2026 · Week 8 · Division
FinalNorthwest Stadium · outdoors · grass
Final · play by play
How it finished
Final
(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to E.Stowers to WAS 8 for 34 yards (T.Amos; N.Cross).
Last play · Eagles · Pass Reception
Win probability · ESPN's model, not ours
Scoring
- Q1 6:10Eagles Jake Elliott 40 Yd Field Goal3-0
- Q1 4:27Eagles Saquon Barkley 3 Yd Rush (Jake Elliott Kick)10-0
- Q1 0:28Commanders Drew Stevens 56 Yd Field Goal10-3
- Q2 4:56Commanders Stefon Diggs 8 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Drew Stevens Kick)10-10
- Q2 0:19Commanders Drew Stevens 39 Yd Field Goal10-13
- Q3 1:33Commanders Drew Stevens 25 Yd Field Goal10-16
- Q4 3:43Commanders Drew Stevens 42 Yd Field Goal10-19
- Q4 1:52Commanders Rachaad White 1 Yd Rush (Austin Ekeler Run for Two-Point Conversion)10-27
Every drive · newest first
Q4 1:52Eagles 8 plays, 69 yards, 1:52 · from PHI 23End of Game
- Q4 0:00END GAME
- 4th & 7(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to E.Stowers to WAS 8 for 34 yards (T.Amos; N.Cross).
- 3rd & 19(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to E.Stowers ran ob at WAS 42 for 12 yards (T.Amos).
- 2nd & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee sacked at PHI 46 for -9 yards (O.Oweh).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete short middle to M.Lemon.
- 1st & 10Timeout #2 by PHI at 00:34.
- 2nd & 1(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee scrambles left guard to WAS 45 for 5 yards (S.Styles).
- 1st & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass short middle to J.Blue to 50 for 9 yards (S.Styles; F.Luvu).
- 2nd & 1(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right to M.Brown to PHI 41 for 9 yards (N.Cross).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short middle to M.Lemon to PHI 32 for 9 yards (S.Styles).
- Q4 1:52D.Stevens kicks 62 yards from WAS 35 to PHI 3. J.Blue to PHI 23 for 20 yards (C.Yankoff).
Q4 2:18Commanders 3 plays, 37 yards, 0:26 · from PHI 37Touchdown
- 2nd & GoalR.White up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. A.Ekeler rushes left guard. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
- 2nd & 1Timeout #1 by PHI at 01:55.
- 1st & GoalA.Wylie reported in as eligible. R.White up the middle to PHI 1 for 3 yards (Z.Baun).
- 1st & 4Two-Minute Warning
- 1st & 10R.White left tackle to PHI 4 for 33 yards (A.Mukuba).
Q4 3:43Eagles 4 plays, -15 yards, 1:25 · from PHI 43Interception
- 4th & 25(Shotgun) T.McKee pass deep left intended for D.Cooper INTERCEPTED by R.Douglas [C.Omenihu] at WAS 41. R.Douglas ran ob at PHI 37 for 22 yards.
- 4th & 25Timeout #1 by WAS at 02:28.
- 3rd & 14(Shotgun) T.McKee sacked at PHI 28 for -11 yards (K.Chaisson).
- 2nd & 14(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete short right [K.Chaisson].
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right to E.Mitchell to PHI 39 for -4 yards (A.Robertson).
- Q4 3:43D.Stevens kicks 56 yards from WAS 35 to PHI 9. J.Blue to PHI 43 for 34 yards (Q.Martin).
Q4 8:58Commanders 8 plays, 45 yards, 5:15 · from WSH 31Field Goal
- Q4 3:43Official Timeout at 03:43.
- 4th & 7D.Stevens 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.
- 3rd & 6(Shotgun) J.Daniels sacked at PHI 24 for -1 yards (N.Smith).
- 2nd & 10(Shotgun) A.Ekeler up the middle to PHI 23 for 4 yards (J.Trotter).
- 1st & 10R.White right guard to PHI 27 for no gain (J.Carter; Z.Baun).
- 2nd & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short middle to S.Diggs to PHI 27 for 10 yards (A.Mukuba).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) R.White right tackle to PHI 37 for no gain (J.Trotter; M.Ojomo).
- 2nd & 8(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass deep right to A.Williams to PHI 37 for 30 yards (K.Moore).
- 1st & 10R.White right end to WAS 33 for 2 yards (Z.Baun; A.Mukuba).
Q3 1:33Eagles 15 plays, 57 yards, 7:35 · from PHI 20Missed FG
- 1st & 10Official Timeout at 08:58.
- 4th & 14J.Elliott 41 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.
- 4th & 9J.Elliott 36 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.PENALTY on PHI-J.Mailata, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 18 - No Play.
- 4th & 4(Shotgun) PENALTY on PHI-M.Bell, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 13 - No Play.
- 3rd & 4(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right to E.Mitchell pushed ob at WAS 13 for no gain (S.Styles).
- 2nd & 10E.Mitchell left end to WAS 13 for 6 yards (F.Luvu).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete short middle to M.Lemon [K.Chaisson]. The incomplete pass was assisted by replay.
- 3rd & 1(Shotgun) Direct snap to D.Goedert. D.Goedert left guard to WAS 19 for 2 yards (N.Cross).
- 2nd & 1(No Huddle, Shotgun) E.Mitchell right guard to WAS 21 for no gain (D.Armstrong; O.Oweh).
- 1st & 10(No Huddle) E.Mitchell right tackle to WAS 21 for 9 yards (J.Reaves; Q.Martin).
- 3rd & 8(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to M.Brown to WAS 30 for 8 yards (R.Douglas).
- 2nd & 8(Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete short left to D.Cooper (T.Amos).
- 1st & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) E.Mitchell up the middle to WAS 38 for 2 yards (S.Styles; S.Tuttle).
- 3rd & 4(Shotgun) T.McKee scrambles left end ran ob at WAS 40 for 15 yards (D.Armstrong).
- 2nd & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right to M.Lemon to PHI 45 for 6 yards (N.Cross; A.Robertson).
- Q3 0:00END QUARTER 3
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley left end to PHI 39 for no gain (K.Chaisson).
- 3rd & 6(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right intended for D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by T.Amos at PHI 29. T.Amos to PHI 29 for no gain (D.Cooper).PENALTY on WAS-K.Chaisson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at PHI 24 - No Play.
- 2nd & 7(Shotgun) T.McKee scrambles up the middle to PHI 24 for 1 yard (C.Omenihu).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley up the middle to PHI 23 for 3 yards (N.Cross).
- Q3 1:33D.Stevens kicks 65 yards from WAS 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the PHI 20.
Q3 2:51Commanders 5 plays, 53 yards, 1:18 · from WSH 40Field Goal
- Q3 1:33Official Timeout at 01:33.
- 4th & GoalD.Stevens 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.
- 3rd & Goal(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to R.White (M.Epps).
- 2nd & Goal(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to C.Okonkwo (A.Mukuba).
- 1st & GoalA.Ekeler right guard to PHI 7 for no gain (Z.Baun).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass deep right to T.Burks to PHI 7 for 53 yards (Q.Mitchell).Penalty on PHI-Q.Mitchell, Illegal Contact, declined.
Q3 6:20Eagles 6 plays, 22 yards, 3:29 · from PHI 38Fumble
- 1st & 10Official Timeout at 02:51.
- 3rd & 4(Shotgun) T.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (D.Armstrong), RECOVERED by WAS-C.Omenihu at WAS 40.
- 2nd & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right to D.Goedert to WAS 37 for 6 yards (J.Reaves; D.Armstrong).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) E.Mitchell right tackle to WAS 43 for no gain (D.Armstrong).
- 3rd & 7(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short middle to D.Goedert to WAS 43 for 16 yards (J.Reaves).
- 2nd & 15(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to M.Lemon to PHI 41 for 8 yards (F.Luvu; A.Robertson).
- 1st & 10T.McKee sacked at PHI 33 for -5 yards (C.Omenihu).
Q3 10:06Commanders 6 plays, 14 yards, 3:46 · from WSH 4Punt
- 1st & 10Official Timeout at 06:20.
- 4th & 21T.Way punts 56 yards to PHI 26, Center-T.Ott. C.DeJean ran ob at PHI 38 for 12 yards (J.Bates).
- 3rd & 9(Shotgun) J.Daniels sacked at WAS 18 for -12 yards (J.Carter).
- 3rd & 4(Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS-J.Conerly, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 35 - No Play.
- 2nd & 3(Shotgun) A.Ekeler up the middle to WAS 35 for -1 yards (C.DeJean, T.Robinson).
- 1st & 10J.Daniels pass short left to J.McNichols to WAS 36 for 7 yards (J.Trotter).
- 3rd & 6(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass deep left to C.Okonkwo to WAS 29 for 21 yards (A.Mukuba) [M.Ojomo].Penalty on PHI-T.Woolen, Defensive Holding, declined.
- 2nd & 6(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to V.Jefferson.
- 1st & 10J.McNichols right tackle to WAS 8 for 4 yards (J.Carter).
Q3 15:00Eagles 7 plays, 27 yards, 4:54 · from PHI 25Punt
- 1st & 10Official Timeout at 10:06.
- 4th & 6B.Mann punts 44 yards to WAS 4, Center-R.Underwood, downed by PHI-J.Mundt.
- 3rd & 3(Shotgun) E.Mitchell right guard to WAS 48 for -3 yards (N.Cross).
- 2nd & 7(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short middle to D.Goedert to WAS 45 for 4 yards (K.Chaisson).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley right guard to WAS 49 for 3 yards (F.Luvu; A.Robertson).
- 2nd & 6(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to E.Stowers to PHI 48 for 7 yards (F.Luvu).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley left guard to PHI 41 for 4 yards (F.Luvu; N.Cross).
- 2nd & 5(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short middle to M.Lemon to PHI 37 for 7 yards (F.Luvu).
- 1st & 10S.Barkley up the middle to PHI 30 for 5 yards (S.Tuttle).
- Q3 15:00D.Stevens kicks 61 yards from WAS 35 to PHI 4. J.Blue to PHI 25 for 21 yards (K.Medrano; J.Magee).
Q2 0:19Eagles 1 play, 3 yards, 0:19 · from PHI 31End of Half
- Q2 0:00END QUARTER 2
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley left tackle to PHI 34 for 3 yards (D.Armstrong).
- Q2 0:19D.Stevens kicks 58 yards from WAS 35 to PHI 7. J.Blue to PHI 31 for 24 yards (M.Sainristil).
Q2 0:50Commanders 5 plays, 29 yards, 0:31 · from 50Field Goal
- 4th & 1D.Stevens 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.
- 3rd & 1(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to C.Okonkwo.
- 3rd & 1Timeout #2 by WAS at 00:28.
- 2nd & 1(No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to S.Diggs [N.Smith].
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels scrambles right end ran ob at PHI 21 for 9 yards (A.Mukuba).
- 1st & 10Timeout #1 by WAS at 00:40.
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short middle to S.Diggs to PHI 30 for 20 yards (K.Moore).
Q2 1:32Eagles 3 plays, 8 yards, 0:42 · from PHI 27Punt
- 4th & 2B.Mann punts 42 yards to WAS 23, Center-R.Underwood. L.McCaffrey to 50 for 27 yards (R.Underwood).
- 3rd & 2(Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete deep left to M.Lemon (T.Amos).
- 2nd & 6(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to E.Mitchell ran ob at PHI 35 for 4 yards (S.Styles).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right to D.Goedert to PHI 31 for 4 yards (J.Reaves).
Q2 2:31Commanders 3 plays, 9 yards, 0:59 · from WSH 10Punt
- 4th & 1T.Way punts 54 yards to PHI 27, Center-T.Ott, fair catch by C.DeJean.
- 4th & 1Timeout #1 by PHI at 01:38. 10-second runoff avoided.
- 3rd & 2(No Huddle, Shotgun) R.White up the middle to WAS 20 for 2 yards (A.Mukuba).The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED.(No Huddle, Shotgun) R.White up the middle to WAS 19 for 1 yard (A.Mukuba).
- 2nd & 3(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short left to R.White to WAS 18 for 1 yard (A.Mukuba).
- 2nd & 3Two-Minute Warning
- 2nd & 8(No Huddle) PENALTY on PHI-J.Carter, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 12 - No Play.
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) R.White left guard to WAS 12 for 2 yards (J.Trotter; J.Carter).
Q2 4:56Eagles 5 plays, 17 yards, 2:25 · from PHI 27Punt
- 1st & 10Official Timeout at 02:31.
- 4th & 12B.Mann punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-R.Underwood, Touchback.PENALTY on WAS-T.Owens, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at WAS 20.
- 3rd & 12(Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete short right to E.Mitchell.
- 2nd & 19(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to M.Lemon pushed ob at PHI 44 for 7 yards (T.Amos).
- 2nd & 14(Shotgun) PENALTY on PHI, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 42 - No Play.
- 1st & 10S.Barkley left end to PHI 42 for -4 yards (T.Settle).
- 2nd & 6(Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete short right.PENALTY on WAS-K.Chaisson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at PHI 31.
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley up the middle to PHI 31 for 4 yards (C.Omenihu; S.Styles).
- Q2 4:56D.Stevens kicks 59 yards from WAS 35 to PHI 6. J.Blue to PHI 27 for 21 yards (J.Reaves).
Q2 10:46Commanders 11 plays, 89 yards, 5:50 · from WSH 11Touchdown
- 1st & 10Official Timeout at 04:56.
- Q2 4:56PENALTY on WAS-B.Coleman, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 15 - No Play.
- 1st & Goal(No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short right to S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Stevens extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.
- 1st & 10A.Ekeler left end to PHI 8 for 18 yards (K.Moore).
- 2nd & 7J.Daniels scrambles up the middle to PHI 26 for 14 yards (T.Woolen).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) A.Ekeler right guard to PHI 40 for 3 yards (C.DeJean; J.Carter).
- 2nd & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short left to A.Williams to PHI 43 for 10 yards (Z.Baun).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short right.
- 3rd & 4(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short middle to A.Williams to WAS 47 for 5 yards (J.Trotter).
- 2nd & 9(No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short middle to A.Williams to WAS 42 for 5 yards (Q.Mitchell) [J.Hunt].
- 1st & 10A.Ekeler left guard to WAS 37 for 1 yard (Z.Baun).
- 2nd & 6J.Daniels pass deep right to T.Burks pushed ob at WAS 36 for 21 yards (T.Woolen).
- 1st & 10A.Ekeler left guard to WAS 15 for 4 yards (C.DeJean; B.Young).
Q1 0:28Eagles 8 plays, 23 yards, 4:42 · from PHI 29Punt
- 1st & 10Official Timeout at 10:46.
- 4th & 9B.Mann punts 37 yards to WAS 11, Center-R.Underwood, downed by PHI-S.Mondon.
- 3rd & 12(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to E.Mitchell to WAS 48 for 3 yards (A.Robertson).
- 2nd & 5(Shotgun) T.McKee sacked at PHI 49 for -7 yards (S.Tuttle).
- 1st & 10E.Mitchell right tackle to WAS 44 for 5 yards (J.Josephs).
- 3rd & 2(Shotgun) E.Mitchell up the middle to WAS 49 for 3 yards (J.Reaves; C.Omenihu).
- 2nd & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short left to D.Cooper to PHI 48 for 8 yards (A.Robertson).
- 1st & 10(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete short middle to E.Mitchell.
- 2nd & 6(Shotgun) E.Mitchell right guard to PHI 40 for 7 yards (Q.Martin; F.Luvu).
- Q1 0:00END QUARTER 1
- 1st & 10E.Mitchell up the middle to PHI 33 for 4 yards (S.Tuttle).
- Q1 0:28D.Stevens kicks 60 yards from WAS 35 to PHI 5. J.Blue to PHI 29 for 24 yards (C.Yankoff; D.Brown).
Q1 4:27Commanders 10 plays, 27 yards, 3:59 · from WSH 35Field Goal
- 4th & 4D.Stevens 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.
- 3rd & 4(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to A.Williams.
- 2nd & 3J.McNichols up the middle to PHI 38 for -1 yards (M.Ojomo, J.Trotter).
- 1st & 10J.McNichols right end to PHI 37 for 7 yards (J.Trotter).
- 3rd & 4(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short left to R.White to PHI 44 for 4 yards (J.Trotter).
- 2nd & 4(No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to A.Williams (J.Carter).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.McNichols right guard to PHI 48 for 6 yards (J.Trotter).
- 3rd & 6(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short right to T.Burks to WAS 46 for 7 yards (Q.Mitchell).
- 2nd & 6J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle.
- 1st & 10R.White left tackle to WAS 39 for 4 yards (Z.Baun; N.Smith).
- Q1 4:27J.Elliott kicks 65 yards from PHI 35 to end zone, Touchback to the WAS 35.
Q1 5:29Eagles 3 plays, 26 yards, 1:02 · from WSH 26Touchdown
- Q1 4:27Official Timeout at 04:27.
- 2nd & GoalF.Johnson and W.Lampkin reported in as eligible. Direct snap to S.Barkley. S.Barkley right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.
- 1st & GoalS.Barkley up the middle to WAS 3 for -1 yards (S.Tuttle).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) T.McKee pass deep left to S.Barkley ran ob at WAS 2 for 24 yards.Penalty on WAS-R.Douglas, Illegal Contact, declined.
Q1 6:10Commanders 1 play, 1 yard, 0:41 · from WSH 20Fumble
- 1st & 20(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short middle to C.Okonkwo to WAS 21 for 11 yards (A.Mukuba). FUMBLES (A.Mukuba), RECOVERED by PHI-Z.Baun at WAS 26.
- 1st & 15(Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS-C.Paul, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 15 - No Play.
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short right to C.Okonkwo to WAS 20 for no gain (A.Mukuba) [J.Hunt].PENALTY on WAS-J.Conerly, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 20 - No Play.
- Q1 6:10J.Elliott kicks 65 yards from PHI 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the WAS 20.
Q1 9:40Eagles 7 plays, 40 yards, 3:30 · from PHI 38Field Goal
- Q1 6:10Official Timeout at 06:10.
- 4th & 6J.Elliott 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.
- 3rd & 6(Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete short left to D.Cooper.
- 2nd & 7(Shotgun) E.Mitchell left end to WAS 22 for 1 yard (K.Chaisson; J.Reaves).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley right tackle to WAS 23 for 3 yards (N.Cross; D.Armstrong).
- 2nd & 5(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short middle to D.Cooper to WAS 26 for 11 yards (Q.Martin).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley up the middle to WAS 37 for 5 yards (S.Styles; S.Tuttle).
- 1st & 10T.McKee pass deep left to M.Lemon ran ob at WAS 42 for 20 yards (T.Amos).
Q1 10:33Commanders 3 plays, 7 yards, 0:53 · from WSH 12Punt
- 4th & 3T.Way punts 43 yards to PHI 38, Center-T.Ott, downed by WAS-C.Yankoff.
- 3rd & 3(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to T.Burks.
- 2nd & 3(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to S.Diggs.
- 1st & 10A.Ekeler right end to WAS 19 for 7 yards (N.Smith; A.Mukuba). ** Injury Update: PHI-A.Mukuba has returned to the game.
Q1 12:09Eagles 3 plays, 1 yard, 1:36 · from PHI 45Punt
- 1st & 10Official Timeout at 10:33.
- 4th & 9B.Mann punts 42 yards to WAS 12, Center-R.Underwood, out of bounds.
- 4th & 4(Run formation) PENALTY on PHI, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 49 - No Play.
- 3rd & 4(Shotgun) T.McKee pass incomplete deep right to D.Cooper [C.Omenihu].
- 2nd & 8T.McKee scrambles right end to WAS 49 for 4 yards (N.Cross).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) S.Barkley up the middle to PHI 47 for 2 yards (T.Settle).
Q1 15:00Commanders 7 plays, 13 yards, 2:51 · from 50Missed FG
- 4th & 11D.Stevens 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.
- 3rd & 11(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to S.Diggs.
- 3rd & 6(Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS-S.Cosmi, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 32 - No Play.
- 3rd & 1(Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS-J.Daniels, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 27 - No Play.
- 3rd & 1Official Timeout at 12:17.
- 3rd & 6(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass deep left intended for T.Burks INTERCEPTED by A.Mukuba at PHI -4. Touchback. PHI-A.Mukuba was injured during the play. PENALTY on PHI-J.Greenard, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 32 - No Play.
- 2nd & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short left to A.Williams pushed ob at PHI 32 for 4 yards (T.Woolen).
- 1st & 10(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to T.Burks.
- 3rd & 1(Shotgun) J.McNichols up the middle to PHI 36 for 5 yards (J.Davis).
- 2nd & 7R.White right tackle to PHI 41 for 6 yards (J.Greenard).
- 1st & 10R.White right end to PHI 47 for 3 yards (M.Ojomo; J.Trotter).
- Q1 15:00J.Elliott kicks 59 yards from PHI 35 to WAS 6. L.McCaffrey pushed ob at 50 for 44 yards (J.Elliott).
Plays via ESPN. The full play-by-play, with EPA and our win probability, lands with the overnight data refresh.
Closing spread
WAS -6
Total
40.5
Model margin
+3.0est.
WAS perspective
Push chance
3.1%est.
the line sits on a key number
Availability
The injury report
The official league filing for this week — game designations first, then who missed or was limited in practice.
Eagles
- OutBritain CoveyWRKnee· DNP
- OutDeVonta SmithWRHamstring· DNP
- OutDontayvion WicksWRAnkle· DNP
- OutJihaad CampbellLBHamstring· DNP
- OutJonathan JonesCBHamstring· DNP
- QuestionableJakorian BennettCBKnee· Full
- LimitedJalyx HuntLBKnee
- LimitedMoro OjomoDTNeck
- LimitedSaquon BarkleyRBHamstring
Commanders
- OutDaron PayneDTFoot· Limited
- OutJavon KinlawDTKnee· DNP
- QuestionableJer'Zhan NewtonDTPectoral· Limited
- QuestionableJohn BatesTEShoulder· Limited
- QuestionableTreylon BurksWRFoot· Limited
- LimitedCharles OmenihuDEGroin
- LimitedDeatrich WiseDENot injury related - resting player
- LimitedLuke McCaffreyWRHip
Matchup
Where the edges are
Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.
- -0.086EPA / play-0.008
- 37.3%Success rate41.3%
- -0.055EPA / dropback+0.069
- -0.144EPA / rush-0.148
- 4.6%Explosive rate6.8%
- -3.23CPOE+3.27
- 36.6%Third-down rate31.3%
- 77.8%Red-zone TD rate64.1%
- 1.84Points / drive1.86
- 1.4%Turnover rate0.5%
Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.
The rivalry
PHI lead 35–21 since 1999
Meetings average 45.6 points. WAS are 26-27-3 ATS in the series.
Where this game is likely to land
- Model
- Smooth (normal)
- Betting line
Probability of each final margin. Football scoring clusters — the spikes at 3 and 7 are real, and a smooth model misses them.
Positive margins favour Commanders; negative favour Eagles.
Half-point at risk
3.13%
outcomes that flip if the line moves 0.5
Model home win
57.2%
Expected total
45.0est.
Model
Where the number comes from
Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.
- Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)+0.23
- Home-field advantage+2.22
- Quarterback adjustment0.00
- Rest differential+0.56
- Expected margin+3.01



