards (A.Highsmith; P.Queen).
  12. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short middle to H.Fannin to CLV 33 for 8 yards (A.Highsmith; P.Queen).
  13. Q2 14:05C.Boswell kicks 65 yards from PIT 35 to CLV 0. D.Sampson to CLV 25 for 25 yards (C.Bruener).
Q1 6:17Steelers 13 plays, 86 yards, 7:12 · from PIT 12Field Goal
  1. Q2 14:05Official Timeout at 14:05.
  2. 4th & GoalY.Black and T.Fautanu reported in as eligible. C.Boswell 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.
  3. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) J.Warren right guard to CLV 2 for no gain (I.McGuire; G.Delpit).
  4. 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right.
  5. 1st & GoalA.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to D.Metcalf.
  6. Q1 0:00END QUARTER 1
  7. 3rd & 2(Shotgun) R.Dowdle up the middle to CLV 2 for 3 yards (T.Campbell; J.Verse).
  8. 2nd & 9(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short middle to P.Freiermuth to CLV 5 for 7 yards (C.Schwesinger).
  9. 2nd & 9Timeout #1 by PIT at 01:10.
  10. 1st & 10S.Anderson reported in as eligible. J.Warren up the middle to CLV 12 for 1 yard (G.Delpit; M.Hall).
  11. 2nd & 6(Shotgun) J.Warren left end to CLV 13 for 8 yards (C.Schwesinger; E.McNeil-Warren).
  12. 1st & 10A.Rodgers pass short right to D.Metcalf to CLV 21 for 4 yards (D.Ward; D.Thomas).
  13. 3rd & 13(Shotgun) J.Warren up the middle to CLV 25 for 51 yards (C.Schwesinger).
  14. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short right to G.Bernard to PIT 24 for -3 yards (G.Delpit).
  15. 1st & 10J.Warren left tackle to PIT 27 for no gain (M.Collins; C.Schwesinger).
  16. 1st & 10S.Anderson reported in as eligible. J.Warren right guard to PIT 27 for 15 yards (R.Hickman; E.McNeil-Warren).
Q1 7:57Browns 3 plays, -4 yards, 1:40 · from CLE 37Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 06:17.
  2. 4th & 14C.Bojorquez punts 55 yards to PIT 12, Center-R.Sunahara, fair catch by K.Wetjen.
  3. 3rd & 7(Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at CLV 33 for -7 yards (N.Herbig).
  4. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to T.Wallace to CLV 40 for 3 yards (J.Ramsey).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to D.Boston.
  6. Q1 7:57C.Boswell kicks 69 yards from PIT 20 to CLV 11. M.Corley to CLV 37 for 26 yards (C.Bruener; T.Smith).
Q1 10:34Steelers 5 plays, 45 yards, 2:37 · from CLE 45Touchdown
  1. Q1 7:57Official Timeout at 07:57.
  2. 2nd & 1S.Anderson reported in as eligible. R.Dowdle right guard for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.PENALTY on PIT-M.McCormick, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
  3. 1st & 10R.Dowdle right end pushed ob at CLV 9 for 9 yards (R.Hickman).
  4. 1st & 10(Shotgun) R.Dowdle up the middle to CLV 18 for 15 yards (R.Hickman).
  5. 2nd & 7(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short left to G.Bernard pushed ob at CLV 33 for 9 yards (M.Harden).
  6. 1st & 10J.Warren right tackle to CLV 42 for 3 yards (E.McNeil-Warren; S.Williams).
Q1 11:14Browns 2 plays, -2 yards, 0:40 · from CLE 47Fumble
  1. 2nd & 7(Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at CLV 45 for -5 yards (sack split by P.Queen and C.Heyward). FUMBLES (P.Queen) [P.Queen], touched at CLV 45, RECOVERED by PIT-K.Benton at CLV 45. The fumble was assisted by replay.
  2. 1st & 10(Shotgun) Q.Judkins left guard to 50 for 3 yards (A.Highsmith). ** Injury Update: CLV-D.Watson has returned to the game.
Q1 12:08Steelers 4 plays, 3 yards, 0:54 · from CLE 42Missed FG
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 11:14.
  2. 4th & 7C.Boswell 57 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.
  3. 3rd & 7(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to J.Warren.
  4. 2nd & 10J.Warren right tackle to CLV 39 for 3 yards (M.Collins; C.Schwesinger).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to D.Metcalf (T.Campbell).
Q1 15:00Browns 5 plays, 15 yards, 2:52 · from CLE 27Fumble
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 12:08.
  2. 3rd & 14(Shotgun) S.Sanders pass short right to H.Fannin to CLV 42 for 2 yards (D.Everette; R.Spears-Jennings).Penalty on CLV-S.Fano, Offensive Holding, declined.Pittsburgh challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED.(Shotgun) S.Sanders pass short right to H.Fannin to CLV 42 for 2 yards (D.Everette; R.Spears-Jennings). FUMBLES (D.Everette), RECOVERED by PIT-D.Everette at CLV 42.Penalty on CLV-S.Fano, Offensive Holding, declined.
  3. 2nd & 15Q.Judkins left tackle to CLV 40 for 1 yard (N.Herbig).
  4. 1st & 15(Shotgun) S.Sanders pass short right to D.Boston to CLV 39 for no gain (J.Ramsey).Penalty on CLV-E.Jenkins, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Sanders pass incomplete short right.PENALTY on CLV-T.Howard, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at CLV 44 - No Play.
  6. 3rd & 8(Shotgun) D.Watson pass incomplete short right to K.Concepcion. CLV-D.Watson was injured during the play. PENALTY on PIT-J.Brisker, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at CLV 29 - No Play.
  7. 2nd & 6(Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at CLV 29 for -2 yards (sack split by A.Highsmith and K.Benton).
  8. 1st & 10Q.Judkins left tackle to CLV 31 for 4 yards (P.Wilson; A.Highsmith).
  9. Q1 15:00C.Boswell kicks 64 yards from PIT 35 to CLV 1. I.Bond pushed ob at CLV 27 for 26 yards (R.Spears-Jennings).

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Closing spread

PIT -3.5

Total

38.5

Model margin

+2.6est.

PIT perspective

Push chance

None

half-point line — cannot push

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Browns

Steelers

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Brownsedge mapSteelers
  • -0.040EPA / play-0.029
  • 42.7%Success rate42.3%
  • +0.039EPA / dropback-0.063
  • -0.175EPA / rush+0.043
  • 7.8%Explosive rate8.1%
  • -1.22CPOE-1.45
  • 32.8%Third-down rate36.8%
  • 59.3%Red-zone TD rate50.4%
  • 1.65Points / drive1.79
  • 1.8%Turnover rate1.5%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

PIT lead 42–14–1 since 1999

CLE have won 2 straight. Meetings average 39.1 points. PIT are 29-26-2 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2026 · W4PIT @ CLE24–27CLE
2025 · W17PIT @ CLE6–13CLE
2025 · W6CLE @ PIT9–23PIT
2024 · W14CLE @ PIT14–27PIT
2024 · W12PIT @ CLE19–24CLE
2023 · W11PIT @ CLE10–13CLE
2023 · W2CLE @ PIT22–26PIT
2022 · W18CLE @ PIT14–28PIT

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line +3.54.0%2.7%7.0%7.5%3.1%4.7%3.0%2.7%

Positive margins favour Steelers; negative favour Browns.

Half-point at risk

2.54%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

56.1%

Expected total

42.6est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)+0.40
  • Home-field advantage+2.22
  • Quarterback adjustment0.00
  • Rest differential0.00
  • Expected margin+2.62