2026 · Week 8

Final

Raiders

Las Vegas

QB Kirk Cousins

38·33

Jets

New York

QB Geno Smith

MetLife Stadium · outdoors · fieldturf

Final · play by play

How it finished

Final

K.Cousins kneels to LV 19 for -1 yards.

Last play · Raiders · Rush

Win probability · ESPN's model, not ours

100% RaidersJets 0%

Scoring

  1. Q1 12:50Jets Jason Sanders 21 Yd Field Goal0-3
  2. Q1 7:23Raiders Brock Bowers 12 Yd pass from Kirk Cousins (Matt Gay Kick)7-3
  3. Q1 2:13Jets Jason Sanders 36 Yd Field Goal7-6
  4. Q2 10:56Jets Isaiah Williams 18 Yd pass from Geno Smith (Jason Sanders Kick)7-13
  5. Q2 10:44Raiders Dylan Laube 95 Yd Kickoff Return (Matt Gay Kick)14-13
  6. Q2 6:18Jets Adonai Mitchell 12 Yd pass from Geno Smith (Jason Sanders Kick)14-20
  7. Q2 0:09Jets Jason Sanders 39 Yd Field Goal14-23
  8. Q3 9:59Raiders Brock Bowers 2 Yd pass from Kirk Cousins (Matt Gay Kick)21-23
  9. Q3 8:20Jets Braelon Allen 21 Yd Rush (Jason Sanders Kick)21-30
  10. Q3 4:14Raiders Kirk Cousins 1 Yd Rush (Matt Gay Kick)28-30
  11. Q4 11:33Raiders Jalen Nailor 2 Yd pass from Kirk Cousins (Matt Gay Kick)35-30
  12. Q4 4:31Jets Jason Sanders 31 Yd Field Goal35-33
  13. Q4 0:27Raiders Matt Gay 53 Yd Field Goal38-33

Every drive · newest first

Q4 0:07Raiders 1 play, -1 yard, 0:07 · from LV 20End of Game
  1. Q4 0:00END GAME
  2. 1st & 10K.Cousins kneels to LV 19 for -1 yards.
Q4 0:27Jets 3 plays, 30 yards, 0:20 · from NYJ 35Interception
  1. 1st & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass deep left intended for G.Wilson INTERCEPTED by J.Chinn [M.Crosby] at LV -6. Touchback.
  2. 1st & 10Timeout #2 by LV at 00:14.
  3. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short left to G.Wilson to 50 for 15 yards (J.Chinn).PENALTY on LV-J.Chinn, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.
  4. 1st & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass incomplete deep left to M.Taylor.
  5. Q4 0:27M.Gay kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NYJ 35.
Q4 4:31Raiders 9 plays, 30 yards, 4:04 · from LV 35Field Goal
  1. 4th & 5M.Gay 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
  2. 4th & 5Timeout #1 by LV at 00:31.
  3. 3rd & 5M.Washington up the middle to NYJ 35 for no gain (D.Jackson; D.Davis).
  4. 2nd & 7M.Washington left guard to NYJ 35 for 2 yards (D.Jackson).
  5. 2nd & 7Two-Minute Warning
  6. 1st & 10M.Washington right tackle to NYJ 37 for 3 yards (J.Briggs; K.Enagbare).
  7. 3rd & 1C.Rogers reported in as eligible. K.Cousins up the middle to NYJ 40 for 1 yard (J.Sherwood; J.Heflin).
  8. 3rd & 1Timeout #3 by NYJ at 03:26.
  9. 2nd & 8K.Cousins pass short left to M.Mayer to NYJ 41 for 7 yards (M.Fitzpatrick).
  10. 2nd & 8Timeout #2 by NYJ at 03:34.
  11. 1st & 10M.Washington up the middle to NYJ 48 for 2 yards (D.Belton).
  12. 1st & 10Timeout #1 by NYJ at 03:40.
  13. 2nd & 2M.Washington up the middle to 50 for 7 yards (D.Belton).
  14. 1st & 10M.Washington left tackle to LV 43 for 8 yards (D.Jackson; M.Fitzpatrick).
  15. Q4 4:31J.Sanders kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback to the LV 35.
Q4 9:09Jets 9 plays, 68 yards, 4:38 · from NYJ 19Field Goal
  1. 4th & 10J.Sanders 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.
  2. 3rd & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass incomplete short left to M.Taylor (H.Masses).
  3. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass incomplete short middle to G.Wilson.
  4. 1st & 10I.Davis up the middle to LV 13 for no gain (T.Eichenberg).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass deep left to A.Mitchell to LV 13 for 47 yards (T.Stukes).
  6. 2nd & 20(Shotgun) G.Smith sacked at NYJ 23 for -12 yards (M.Crosby).PENALTY on LV-H.Masses, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 35 - No Play.
  7. 1st & 15(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short left to B.Allen to NYJ 35 for -5 yards (Q.Walker).
  8. 1st & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith scrambles right end ran ob at NYJ 46 for 1 yard (M.Crosby).PENALTY on NYJ-J.Woods, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 45 - No Play.
  9. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short left to G.Wilson to NYJ 45 for 15 yards (J.Chinn).
  10. 1st & 10G.Smith pass incomplete short right.
  11. 1st & 10G.Smith pass short left to B.Allen pushed ob at NYJ 30 for 11 yards (N.Dean; Q.Walker). ** Injury Update: NYJ-B.Allen has returned to the game.
Q4 10:06Raiders 3 plays, 6 yards, 0:57 · from LV 29Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 09:09.
  2. 4th & 4A.Cole punts 50 yards to NYJ 15, Center-A.Ward. I.Williams to NYJ 19 for 4 yards (D.Luter).
  3. 3rd & 4(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to T.Tucker.
  4. 2nd & 4K.Cousins pass incomplete short right to B.Bowers [K.Enagbare].
  5. 1st & 10K.Cousins pass short left to M.Mayer to LV 35 for 6 yards (D.Davis) [M.Fitzpatrick].
Q4 11:33Jets 3 plays, 1 yard, 1:27 · from NYJ 24Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 10:06.
  2. 4th & 9A.McNamara punts 46 yards to LV 29, Center-T.Hennessy, fair catch by D.Laube.
  3. 3rd & 9(Shotgun) G.Smith pass incomplete deep right to A.Mitchell.
  4. 3rd & 5(Shotgun) PENALTY on NYJ-O.Fashanu, False Start, 4 yards, enforced at NYJ 29 - No Play.
  5. 2nd & 4B.Allen right end to NYJ 29 for -1 yards (E.Stokes, N.Dean). NYJ-B.Allen was injured during the play.
  6. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Allen up the middle to NYJ 30 for 6 yards (N.Dean; A.Butler).
  7. Q4 11:33M.Gay kicks 66 yards from LV 35 to NYJ -1. I.Williams to NYJ 24 for 25 yards (D.Laube).
Q3 1:33Raiders 9 plays, 84 yards, 5:00 · from LV 16Touchdown
  1. Q4 11:33Official Timeout at 11:33.
  2. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short right to J.Nailor for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [N.Lynn]. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
  3. 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) M.Washington up the middle to NYJ 2 for 2 yards (H.Phillips).
  4. 1st & GoalM.Washington up the middle to NYJ 4 for -3 yards (D.Jackson, N.Lynn).
  5. 2nd & 2M.Washington left guard to NYJ 1 for 4 yards (D.Davis; J.Sherwood).
  6. 1st & 10(No Huddle) A.Jeanty left guard to NYJ 5 for 8 yards (M.Fitzpatrick; A.Cisco).
  7. 2nd & 11(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short left to A.Jeanty to NYJ 13 for 45 yards (J.Sherwood; M.Fitzpatrick).
  8. Q3 0:00END QUARTER 3
  9. 1st & 10M.Washington up the middle to LV 42 for -1 yards (D.Belton).
  10. 1st & 10(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short right to B.Bowers to LV 43 for 14 yards (D.Belton; D.Davis).
  11. 1st & 10(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short left to M.Mayer to LV 29 for 13 yards (D.Belton).
Q3 4:14Jets 3 plays, 7 yards, 2:41 · from NYJ 35Punt
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 01:33.
  2. 4th & 3A.McNamara punts 42 yards to LV 16, Center-T.Hennessy, fair catch by D.Laube.
  3. 3rd & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short right to M.Taylor to NYJ 42 for 7 yards (J.Chinn).
  4. 2nd & 27(Shotgun) G.Smith pass deep right to A.Mitchell to NYJ 35 for 17 yards (N.Dean).
  5. 1st & 20(Shotgun) G.Smith sacked at NYJ 18 for -7 yards (T.Keenan).
  6. 1st & 10G.Smith pass deep left to G.Wilson to LV 37 for 28 yards (J.McCoy) [M.Koonce].PENALTY on NYJ-O.Fashanu, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NYJ 35 - No Play.
  7. Q3 4:14M.Gay kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NYJ 35.
Q3 8:20Raiders 10 plays, 65 yards, 4:06 · from LV 35Touchdown
  1. Q3 4:14Official Timeout at 04:14.
  2. 2nd & GoalC.Rogers reported in as eligible. K.Cousins up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on NYJ-K.Enagbare, Defensive Offside, declined. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
  3. 1st & GoalK.Cousins pass short left to B.Bowers to NYJ 1 for 9 yards (B.Stephens).
  4. 3rd & 7(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to J.Nailor to NYJ 10 for 12 yards (M.Fitzpatrick).
  5. 2nd & 7K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle.
  6. 1st & 10(No Huddle) M.Washington right tackle to NYJ 22 for 3 yards (A.Thomas; D.Davis).
  7. 1st & 10K.Cousins pass deep right to M.Mayer to NYJ 25 for 19 yards (D.Belton) [J.Heflin].
  8. 2nd & 2M.Washington right guard to NYJ 44 for 2 yards (M.Fitzpatrick; J.Heflin).
  9. 1st & 10(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short left to M.Mayer to NYJ 46 for 8 yards (W.McDonald; J.Sherwood).
  10. 3rd & 10(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to T.Tucker.PENALTY on NYJ-J.Brownlee, Defensive Pass Interference, 11 yards, enforced at LV 35 - No Play.
  11. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to B.Bowers (M.Fitzpatrick).
  12. 1st & 10K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to A.Jeanty [J.Heflin].
  13. Q3 8:20J.Sanders kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback to the LV 35.
Q3 9:59Jets 3 plays, 58 yards, 1:39 · from NYJ 42Touchdown
  1. Q3 8:20Official Timeout at 08:20.
  2. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Allen left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.
  3. 1st & 10G.Smith pass deep left to K.Sadiq to LV 21 for 22 yards (T.Eichenberg).
  4. 1st & 10G.Smith pass short left to G.Wilson to LV 43 for 15 yards (T.Stukes; N.Dean).
  5. Q3 9:59M.Gay kicks 64 yards from LV 35 to NYJ 1. I.Williams to NYJ 42 for 41 yards (I.Pola-Mao).
Q3 15:00Raiders 10 plays, 65 yards, 5:01 · from LV 35Touchdown
  1. Q3 9:59Official Timeout at 09:59.
  2. 3rd & GoalK.Cousins pass short middle to B.Bowers for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
  3. 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) M.Washington right guard to NYJ 2 for no gain (D.Belton).
  4. 1st & GoalM.Washington up the middle to NYJ 2 for 1 yard (J.Briggs).
  5. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to B.Bowers.PENALTY on NYJ-B.Stephens, Defensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at NYJ 5 - No Play.
  6. 2nd & GoalK.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to M.Mayer (D.Belton).
  7. 1st & GoalM.Washington up the middle to NYJ 5 for no gain (N.Lynn).
  8. 2nd & 1M.Washington up the middle to NYJ 5 for 5 yards (J.Sherwood).
  9. 1st & 10(No Huddle) M.Washington left tackle to NYJ 10 for 9 yards (J.Sherwood; K.Enagbare).
  10. 2nd & 6M.Washington left end pushed ob at NYJ 19 for 15 yards (J.Sherwood).
  11. 1st & 10K.Cousins pass short middle to A.Jeanty to NYJ 34 for 4 yards (J.Sherwood).
  12. 1st & 10K.Cousins pass deep middle to B.Bowers to NYJ 38 for 27 yards (D.Belton).
  13. Q3 15:00J.Sanders kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback to the LV 35.
Q2 0:09Raiders 1 play, -1 yard, 0:09 · from LV 35End of Half
  1. Q2 0:00END QUARTER 2
  2. 1st & 10K.Cousins kneels to LV 34 for -1 yards.
  3. Q2 0:09J.Sanders kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback to the LV 35.
Q2 3:49Jets 9 plays, 33 yards, 3:40 · from NYJ 46Field Goal
  1. 4th & 16J.Sanders 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.
  2. 4th & 16Timeout #1 by NYJ at 00:14.
  3. 3rd & 6(Shotgun) G.Smith sacked at LV 21 for -10 yards (M.Crosby).
  4. 3rd & 6Timeout #3 by LV at 00:59.
  5. 2nd & 6B.Allen right tackle to LV 11 for no gain (E.Stokes).
  6. 2nd & 6Timeout #2 by LV at 01:05.
  7. 1st & 10B.Allen left guard to LV 11 for 4 yards (N.Dean; Q.Walker).
  8. 1st & 10Timeout #1 by LV at 01:09.
  9. 2nd & 1B.Allen left end to LV 15 for 4 yards (N.Dean; M.Crosby).
  10. 1st & 10B.Allen right tackle to LV 19 for 9 yards (Q.Walker; J.Chinn).
  11. 1st & 10Two-Minute Warning
  12. 1st & 10B.Allen right guard to LV 28 for 11 yards (J.Chinn; T.Stukes).
  13. 2nd & 1B.Allen left tackle to LV 39 for 6 yards (H.Masses).
  14. 1st & 10B.Allen right end to LV 45 for 9 yards (J.Chinn).
Q2 6:18Raiders 5 plays, 24 yards, 2:29 · from LV 30Downs
  1. 1st & 10Official Timeout at 03:49.
  2. 4th & 1Direct snap to C.Heyward. C.Heyward up the middle to NYJ 46 for no gain (A.Thomas; D.Davis).The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  3. 3rd & 2(Shotgun) A.Jeanty up the middle to NYJ 46 for 1 yard (J.Briggs; D.Belton).
  4. 2nd & 7K.Cousins pass short left to B.Bowers pushed ob at NYJ 47 for 5 yards (M.Fitzpatrick; A.Thomas).
  5. 1st & 10M.Washington right tackle to LV 48 for 3 yards (A.Thomas; J.Sherwood).
  6. 1st & 10K.Cousins pass short right to A.Jeanty to LV 45 for 15 yards (D.Davis; J.Sherwood).Penalty on NYJ-D.Davis, Illegal Contact, declined.
  7. Q2 6:18J.Sanders kicks 61 yards from NYJ 35 to LV 4. D.Laube to LV 30 for 26 yards (M.Moore).
Q2 10:44Jets 8 plays, 65 yards, 4:26 · from NYJ 35Touchdown
  1. Q2 6:18Official Timeout at 06:18.
  2. 4th & 1(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short right to A.Mitchell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.
  3. 3rd & 2(No Huddle, Shotgun) I.Davis right guard to LV 12 for 1 yard (T.Booker).
  4. 2nd & 6(Shotgun) G.Smith scrambles right end ran ob at LV 13 for 4 yards (Q.Walker).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Allen up the middle to LV 17 for 4 yards (N.Dean; K.Paye).
  6. 2nd & 7(Shotgun) B.Allen up the middle to LV 21 for 24 yards (T.Johnson; E.Stokes).
  7. 1st & 10G.Smith pass short right to M.Taylor to LV 45 for 3 yards (E.Stokes).
  8. 2nd & 1(Shotgun) B.Allen left guard to LV 48 for 8 yards (N.Dean; J.Chinn).
  9. 1st & 10G.Smith pass short right to M.Taylor to NYJ 44 for 9 yards (T.Stukes).
  10. Q2 10:44M.Gay kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NYJ 35.
Q2 10:44Raiders 0 plays, 0 yards, 0:12 · from NYJ 0Touchdown
  1. Q2 10:44Official Timeout at 10:44.
  2. Q2 10:44A.McNamara kicks 60 yards from NYJ 35 to LV 5. D.Laube for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
Q2 14:47Jets 8 plays, 70 yards, 3:51 · from NYJ 30Touchdown
  1. Q2 10:56Official Timeout at 10:56.
  2. 1st & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass deep middle to I.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on LV-J.McCoy, Defensive Holding, declined. J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.
  3. 1st & 10G.Smith pass deep left to A.Mitchell pushed ob at LV 18 for 22 yards (J.McCoy).
  4. 3rd & 1(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short right to G.Wilson to LV 40 for 2 yards (E.Stokes).
  5. 2nd & 5(Shotgun) I.Davis right guard to LV 42 for 4 yards (J.Chinn; N.Dean).
  6. 1st & 10I.Davis right tackle to LV 46 for 5 yards (Q.Walker; J.Chinn).
  7. 3rd & 11(Shotgun) G.Smith pass deep right to A.Mitchell to NYJ 49 for 20 yards (E.Stokes).
  8. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) B.Allen left tackle to NYJ 29 for -1 yards (F.Fatukasi).
  9. 1st & 10G.Smith pass incomplete deep middle to A.Mitchell.
Q1 2:13Raiders 3 plays, -1 yard, 2:26 · from LV 32Punt
  1. 4th & 11A.Cole punts 57 yards to NYJ 12, Center-A.Ward. I.Williams to NYJ 30 for 18 yards (D.Young; C.Slone).
  2. Q1 0:00END QUARTER 1
  3. 3rd & 2(Shotgun) K.Cousins sacked at LV 31 for -9 yards (W.McDonald).
  4. 2nd & 5M.Washington right guard to LV 40 for 3 yards (K.Enagbare; J.Brownlee).
  5. 1st & 10M.Washington left guard to LV 37 for 5 yards (J.Sherwood; H.Phillips).
  6. Q1 2:13A.McNamara kicks 56 yards from NYJ 35 to LV 9. D.Laube to LV 32 for 23 yards (I.Davis; T.Wallace).
Q1 7:23Jets 12 plays, 48 yards, 5:10 · from NYJ 35Field Goal
  1. Q1 2:13Official Timeout at 02:13.
  2. 4th & 2J.Sanders 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.
  3. 3rd & 2(Shotgun) G.Smith pass incomplete deep right to G.Wilson (E.Stokes).
  4. 2nd & 5B.Allen right guard to LV 17 for 3 yards (E.Stokes).
  5. 1st & 10(Shotgun) I.Davis left guard to LV 20 for 5 yards (Q.Walker; N.Dean).
  6. 3rd & 4(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short right to G.Wilson to LV 25 for 5 yards (E.Stokes).
  7. 2nd & 6B.Allen left guard to LV 30 for 2 yards (M.Crosby).
  8. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Allen left guard to LV 32 for 4 yards (Q.Walker; M.Crosby).
  9. 2nd & 5G.Smith pass short right to A.Mitchell ran ob at LV 36 for 7 yards.
  10. 1st & 10B.Allen right guard to LV 43 for 5 yards (T.Booker; K.Paye).
  11. 3rd & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass deep right to A.Mitchell ran ob at LV 48 for 17 yards.
  12. 2nd & 10(Shotgun) G.Smith pass incomplete deep right to G.Wilson.
  13. 1st & 10G.Smith pass short left to G.Wilson to NYJ 33 for -2 yards (T.Eichenberg). FUMBLES (T.Eichenberg), RECOVERED by LV-T.Keenan at NYJ 31.The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED.G.Smith pass incomplete short left to G.Wilson (T.Eichenberg).
  14. Q1 7:23M.Gay kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NYJ 35.
Q1 12:50Raiders 10 plays, 60 yards, 5:27 · from LV 40Touchdown
  1. Q1 7:23Official Timeout at 07:23.
  2. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short left to B.Bowers for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on NYJ-J.Brownlee, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
  3. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) PENALTY on LV, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 7 - No Play.
  4. 2nd & GoalM.Washington right end pushed ob at NYJ 7 for no gain (D.Belton).
  5. 1st & GoalK.Cousins pass incomplete short right to B.Bowers (A.Thomas).
  6. 1st & 10(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to B.Bowers to NYJ 7 for 23 yards (D.Belton; M.Fitzpatrick).
  7. 3rd & 3(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to J.Nailor to NYJ 30 for 12 yards (A.Thomas; B.Stephens).
  8. 2nd & 6M.Washington up the middle to NYJ 42 for 3 yards (J.Sherwood; M.Fitzpatrick).
  9. 1st & 10M.Washington right tackle to NYJ 45 for 4 yards (D.Belton).
  10. 3rd & 2K.Cousins up the middle to NYJ 49 for 3 yards (J.Sherwood).
  11. 2nd & 14(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to J.Nailor to LV 48 for 12 yards (B.Stephens).
  12. 1st & 20M.Washington up the middle to LV 36 for 6 yards (J.Sherwood).
  13. 1st & 10(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to M.Mayer to NYJ 48 for 12 yards (D.Davis).PENALTY on LV-D.Glaze, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LV 40 - No Play.
  14. Q1 12:50A.McNamara kicks 64 yards from NYJ 35 to LV 1, out of bounds.PENALTY on NYJ-A.McNamara, Kickoff Out of Bounds, placed at LV 40.
Q1 15:00Jets 7 plays, 62 yards, 2:10 · from NYJ 35Field Goal
  1. Q1 12:50Official Timeout at 12:50.
  2. 4th & GoalJ.Sanders 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.
  3. 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) G.Smith pass incomplete short right to K.Sadiq (T.Stukes).
  4. 2nd & GoalG.Smith pass incomplete short right to G.Wilson (E.Stokes).
  5. 1st & GoalB.Allen left guard to LV 3 for -1 yards (N.Dean, T.Stukes).
  6. 1st & 10(Shotgun) B.Allen left guard to LV 4 for 15 yards (T.Stukes; J.Chinn).PENALTY on LV-A.Butler, Defensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at LV 4.
  7. 1st & 10B.Allen right end pushed ob at LV 19 for 15 yards (Q.Walker; T.Stukes).
  8. 1st & 10G.Smith pass deep left to G.Wilson to LV 34 for 31 yards (T.Stukes). LV-D.Porter was injured during the play.
  9. Q1 15:00M.Gay kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NYJ 35.

Plays via ESPN. The full play-by-play, with EPA and our win probability, lands with the overnight data refresh.

Closing spread

NYJ -1.5

Total

46.5

Model margin

+2.4est.

NYJ perspective

Push chance

None

half-point line — cannot push

Availability

The injury report

The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.

Raiders

Jets

Matchup

Where the edges are

Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.

Raidersedge mapJets
  • +0.019EPA / play+0.011
  • 43.1%Success rate44.6%
  • +0.168EPA / dropback+0.118
  • -0.252EPA / rush-0.148
  • 7.6%Explosive rate9.3%
  • -1.41CPOE+5.33
  • 40.6%Third-down rate37.1%
  • 55.6%Red-zone TD rate57.8%
  • 2.49Points / drive1.91
  • 1.3%Turnover rate1.2%

Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.

The rivalry

LV lead 11–8 since 1999

RAIDERS have won 2 straight. Meetings average 45.1 points. NYJ are 8-9-2 ATS in the series.

Previous meetings
SeasonMatchupScoreWinner
2023 · W10NYJ @ LV12–16RAIDERS
2020 · W13LV @ NYJ31–28RAIDERS
2019 · W12OAK @ NYJ3–34NYJ
2017 · W2NYJ @ OAK20–45RAIDERS
2015 · W8NYJ @ OAK20–34RAIDERS
2014 · W1OAK @ NYJ14–19NYJ
2013 · W14OAK @ NYJ27–37NYJ
2011 · W3NYJ @ OAK24–34RAIDERS

Where this game is likely to land

  • Model
  • Smooth (normal)
  • Betting line

Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.

line +1.54.0%2.7%7.0%7.5%3.1%4.7%3.0%2.6%

Positive margins favour Jets; negative favour Raiders.

Half-point at risk

2.14%

outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5

Model home win

55.5%

Expected total

44.7est.

Model

Where the number comes from

Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.

  • Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)+0.19
  • Home-field advantage+2.22
  • Quarterback adjustment0.00
  • Rest differential0.00
  • Expected margin+2.41