Closing spread
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Total
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Model margin
-9.9est.
LA perspective
Push chance
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Matchup
Where the edges are
Season-long league percentiles for both sides, mirrored. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge.
Seahawksedge mapRams
- +0.029EPA / play-0.226
- 38.8%Success rate43.3%
- +0.196EPA / dropback-0.270
- -0.195EPA / rush-0.171
- 10.2%Explosive rate6.7%
- +2.36CPOE-4.74
- 18.2%Third-down rate22.2%
- 33.3%Red-zone TD rate33.3%
- 1.29Points / drive0.69
- 0.0%Turnover rate3.3%
Bar length is league percentile, already oriented so longer is better. The saturated side of a lopsided row holds the edge; rows within ~12 points are washed as even.
The rivalry
SEA lead 28–24 since 1999
SEA have won 2 straight. Meetings average 43.7 points. LA are 28-24 ATS in the series.
Model
Where the number comes from
Each component is additive, in points of expected margin.
- Team ratings (opponent-adjusted EPA)-12.16
- Home-field advantage+2.22
- Quarterback adjustment0.00
- Rest differential0.00
- Expected margin-9.94