Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model margin
-0.9est.
PHI perspective
Push chance
—
Matchup
Where the edges are
Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.
Seahawksedge mapEagles
- -0.042EPA / play-0.096
- 42.4%Success rate37.7%
- +0.103EPA / dropback-0.069
- -0.225EPA / rush-0.145
- 8.3%Explosive rate4.6%
- +1.94CPOE-2.40
- 38.2%Third-down rate36.2%
- 58.1%Red-zone TD rate73.9%
- 1.93Points / drive1.70
- 2.8%Turnover rate1.6%
Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.
The rivalry
SEA lead 10–3 since 1999
SEA have won 8 straight. Meetings average 37.8 points. PHI are 4-9 ATS in the series.
Model
Where the number comes from
Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.
- Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)-3.13
- Home-field advantage+2.22
- Quarterback adjustment0.00
- Rest differential0.00
- Expected margin-0.91