NFC South · 2003
Atlanta Falcons
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.089est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.116
- Success rate39.2%
- EPA / dropback-0.213
- EPA / rush+0.020
- Explosive rate7.5%
- Third-down rate29.8%
- Red-zone TD rate53.9%
- Points / drive1.36
- Turnover rate2.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.030
- Success rate allowed42.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.088
- EPA / rush allowed-0.044
- Explosive rate allowed10.7%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.0%
- Sack rate6.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.93
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.116 · 16th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.030 · 84th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10
-2.8 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
4-4
As favorite
1-1
As dog
5-9
O/U
7-9
+3.8 vs total
Roster
55 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Michael Vick | QB | 23 | 6'0" 215 | 2 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 11 | Doug Johnson | QB | 27 | 6'2" 225 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 15 | Kurt Kittner | QB | 23 | 6'2" 221 | 1 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Woodrow Dantzler | RB | 25 | 5'10" 209 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Justin Griffith | FB | 23 | 5'11" 232 | R | — | ACT |
| 45 | T.J. Duckett | RB | 22 | 6'0" 254 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Terrence Edwards | WR | 24 | 6'0" 171 | R | — | ACT |
| 81 | Peerless Price | WR | 28 | 5'11" 190 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Alge Crumpler | TE | 27 | 6'2" 262 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Brian Kozlowski | TE | 34 | 6'3" 250 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Brian Finneran | WR | 27 | 6'5" 210 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Jimmy Farris | WR | 25 | 6'0" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 88 | John Lewis | WR | 23 | 6'0" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 89 | Sean Brewer | TE | 27 | 6'4" 255 | 2 | — | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Derek Rackley | C | 26 | 6'4" 250 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Todd McClure | C | 26 | 6'1" 286 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Martin Bibla | G | 25 | 6'3" 306 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Kynan Forney | G | 26 | 6'3" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Michael Moore | G | 28 | 6'2" 318 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Knutson | T | 24 | 6'7" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Todd Weiner | T | 29 | 6'4" 300 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Kevin Shaffer | T | 23 | 6'3" 290 | 1 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Artie Ulmer | OLB | 30 | 6'3" 247 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Karon Riley | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 268 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Matt Stewart | OLB | 24 | 6'3" 232 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Keith Newman | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 248 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Chris Draft | MLB | 27 | 5'11" 232 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Twan Russell | MLB | 29 | 6'1" 230 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Keith Brooking | MLB | 29 | 6'2" 245 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Ellis Johnson | NT | 31 | 6'2" 288 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Brady Smith | DE | 30 | 6'5" 274 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Terrence Robinson | LB | 23 | 6'0" 237 | R | — | ACT |
| 93 | Raymond House | DE | 24 | 6'2" 277 | R | — | ACT |
| 95 | Edward Jasper | NT | 30 | 6'2" 293 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Patrick Kerney | DE | 28 | 6'5" 273 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Travis Hall | DE | 31 | 6'5" 295 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Demetrin Veal | NT | 22 | 6'2" 288 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Allen Rossum | CB | 29 | 5'8" 178 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Juran Bolden | CB | 29 | 6'2" 207 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Gerald McBurrows | SS | 31 | 5'11" 208 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Kevin Mathis | CB | 29 | 5'9" 185 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Bryan Scott | SS | 22 | 6'1" 219 | R | — | ACT |
| 25 | Derek Ross | CB | 23 | 5'10" 197 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Derek Ross | CB | 23 | 5'10" 197 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 26 | Brandon Williams | DB | 24 | 5'11" 186 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Cory Hall | FS | 28 | 6'0" 213 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Keion Carpenter | FS | 27 | 5'11" 205 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Tod McBride | CB | 27 | 6'1" 208 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Ray Buchanan | FS | 33 | 5'9" 186 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Tyrone Williams | CB | 30 | 5'11" 193 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Siddeeq Shabazz | FS | 22 | 5'11" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 39 | Siddeeq Shabazz | FS | 22 | 5'11" 205 | R | — | TRC |
| 47 | Kevin McCadam | SS | 24 | 6'1" 219 | 1 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jay Feely | K | 27 | 5'10" 206 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Chris Mohr | P | 37 | 6'5" 215 | 14 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Cowboys | W 27-13 | +2 | +0.163 |
| 2 | vs Commanders | L 31-33 | -3 | -0.157 |
| 3 | vs Buccaneers | L 10-31 | +6.5 | -0.394 |
| 4 | @ Panthers | L 3-23 | +6 | -0.210 |
| 5 | vs Vikings | L 26-39 | +4.5 | -0.156 |
| 6 | @ Rams | L 0-36 | +10 | -0.437 |
| 7 | vs Saints | L 17-45 | +3 | -0.149 |
| 9 | vs Eagles | L 16-23 | +6 | -0.093 |
| 10 | @ Giants | W 27-7 | +11.5 | +0.130 |
| 11 | @ Saints | L 20-23 | +9 | -0.302 |
| 12 | vs Titans | L 31-38 | +6.5 | -0.065 |
| 13 | @ Texans | L 13-17 | +3 | -0.126 |
| 14 | vs Panthers | W 20-14 | +1 | -0.055 |
| 15 | @ Colts | L 7-38 | +7.5 | -0.357 |
| 16 | @ Buccaneers | W 30-28 | +6.5 | +0.070 |
| 17 | vs Jaguars | W 21-14 | -2.5 | +0.162 |