Closing spread
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Total
—
Model margin
+11.7est.
WAS perspective
Push chance
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Matchup
Where the edges are
Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.
Ramsedge mapCommanders
- -0.226EPA / play+0.073
- 43.3%Success rate43.5%
- -0.270EPA / dropback+0.160
- -0.171EPA / rush-0.046
- 6.7%Explosive rate4.3%
- -4.74CPOE-3.44
- 22.2%Third-down rate33.3%
- 33.3%Red-zone TD rate100.0%
- 0.69Points / drive1.99
- 3.3%Turnover rate0.0%
Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.
The rivalry
All square 7–7 since 1999
RAMS have won 2 straight. Meetings average 40.6 points. WAS are 6-8 ATS in the series.
Model
Where the number comes from
Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.
- Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)+9.43
- Home-field advantage+2.22
- Quarterback adjustment0.00
- Rest differential0.00
- Expected margin+11.65