AFC East · 2006
Buffalo Bills
Record
7-9
Net EPA
-0.063est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.089
- Success rate41.6%
- EPA / dropback-0.033
- EPA / rush-0.157
- Explosive rate7.4%
- CPOE+3.28
- Third-down rate30.9%
- Red-zone TD rate58.9%
- Points / drive1.31
- Turnover rate2.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.039
- Success rate allowed43.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.065
- EPA / rush allowed-0.007
- Explosive rate allowed9.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.6%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.33
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.089 · 22th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.039 · 43th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
+2.5 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
5-3
As favorite
3-3
As dog
7-3
O/U
7-9
+0.7 vs total
Roster
55 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | J.P. Losman | QB | 25 | 6'2" 217 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Kelly Holcomb | QB | 33 | 6'2" 212 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Craig Nall | QB | 27 | 6'3" 230 | 4 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Roscoe Parrish | WR | 24 | 5'9" 168 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 15 | George Wilson | WR | 25 | 6'0" 210 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Andre Davis | WR | 27 | 6'1" 195 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Willis McGahee | RB | 26 | 6'0" 228 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Anthony Thomas | RB | 30 | 6'2" 225 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Shaud Williams | RB | 27 | 5'7" 193 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Peerless Price | WR | 31 | 5'11" 190 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Reed | WR | 26 | 5'10" 208 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Lee Evans | WR | 25 | 5'10" 197 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Robert Royal | TE | 27 | 6'4" 260 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Kevin Everett | TE | 24 | 6'4" 241 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Brad Cieslak | TE | 24 | 6'3" 262 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Matt Murphy | TE | 26 | 6'5" 268 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Sam Aiken | WR | 27 | 6'2" 204 | 3 | — | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Brad Butler | T | 24 | 6'7" 309 | R | — | ACT |
| 62 | Aaron Merz | C | 23 | 6'4" 340 | R | — | ACT |
| 67 | Melvin Fowler | C | 27 | 6'3" 295 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Mike Gandy | T | 27 | 6'4" 310 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Jason Peters | T | 24 | 6'4" 328 | 2 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 75 | Duke Preston | G | 24 | 6'5" 311 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Tutan Reyes | G | 30 | 6'3" 310 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Terrance Pennington | T | 24 | 6'7" 325 | R | — | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Takeo Spikes | OLB | 31 | 6'2" 242 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 52 | John DiGiorgio | MLB | 24 | 6'2" 225 | R | — | ACT |
| 53 | Mario Haggan | OLB | 26 | 6'3" 248 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Keith Ellison | OLB | 22 | 6'0" 228 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | London Fletcher | MLB | 31 | 5'10" 245 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Tim Anderson | DT | 27 | 6'3" 304 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Chris Kelsay | DE | 28 | 6'4" 275 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Eric Powell | DE | 28 | 6'3" 268 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Ryan Denney | DE | 29 | 6'7" 275 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Tony Hargrove | DE | 23 | 6'3" 272 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Tony Hargrove | DE | 23 | 6'3" 272 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 94 | Aaron Schobel | DE | 30 | 6'4" 262 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DT | 23 | 6'1" 295 | R | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 96 | Roy Manning | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 245 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Roy Manning | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 245 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 98 | Larry Tripplett | DT | 27 | 6'2" 295 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Jason Jefferson | DT | 26 | 6'1" 310 | 1 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Donte Whitner | SS | 21 | 5'11" 205 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
| 22 | Nate Clements | CB | 28 | 6'0" 209 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Terrence McGee | CB | 27 | 5'9" 195 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Kiwaukee Thomas | CB | 29 | 5'11" 192 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Ashton Youboty | CB | 22 | 5'11" 189 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Coy Wire | SS | 29 | 6'0" 205 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Ko Simpson | FS | 24 | 6'1" 201 | R | — | ACT |
| 33 | Jabari Greer | CB | 24 | 5'11" 169 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Matt Bowen | SS | 31 | 6'1" 203 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Jim Leonhard | FS | 25 | 5'8" 190 | 1 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 30 | 6'0" 175 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Rian Lindell | K | 29 | 6'3" 235 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Mike Schneck | LS | 29 | 6'0" 246 | 7 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Patriots | L 17-19 | +10 | -0.070 |
| 2 | @ Dolphins | W 16-6 | +6.5 | -0.054 |
| 3 | vs Jets | L 20-28 | -6 | -0.079 |
| 4 | vs Vikings | W 17-12 | -1 | -0.014 |
| 5 | @ Bears | L 7-40 | +9.5 | -0.466 |
| 6 | @ Lions | L 17-20 | -1 | -0.121 |
| 7 | vs Patriots | L 6-28 | +5.5 | -0.274 |
| 9 | vs Packers | W 24-10 | -3.5 | -0.157 |
| 10 | @ Colts | L 16-17 | +12 | -0.110 |
| 11 | @ Texans | W 24-21 | +3 | +0.166 |
| 12 | vs Jaguars | W 27-24 | +3 | +0.059 |
| 13 | vs Chargers | L 21-24 | +5.5 | -0.100 |
| 14 | @ Jets | W 31-13 | +4.5 | +0.082 |
| 15 | vs Dolphins | W 21-0 | -1 | -0.084 |
| 16 | vs Titans | L 29-30 | -5.5 | +0.041 |
| 17 | @ Ravens | L 7-19 | +9.5 | -0.352 |