NFC West · 2003
San Francisco 49ers
Record
7-9
Net EPA
+0.025est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.026
- Success rate43.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.124
- EPA / rush-0.099
- Explosive rate9.2%
- Third-down rate41.6%
- Red-zone TD rate48.9%
- Points / drive1.83
- Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.045
- Success rate allowed40.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.028
- EPA / rush allowed-0.070
- Explosive rate allowed9.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)7.0%
- Sack rate7.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.70
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.026 · 67th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.045 · 40th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-7-2
+2.2 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
2-4-2
As favorite
3-4
As dog
4-2-2
O/U
7-9
+2.7 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jeff Garcia | QB | 33 | 6'1" 195 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 7 | Ken Dorsey | QB | 22 | 6'4" 218 | R | — | ACT |
| 13 | Tim Rattay | QB | 26 | 6'0" 215 | 3 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | James Jordan | WR | 25 | 6'2" 225 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 20 | Garrison Hearst | RB | 32 | 5'11" 215 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Terry Jackson | FB | 27 | 6'0" 222 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Jamal Robertson | RB | 26 | 5'10" 210 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Kevan Barlow | RB | 24 | 6'1" 238 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Fred Beasley | FB | 30 | 6'0" 246 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Jasen Isom | FB | 26 | 5'11" 240 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Aaron Walker | TE | 23 | 6'6" 252 | R | — | ACT |
| 84 | Cedrick Wilson | WR | 26 | 5'10" 179 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Brandon Lloyd | WR | 22 | 6'0" 184 | R | — | ACT |
| 86 | Brian Jennings | TE | 28 | 6'5" 245 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Jed Weaver | TE | 27 | 6'4" 258 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Tai Streets | WR | 26 | 6'3" 206 | 4 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Brock Gutierrez | C | 31 | 6'3" 304 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Jeremy Newberry | C | 27 | 6'5" 304 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Derrick Deese | T | 33 | 6'3" 289 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Ron Stone | G | 32 | 6'5" 320 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Eric Heitmann | G | 23 | 6'3" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Rob Murphy | G | 26 | 6'5" 310 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Kyle Kosier | G | 26 | 6'5" 293 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Jerome Davis | T | 29 | 6'5" 290 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Kwame Harris | T | 21 | 6'7" 310 | R | — | ACT |
| 78 | Scott Gragg | T | 31 | 6'8" 325 | 8 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Derek Smith | ILB | 28 | 6'2" 245 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Saleem Rasheed | OLB | 22 | 6'2" 229 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Jeff Ulbrich | ILB | 26 | 6'0" 249 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Brandon Moore | OLB | 24 | 6'1" 242 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Cornelius Anthony | LB | 25 | 6'0" 235 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Chidi Ahanotu | DE | 34 | 6'2" 285 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Travis Kirschke | DE | 30 | 6'3" 292 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Anthony Adams | DT | 23 | 6'0" 299 | R | — | ACT |
| 93 | Michael Landry | DE | 26 | 6'3" 266 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Andrew Williams | DE | 24 | 6'2" 264 | R | — | ACT |
| 95 | John Engelberger | DE | 28 | 6'4" 268 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Andre Carter | DE | 24 | 6'4" 265 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Bryant Young | DT | 31 | 6'3" 291 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Julian Peterson | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 235 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Sean Moran | DE | 30 | 6'4" 275 | 7 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jimmy Williams | CB | 24 | 5'11" 189 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Mike Rumph | CB | 25 | 6'2" 206 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Rashad Holman | CB | 25 | 5'11" 191 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 28 | John Keith | SS | 26 | 6'0" 207 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Ahmed Plummer | CB | 27 | 6'0" 191 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Zack Bronson | FS | 29 | 6'1" 201 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Tony Parrish | SS | 29 | 6'0" 210 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Dwaine Carpenter | FS | 28 | 6'1" 203 | R | — | ACT |
| 36 | Jason Webster | CB | 27 | 5'10" 180 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Ronnie Heard | FS | 28 | 6'3" 215 | 3 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Todd Peterson | K | 33 | 5'10" 177 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 4 | Bill LaFleur | P | 27 | 6'0" 204 | 3 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bears | W 49-7 | -6.5 | +0.055 |
| 2 | @ Rams | L 24-27 | +3 | +0.022 |
| 3 | vs Browns | L 12-13 | -7 | -0.092 |
| 4 | @ Vikings | L 7-35 | +0 | -0.105 |
| 5 | vs Lions | W 24-17 | -7.5 | -0.028 |
| 6 | @ Seahawks | L 19-20 | +3.5 | +0.068 |
| 7 | vs Buccaneers | W 24-7 | +5 | +0.099 |
| 8 | @ Cardinals | L 13-16 | -7 | +0.040 |
| 9 | vs Rams | W 30-10 | +5 | +0.145 |
| 11 | vs Steelers | W 30-14 | -4 | +0.171 |
| 12 | @ Packers | L 10-20 | +3.5 | -0.182 |
| 13 | @ Ravens | L 6-44 | +3 | -0.436 |
| 14 | vs Cardinals | W 50-14 | -10.5 | +0.373 |
| 15 | @ Bengals | L 38-41 | +3 | +0.353 |
| 16 | @ Eagles | W 31-28 | +7 | +0.097 |
| 17 | vs Seahawks | L 17-24 | -2.5 | -0.139 |