2026 · Week 8 · Division

Final

Chiefs

Kansas City

QB Patrick Mahomes

24·28

Broncos

Denver

QB Bo Nix

Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors · grass

Final · play by play

How it finished

Final

(Shotgun) P.Mahomes sacked at DEN 12 for -6 yards (M.Roach).

Last play · Chiefs · Sack

Win probability · ESPN's model, not ours

0% ChiefsBroncos 100%

Scoring

  1. Q1 9:43Broncos Wil Lutz 39 Yd Field Goal0-3
  2. Q1 6:04Chiefs Rashee Rice 11 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Harrison Butker Kick)7-3
  3. Q2 14:08Broncos Wil Lutz 45 Yd Field Goal7-6
  4. Q2 7:40Chiefs Emmett Johnson 73 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Harrison Butker Kick)14-6
  5. Q2 1:15Broncos Jaylen Waddle 1 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Wil Lutz Kick)14-13
  6. Q2 0:19Chiefs Harrison Butker 45 Yd Field Goal17-13
  7. Q3 1:38Chiefs Noah Gray 4 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Harrison Butker Kick)24-13
  8. Q4 8:55Broncos Nate Adkins 2 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Bo Nix Pass to Jaylen Waddle for Two-Point Conversion)24-21
  9. Q4 1:56Broncos Jonah Coleman 5 Yd Rush (Wil Lutz Kick)24-28

Every drive · newest first

Q4 1:56Chiefs 8 plays, 44 yards, 1:56 · from KC 44Downs
  1. Q4 0:00END GAME
  2. 4th & Goal(Shotgun) P.Mahomes sacked at DEN 12 for -6 yards (M.Roach).
  3. 4th & Goal(Shotgun) PENALTY on KC-J.Moore, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 1 - No Play.
  4. 4th & 1Timeout #3 by KC at 00:04.
  5. 3rd & GoalK.Walker up the middle to DEN 1 for no gain (J.Skinner).
  6. 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right [Q.Robinson].
  7. 2nd & 1Timeout #2 by KC at 00:15.
  8. 1st & GoalK.Walker right end to DEN 1 for 3 yards (P.Surtain).
  9. 2nd & 4P.Mahomes pass short middle to K.Walker to DEN 4 for 8 yards (T.Rapp; A.Singleton).
  10. 2nd & 4Timeout #3 by DEN at 01:06.
  11. 1st & 10(Shotgun) K.Walker right end to DEN 12 for 6 yards (P.Surtain).
  12. 1st & 10Timeout #2 by DEN at 01:14.
  13. 2nd & 4(No Huddle, Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to T.Kelce to DEN 18 for 32 yards (D.Key).
  14. 1st & 10(Shotgun) K.Walker right tackle to 50 for 6 yards (D.Key).
  15. Q4 1:56W.Lutz kicks 65 yards from DEN 35 to KC 0. E.Johnson ran ob at KC 44 for 44 yards (K.Abrams-Draine).
Q4 2:31Broncos 2 plays, 56 yards, 0:35 · from DEN 44Touchdown
  1. 1st & Goal(Shotgun) J.Coleman up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Fraboni, Holder-J.Crawshaw.
  2. 1st & 4Two-Minute Warning
  3. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short right to J.Coleman to KC 5 for 51 yards (N.Williams; N.Bolton).
Q4 8:55Chiefs 11 plays, 34 yards, 6:24 · from KC 30Missed FG
  1. 4th & 8H.Butker 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.
  2. 4th & 8Timeout #1 by DEN at 02:36.
  3. 3rd & 2(Shotgun) P.Mahomes sacked at DEN 36 for -6 yards (A.Singleton).
  4. 2nd & 8(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short left to K.Walker to DEN 30 for 6 yards (D.Key).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to R.Rice to DEN 36 for 2 yards (J.Cooper).
  6. 3rd & 3(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short left to E.Johnson to DEN 38 for 4 yards (J.Strnad).
  7. 2nd & 3K.Walker right tackle to DEN 42 for no gain (M.Roach; D.Jones).
  8. 1st & 10K.Walker right tackle to DEN 42 for 7 yards (T.Rapp; Q.Robinson).
  9. 3rd & 1K.Walker left tackle to DEN 49 for 1 yard (A.Singleton; T.Rapp).
  10. 2nd & 5P.Mahomes pass short left to J.Royals to 50 for 4 yards (R.Moss).
  11. 1st & 10K.Walker up the middle to KC 46 for 5 yards (A.Singleton).
  12. 2nd & 4(Shotgun) PENALTY on DEN, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, 5 yards, enforced at KC 36 - No Play.
  13. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass short middle to J.Briningstool to KC 36 for 6 yards (A.Singleton; J.Cooper).
  14. Q4 8:55W.Lutz kicks 59 yards from DEN 35 to KC 6. J.Royals to KC 30 for 24 yards (K.Reid).
Q4 13:13Broncos 9 plays, 80 yards, 4:18 · from DEN 20Touchdown
  1. Q4 8:55Official Timeout at 08:55.
  2. 4th & GoalB.Nix pass short right to N.Adkins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. B.Nix pass to J.Waddle is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  3. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short right to J.Coleman pushed ob at KC 2 for 1 yard (N.Bolton; C.Roland-Wallace).
  4. 2nd & GoalB.Nix pass incomplete short middle.
  5. 1st & Goal(Shotgun) J.Coleman left end to KC 3 for 1 yard (F.Anudike-Uzomah).
  6. 1st & 10M.Mims right end pushed ob at KC 4 for 14 yards (A.Gilman; N.Williams).
  7. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short middle to A.Trautman to KC 33 for 22 yards (C.Conner).PENALTY on KC-A.Gilman, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at KC 33.
  8. 2nd & 2J.Coleman up the middle to DEN 45 for 7 yards (C.Roland-Wallace).
  9. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short right to C.Sutton to DEN 38 for 8 yards (D.Tranquill).
  10. 1st & 10A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. J.Coleman right guard to DEN 30 for 10 yards (C.Conner; A.Gilman).
Q3 1:06Chiefs 6 plays, 19 yards, 2:53 · from KC 22Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 13:13.
  2. 4th & 1M.Araiza punts 59 yards to end zone, Center-J.Winchester, Touchback.
  3. 3rd & 6(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to E.Johnson pushed ob at KC 41 for 5 yards (J.Cooper; A.Singleton).Penalty on KC-J.Moore, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.
  4. 2nd & 6P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep left to T.Kelce.
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes left end ran ob at KC 36 for 4 yards (P.Surtain).
  6. 3rd & 1(Shotgun) H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. K.Walker up the middle to KC 32 for 1 yard (M.Roach).
  7. Q3 0:00END QUARTER 3
  8. 2nd & 7(Shotgun) K.Walker left tackle to KC 31 for 6 yards (P.Surtain; D.Key).
  9. 1st & 10K.Walker up the middle to KC 25 for 3 yards (E.Uwazurike; D.Key).
Q3 1:38Broncos 3 plays, 0 yards, 0:32 · from DEN 30Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 01:06.
  2. 4th & 10J.Crawshaw punts 48 yards to KC 22, Center-M.Fraboni. N.Remigio to KC 35 for 13 yards (J.Turner; N.Adkins).PENALTY on KC-J.Canady, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 32.Penalty on KC-X.Nwankpa, Offensive Holding, declined.
  3. 3rd & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete deep left to J.Waddle.
  4. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short right to M.Mims.
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short middle to E.Engram (K.Tonga).
  6. Q3 1:38H.Butker kicks 62 yards from KC 35 to DEN 3. C.Schrader to DEN 30 for 27 yards (J.Bassa).
Q3 7:02Chiefs 11 plays, 63 yards, 5:24 · from KC 37Touchdown
  1. Q3 1:38Official Timeout at 01:38.
  2. 1st & GoalP.Mahomes pass short right to N.Gray for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.
  3. 3rd & 12(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to C.Allen to DEN 4 for 12 yards (D.Key; A.Singleton) [Z.Allen].
  4. 3rd & 12Timeout #1 by KC at 02:28.
  5. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to K.Walker to DEN 16 for -2 yards (D.Key).
  6. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to X.Worthy (R.Moss) [Z.Allen].
  7. 3rd & 6(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short middle to N.Gray to DEN 14 for 11 yards (P.Surtain) [N.Bonitto].
  8. 2nd & 6P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to X.Worthy (P.Surtain) [S.Jones].
  9. 1st & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short left to R.Rice to DEN 25 for 4 yards (A.Singleton; J.McMillian).
  10. 2nd & 2E.Johnson up the middle to DEN 29 for 15 yards (T.Rapp).
  11. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass short right to T.Kelce to DEN 44 for 8 yards (A.Singleton).
  12. 2nd & 1K.Walker right end to KC 48 for 2 yards (J.Skinner; Z.Allen).
  13. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass short middle to R.Rice to KC 46 for 9 yards (A.Singleton).
Q3 9:35Broncos 3 plays, 3 yards, 2:33 · from DEN 20Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 07:02.
  2. 4th & 7J.Crawshaw punts 40 yards to KC 37, Center-M.Fraboni, fair catch by N.Remigio.
  3. 4th & 2(Punt formation) PENALTY on DEN-J.Skinner, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 28 - No Play.
  4. 3rd & 6(No Huddle, Shotgun) B.Nix pass short right to C.Sutton to DEN 28 for 4 yards (J.Canady).
  5. 2nd & 9(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short left to J.Waddle to DEN 24 for 3 yards (C.Roland-Wallace).
  6. 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Coleman right end to DEN 21 for 1 yard (F.Anudike-Uzomah).
Q3 12:31Chiefs 5 plays, 20 yards, 2:56 · from KC 18Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 09:35.
  2. 4th & 7M.Araiza punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-J.Winchester, Touchback.
  3. 3rd & 7(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to C.Allen (D.Key) [E.Uwazurike].
  4. 2nd & 9(Shotgun) K.Walker left tackle to KC 38 for 2 yards (A.Singleton; S.Jones).
  5. 1st & 10K.Walker right tackle to KC 36 for 1 yard (N.Bonitto).
  6. 2nd & 6(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to C.Allen to KC 35 for 8 yards (R.Moss).
  7. 1st & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short left to X.Worthy pushed ob at KC 27 for 4 yards (T.Rapp).
  8. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to T.Kelce.PENALTY on DEN-T.Rapp, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 18 - No Play.
Q3 15:00Broncos 3 plays, 6 yards, 2:29 · from DEN 32Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 12:31.
  2. 4th & 4J.Crawshaw punts 44 yards to KC 18, Center-M.Fraboni, fair catch by N.Remigio.
  3. 3rd & 7(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short right to M.Mims to DEN 38 for 3 yards (J.Canady).
  4. 2nd & 14(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short left to M.Mims to DEN 35 for 7 yards (K.Fulton).
  5. 2nd & 9(Shotgun) PENALTY on DEN-E.Engram, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 33 - No Play.
  6. 1st & 10J.Coleman right end to DEN 33 for 1 yard (N.Bolton).
  7. Q3 15:00H.Butker kicks 63 yards from KC 35 to DEN 2. M.Mims ran ob at DEN 32 for 30 yards (C.McDonald; J.Cochrane).
Q2 0:19Broncos 1 play, -1 yard, 0:19 · from DEN 27End of Half
  1. Q2 0:00END QUARTER 2
  2. 1st & 10B.Nix kneels to DEN 26 for -1 yards.
  3. Q2 0:19H.Butker kicks 61 yards from KC 35 to DEN 4. C.Schrader to DEN 27 for 23 yards (J.Bassa; E.Johnson).
Q2 1:15Chiefs 6 plays, 48 yards, 0:56 · from KC 25Field Goal
  1. 4th & 3H.Butker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.
  2. 3rd & 2(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to X.Worthy.
  3. 2nd & 2(No Huddle, Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left.
  4. 1st & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short middle to T.Kelce to DEN 27 for 8 yards (J.Strnad).
  5. 2nd & 8(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to E.Johnson pushed ob at DEN 35 for 38 yards (B.Jones).
  6. 1st & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to X.Worthy pushed ob at KC 27 for 2 yards (R.Moss).
  7. Q2 1:15W.Lutz kicks 61 yards from DEN 35 to KC 4. N.Remigio pushed ob at KC 25 for 21 yards (Q.Robinson). ** Injury Update: DEN-K.Abrams-Draine has returned to the game.
Q2 7:40Broncos 12 plays, 69 yards, 6:25 · from DEN 31Touchdown
  1. Q2 1:15Official Timeout at 01:15.
  2. 4th & GoalB.Nix pass short right to J.Waddle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Fraboni, Holder-J.Crawshaw.
  3. 4th & 1Timeout #2 by KC at 01:19.
  4. 3rd & GoalJ.Coleman up the middle to KC 1 for no gain (A.Gilman). ** Injury Update: DEN-C.Sutton has returned to the game.
  5. 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. B.Nix right end to KC 1 for no gain (D.Tranquill).
  6. 2nd & 1Two-Minute Warning
  7. 1st & GoalA.Palczewski reported in as eligible. J.Coleman right tackle to KC 1 for no gain (D.Tranquill; N.Bolton).
  8. 2nd & GoalB.Nix pass incomplete short left to J.Coleman (A.Gilman).PENALTY on KC-A.Gilman, Defensive Pass Interference, 2 yards, enforced at KC 3 - No Play.
  9. 1st & GoalJ.Coleman right tackle to KC 3 for 4 yards (A.Gilman; J.Cochrane).
  10. 2nd & 2J.Coleman right tackle to KC 7 for 6 yards (N.Williams).
  11. 1st & 10A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. B.Nix pass short middle to A.Trautman to KC 13 for 8 yards (N.Bolton; J.Cochrane).
  12. 2nd & 8(No Huddle, Shotgun) B.Nix pass short left to C.Sutton pushed ob at KC 21 for 18 yards (A.Gilman). DEN-C.Sutton was injured during the play.
  13. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short left to N.Adkins to KC 39 for 2 yards (N.Bolton).
  14. 1st & 10B.Nix pass short right to J.Coleman pushed ob at DEN 43 for -1 yards (D.Tranquill).PENALTY on KC-D.Tranquill, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 44 - No Play.
  15. 3rd & 7(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short right to L.Humphrey to DEN 44 for 10 yards (C.Conner).
  16. 2nd & 7(Shotgun) A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. B.Nix pass incomplete short right.
  17. 1st & 10J.Dobbins left tackle to DEN 34 for 3 yards (K.Tonga).
  18. Q2 7:40H.Butker kicks 60 yards from KC 35 to DEN 5. M.Mims pushed ob at DEN 31 for 26 yards (A.Armstrong).
Q2 10:58Chiefs 6 plays, 95 yards, 3:18 · from KC 5Touchdown
  1. Q2 7:40Official Timeout at 07:40.
  2. 3rd & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short left to E.Johnson for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN [J.McMillian]. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.
  3. 2nd & 13(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to K.Walker to KC 27 for 3 yards (R.Moss; J.McMillian).
  4. 2nd & 5(Shotgun) K.Walker right end to KC 42 for 10 yards (B.Jones).PENALTY on KC-Tr.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 34.
  5. 1st & 10K.Walker right end to KC 32 for 5 yards (P.Surtain).
  6. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass short middle to R.Rice to KC 27 for 12 yards (B.Jones).
  7. 1st & 10(Shotgun) K.Walker right end to KC 15 for 10 yards (T.Rapp; S.Jones).
Q2 13:46Broncos 5 plays, 17 yards, 2:48 · from DEN 32Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 10:58.
  2. 4th & 20J.Crawshaw punts 41 yards to KC 10, Center-M.Fraboni. N.Remigio MUFFS catch, and recovers at KC 10.PENALTY on KC-K.Fulton, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 5 yards, enforced at KC 10.
  3. 3rd & 20(Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short middle.
  4. 3rd & 25(Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short middle to M.Mims.PENALTY on KC-R.Thomas, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 44 - No Play.
  5. 3rd & 15(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short left to C.Sutton pushed ob at KC 34 for 12 yards (K.Fulton).PENALTY on DEN-C.Sutton, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at KC 46 - No Play.
  6. 2nd & 15(Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short right to J.Waddle (G.Karlaftis).
  7. 1st & 10B.Nix sacked at KC 46 for -5 yards (G.Karlaftis). FUMBLES (G.Karlaftis) [G.Karlaftis], touched at KC 46, recovered by DEN-A.Trautman at KC 46. A.Trautman to KC 46 for no gain (A.Gillotte).Penalty on DEN-T.Franklin, Illegal Shift, declined.
  8. 2nd & 18B.Nix pass deep middle to J.Waddle to KC 41 for 35 yards (J.Hicks; C.Conner).
  9. 2nd & 18Timeout #1 by DEN at 13:04.
  10. 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Dobbins right end to DEN 24 for -8 yards (G.Karlaftis, N.Williams).
Q2 14:08Chiefs 3 plays, 0 yards, 0:22 · from KC 20Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 13:46.
  2. 4th & 10M.Araiza punts 64 yards to DEN 16, Center-J.Winchester. M.Mims pushed ob at DEN 32 for 16 yards (C.Roland-Wallace).
  3. 3rd & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to R.Rice (Z.Allen).
  4. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to K.Walker (D.Tillman).Penalty on KC-K.Benson, Illegal Formation, declined.
  5. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to T.Kelce (A.Singleton). The incomplete pass was assisted by replay.
  6. Q2 14:08W.Lutz kicks 65 yards from DEN 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the KC 20.
Q1 2:07Broncos 9 plays, 44 yards, 2:59 · from DEN 29Field Goal
  1. Q2 14:08Official Timeout at 14:08.
  2. 4th & 4W.Lutz 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Fraboni, Holder-J.Crawshaw.
  3. 3rd & 4(Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short right to J.Waddle (G.Karlaftis).
  4. 2nd & 10J.Coleman right end pushed ob at KC 27 for 6 yards (J.Hicks).
  5. 1st & 10B.Nix pass incomplete short right to E.Engram.
  6. Q1 0:00END QUARTER 1
  7. 2nd & 6(Shotgun) B.Nix pass deep left to C.Sutton to KC 33 for 23 yards (C.Conner).
  8. 1st & 10J.Dobbins up the middle to DEN 44 for 4 yards (K.Tonga).
  9. 3rd & 4(No Huddle, Shotgun) B.Nix scrambles left end pushed ob at DEN 40 for 5 yards (D.Tranquill).
  10. 2nd & 4(No Huddle, Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short middle to J.Coleman (R.Thomas).
  11. 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Dobbins left guard to DEN 35 for 6 yards (N.Bolton).
Q1 4:29Chiefs 3 plays, 8 yards, 2:22 · from KC 23Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 02:07.
  2. 4th & 2M.Araiza punts 40 yards to DEN 29, Center-J.Winchester, out of bounds.
  3. 3rd & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short left to E.Johnson to KC 31 for 8 yards (A.Singleton).
  4. 3rd & 10Timeout #1 by KC at 02:58.
  5. 2nd & 14P.Mahomes pass short right to T.Kelce to KC 23 for 4 yards (P.Surtain).
  6. 2nd & 9(Shotgun) PENALTY on KC-T.Kelce, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at KC 24 - No Play.
  7. 1st & 10K.Walker right guard to KC 24 for 1 yard (S.Jones).
Q1 6:04Broncos 3 plays, 8 yards, 1:35 · from DEN 34Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 04:29.
  2. 4th & 2J.Crawshaw punts 44 yards to KC 14, Center-M.Fraboni. N.Remigio to KC 23 for 9 yards (T.Anderson).
  3. 3rd & 2(No Huddle, Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short left to E.Engram (C.Roland-Wallace, G.Karlaftis).
  4. 2nd & 7M.Mims right end to DEN 42 for 5 yards (C.Roland-Wallace; A.Gilman).
  5. 1st & 10B.Nix pass short left to T.Franklin pushed ob at DEN 37 for 3 yards (K.Fulton).
  6. Q1 6:04H.Butker kicks 59 yards from KC 35 to DEN 6. M.Mims MUFFS catch, and recovers at DEN 11. M.Mims to DEN 34 for 23 yards (C.McDonald; J.Ott).
Q1 9:43Chiefs 7 plays, 69 yards, 3:39 · from KC 31Touchdown
  1. 1st & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short middle to R.Rice for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.
  2. 2nd & 3(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short left to X.Worthy pushed ob at DEN 11 for 7 yards (J.McMillian).
  3. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass short left to R.Rice to DEN 18 for 7 yards (D.Tillman; A.Singleton).
  4. 2nd & 2(Shotgun) P.Mahomes scrambles up the middle to DEN 25 for 2 yards (A.Singleton).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short middle to R.Rice to DEN 27 for 8 yards (P.Surtain).
  6. 1st & 10K.Walker right guard to 50 for 4 yards (J.McMillian; E.Uwazurike).PENALTY on DEN-E.Uwazurike, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at 50.
  7. 1st & 10P.Mahomes pass short middle to T.Kelce to KC 46 for 15 yards (D.Key).
  8. Q1 9:43W.Lutz kicks 65 yards from DEN 35 to KC 0. N.Remigio to KC 31 for 31 yards (T.Anderson).
Q1 13:41Broncos 8 plays, 62 yards, 3:58 · from DEN 17Field Goal
  1. Q1 9:43Official Timeout at 09:43.
  2. 4th & 6W.Lutz 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Fraboni, Holder-J.Crawshaw.
  3. 3rd & 6(Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete deep left to T.Franklin [N.Bolton].
  4. 2nd & 8(Shotgun) J.Dobbins right end to KC 21 for 2 yards (A.Gillotte).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short right to J.Coleman to KC 23 for 2 yards (N.Bolton).
  6. 2nd & 5B.Nix pass short right to A.Prentice pushed ob at KC 40 for 10 yards (J.Cochrane).PENALTY on KC-J.Cochrane, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at KC 40.
  7. 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Dobbins left guard to 50 for 5 yards (D.Tranquill).
  8. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete deep left to T.Franklin.PENALTY on KC-K.Fulton, Defensive Pass Interference, 18 yards, enforced at DEN 27 - No Play.
  9. 2nd & 9(Shotgun) B.Nix pass short right to J.Coleman pushed ob at DEN 27 for 9 yards (N.Bolton).
  10. 1st & 10J.Dobbins left tackle to DEN 18 for 1 yard (K.Fulton; F.Anudike-Uzomah).
Q1 15:00Chiefs 3 plays, 4 yards, 1:19 · from KC 35Punt
  1. 4th & 6M.Araiza punts 44 yards to DEN 17, Center-J.Winchester, fair catch by M.Mims.
  2. 3rd & 6(Shotgun) C.Humphrey to KC 34 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-P.Mahomes at KC 31. P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right [Z.Allen].
  3. 2nd & 8(Shotgun) K.Walker left tackle to KC 39 for 2 yards (M.Roach).
  4. 1st & 10K.Walker up the middle to KC 37 for 2 yards (D.Jones).
  5. Q1 15:00W.Lutz kicks 65 yards from DEN 35 to end zone, Touchback to the KC 35.

Plays via ESPN. The full play-by-play, with EPA and our win probability, lands with the overnight data refresh.

Closing spread

KC -1.5

Total

41.5

Model margin

+1.1est.

DEN perspective

Push chance

None

half-point line — cannot push

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Chiefs

Broncos

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Chiefsedge mapBroncos
  • +0.104EPA / play-0.040
  • 46.6%Success rate37.9%
  • +0.122EPA / dropback-0.004
  • +0.075EPA / rush-0.093
  • 10.0%Explosive rate6.4%
  • +0.11CPOE-2.61
  • 39.3%Third-down rate31.4%
  • 52.6%Red-zone TD rate71.1%
  • 2.28Points / drive1.75
  • 1.1%Turnover rate1.2%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

KC lead 31–24 since 1999

Meetings average 43.8 points. DEN are 26-28-1 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2026 · W1DEN @ KC10–31KC
2025 · W17DEN @ KC20–13DEN
2025 · W11KC @ DEN19–22DEN
2024 · W18KC @ DEN0–38DEN
2024 · W10DEN @ KC14–16KC
2023 · W8KC @ DEN9–24DEN
2023 · W6DEN @ KC8–19KC
2022 · W17DEN @ KC24–27KC

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line -1.54.2%2.8%7.2%7.5%3.0%4.6%2.8%

Positive margins favour Broncos; negative favour Chiefs.

Half-point at risk

2.14%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

52.1%

Expected total

42.5est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)-1.08
  • Home-field advantage+2.22
  • Quarterback adjustment0.00
  • Rest differential0.00
  • Expected margin+1.14