AFC East · 2003
Buffalo Bills
Record
6-10
Net EPA
-0.065est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.117
- Success rate39.7%
- EPA / dropback-0.140
- EPA / rush-0.085
- Explosive rate7.4%
- Third-down rate31.3%
- Red-zone TD rate42.0%
- Points / drive1.19
- Turnover rate3.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.087
- Success rate allowed41.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.072
- EPA / rush allowed-0.105
- Explosive rate allowed5.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.4%
- Sack rate6.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.28
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.117 · 12th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.087 · 19th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-8-2
-2.1 vs line
Home
3-4-1
Away
3-4-1
As favorite
4-5
As dog
2-3-2
O/U
2-14
-5.8 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Travis Brown | QB | 26 | 6'3" 215 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Alex Van Pelt | QB | 33 | 6'1" 220 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 11 | Drew Bledsoe | QB | 31 | 6'5" 238 | 10 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Travis Henry | RB | 26 | 5'9" 215 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Willis McGahee | RB | 23 | 6'0" 228 | R | — | ACT |
| 30 | Ken Simonton | RB | 24 | 5'8" 191 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Sammy Morris | RB | 26 | 6'0" 220 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Sam Gash | FB | 34 | 6'0" 242 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Joe Burns | RB | 25 | 5'9" 215 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Eric Moulds | WR | 30 | 6'2" 210 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Bobby Shaw | WR | 30 | 6'1" 185 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Reed | WR | 23 | 5'10" 208 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Dave Moore | TE | 35 | 6'2" 250 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Mark Campbell | TE | 29 | 6'6" 255 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Clarence Coleman | WR | 23 | 5'10" 193 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Antonio Brown | WR | 25 | 5'10" 175 | R | — | ACT |
| 88 | Ryan Neufeld | TE | 29 | 6'4" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | Jon Dorenbos | C | 23 | 6'0" 250 | R | Texas-El Paso | ACT |
| 61 | Mike Pucillo | G | 24 | 6'4" 311 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Ben Sobieski | G | 24 | 6'5" 315 | R | — | ACT |
| 65 | Ross Tucker | C | 24 | 6'4" 316 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Mike Williams | T | 23 | 6'6" 360 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Trey Teague | C | 30 | 6'5" 300 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Marcus Price | T | 31 | 6'4" 310 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Marques Sullivan | G | 25 | 6'5" 325 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Bernard Robertson | T | 24 | 6'3" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Ruben Brown | G | 31 | 6'3" 300 | 8 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Dominique Stevenson | OLB | 27 | 6'0" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Takeo Spikes | OLB | 28 | 6'2" 242 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 52 | DaShon Polk | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 240 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Mario Haggan | MLB | 23 | 6'3" 252 | R | — | ACT |
| 55 | Angelo Crowell | OLB | 22 | 6'1" 235 | R | — | ACT |
| 57 | Josh Stamer | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 238 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 59 | London Fletcher | MLB | 28 | 5'10" 245 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Lauvale Sape | DT | 23 | 6'1" 296 | R | — | ACT |
| 90 | Chris Kelsay | DE | 25 | 6'4" 275 | R | — | ACT |
| 91 | Keith McKenzie | DE | 31 | 6'3" 267 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Ryan Denney | DE | 26 | 6'7" 275 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Pat Williams | DT | 32 | 6'3" 317 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Aaron Schobel | DE | 27 | 6'4" 262 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Sam Adams | DT | 30 | 6'4" 335 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Jeff Posey | OLB | 28 | 6'4" 241 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Justin Bannan | DT | 24 | 6'3" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
Secondary8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nate Clements | CB | 25 | 6'0" 209 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Pierson Prioleau | FS | 26 | 5'11" 188 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Terrence McGee | CB | 24 | 5'9" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 26 | Antoine Winfield | CB | 26 | 5'9" 180 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Coy Wire | SS | 26 | 6'0" 205 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Kevin Thomas | CB | 25 | 6'0" 182 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Lawyer Milloy | SS | 31 | 6'0" 210 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Dainon Sidney | CB | 28 | 6'0" 197 | 5 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 27 | 6'0" 175 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Rian Lindell | K | 26 | 6'3" 235 | 3 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Patriots | W 31-0 | -1 | +0.044 |
| 2 | @ Jaguars | W 38-17 | -3 | +0.346 |
| 3 | @ Dolphins | L 7-17 | +3 | -0.539 |
| 4 | vs Eagles | L 13-23 | -3 | -0.023 |
| 5 | vs Bengals | W 22-16 | -7 | -0.099 |
| 6 | @ Jets | L 3-30 | -1 | -0.361 |
| 7 | vs Commanders | W 24-7 | -3 | +0.104 |
| 8 | @ Chiefs | L 5-38 | +5.5 | -0.365 |
| 10 | @ Cowboys | L 6-10 | +4 | -0.293 |
| 11 | vs Texans | L 10-12 | -7 | -0.089 |
| 12 | vs Colts | L 14-17 | +3 | -0.024 |
| 13 | @ Giants | W 24-7 | +3 | +0.165 |
| 14 | vs Jets | W 17-6 | -3 | +0.001 |
| 15 | @ Titans | L 26-28 | +5 | -0.027 |
| 16 | vs Dolphins | L 3-20 | -3 | -0.501 |
| 17 | @ Patriots | L 0-31 | +9.5 | -0.331 |