NFC South · 2014
Atlanta Falcons
Record
6-10
Net EPA
-0.096est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.007
- Success rate44.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.089
- EPA / rush-0.161
- Explosive rate8.4%
- CPOE+1.47
- Third-down rate44.6%
- Red-zone TD rate69.1%
- Points / drive1.87
- Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.073
- Success rate allowed46.7%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.156
- EPA / rush allowed-0.052
- Explosive rate allowed8.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)13.2%
- Sack rate3.4%
- Points / drive allowed2.24
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.007 · 60th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.073 · 88th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-9
-1.0 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
3-5
As favorite
2-5
As dog
5-4
O/U
6-10
+0.1 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matt Ryan | QB | 29 | 6'4" 217 | 6 | Boston College | ACT |
| 12 | Sean Renfree | QB | 24 | 6'5" 225 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 13 | T.J. Yates | QB | 27 | 6'4" 217 | 3 | North Carolina | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julio Jones | WR | 25 | 6'3" 220 | 3 | Alabama | ACT |
| 14 | Eric Weems | WR | 29 | 5'9" 195 | 7 | Bethune-Cookman | ACT |
| 17 | Devin Hester | WR | 33 | 5'11" 190 | 8 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 19 | D.J. Davis | WR | 25 | 6'1" 205 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Devonta Freeman | RB | 22 | 5'8" 206 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 32 | Jacquizz Rodgers | RB | 24 | 5'6" 196 | 3 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 34 | Jerome Smith | RB | 23 | 6'0" 226 | R | — | ACT |
| 39 | Steven Jackson | RB | 31 | 6'2" 240 | 10 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 42 | Patrick DiMarco | FB | 25 | 6'1" 234 | 3 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 80 | Levine Toilolo | TE | 23 | 6'8" 265 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 83 | Harry Douglas | WR | 31 | 6'0" 183 | 6 | Louisville | ACT |
| 84 | Roddy White | WR | 34 | 6'0" 211 | 9 | Alabama-Birmingham | ACT |
| 86 | Bear Pascoe | TE | 28 | 6'5" 265 | 5 | — | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | James Stone | G | 22 | 6'3" 291 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 63 | Justin Blalock | G | 32 | 6'4" 326 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Jonathan Scott | T | 31 | 6'6" 318 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Gabe Carimi | T | 26 | 6'7" 316 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Harland Gunn | G | 25 | 6'2" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Jake Matthews | T | 22 | 6'5" 309 | R | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 73 | Ryan Schraeder | T | 26 | 6'7" 300 | 1 | Valdosta State | ACT |
| 75 | Jon Asamoah | G | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Osi Umenyiora | DE | 34 | 6'3" 255 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Nathan Stupar | ILB | 26 | 6'2" 240 | 2 | Penn State | ACT |
| 53 | Prince Shembo | ILB | 24 | 6'0" 254 | R | — | ACT |
| 54 | Tyler Starr | DE | 23 | 6'5" 250 | R | — | ACT |
| 55 | Paul Worrilow | ILB | 24 | 6'0" 230 | 1 | Delaware | ACT |
| 59 | Joplo Bartu | ILB | 26 | 6'2" 230 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Kroy Biermann | DE | 30 | 6'3" 255 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Ra'Shede Hageman | DT | 24 | 6'6" 318 | R | Minnesota | ACT |
| 90 | Stansly Maponga | DE | 23 | 6'2" 265 | 1 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 91 | Corey Peters | DT | 26 | 6'3" 305 | 4 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 93 | Malliciah Goodman | DE | 24 | 6'4" 276 | 1 | Clemson | ACT |
| 94 | Jonathan Massaquoi | DE | 26 | 6'2" 264 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Jonathan Babineaux | DE | 34 | 6'2" 300 | 9 | Iowa | ACT |
| 96 | Paul Soliai | DT | 32 | 6'4" 345 | 7 | Utah | ACT |
| 98 | Cliff Matthews | DT | 25 | 6'4" 268 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Tyson Jackson | DT | 28 | 6'4" 296 | 5 | LSU | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Dwight Lowery | FS | 28 | 5'11" 212 | 6 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 21 | Desmond Trufant | CB | 25 | 6'0" 190 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 26 | Josh Wilson | CB | 29 | 5'9" 188 | 7 | Maryland | ACT |
| 27 | Robert McClain | CB | 26 | 5'9" 195 | 4 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 28 | Javier Arenas | CB | 28 | 5'9" 197 | 4 | Alabama | ACT |
| 29 | Sean Baker | SS | 27 | 6'0" 209 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Charles Godfrey | CB | 30 | 5'11" 210 | 6 | Iowa | TRT |
| 30 | Charles Godfrey | CB | 30 | 5'11" 210 | 6 | Iowa | ACT |
| 36 | Kemal Ishmael | SS | 23 | 6'0" 206 | 1 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 37 | Ricardo Allen | CB | 24 | 5'9" 187 | R | Purdue | ACT |
| 41 | Dezmen Southward | FS | 25 | 6'1" 210 | R | Wisconsin | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Bryant | K | 39 | 5'9" 203 | 12 | Baylor | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Bosher | P | 28 | 6'0" 208 | 3 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 47 | Josh Harris | LS | 25 | 6'1" 224 | 2 | Auburn | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saints | W 37-34 | +3 | +0.275 |
| 2 | @ Bengals | L 10-24 | +5.5 | -0.145 |
| 3 | vs Buccaneers | W 56-14 | -6.5 | +0.122 |
| 4 | @ Vikings | L 28-41 | -5.5 | +0.154 |
| 5 | @ Giants | L 20-30 | +4 | -0.031 |
| 6 | vs Bears | L 13-27 | -3.5 | -0.169 |
| 7 | @ Ravens | L 7-29 | +7 | -0.249 |
| 8 | vs Lions | L 21-22 | +3.5 | +0.096 |
| 10 | @ Buccaneers | W 27-17 | -3.5 | +0.200 |
| 11 | @ Panthers | W 19-17 | -2.5 | -0.061 |
| 12 | vs Browns | L 24-26 | -3 | -0.014 |
| 13 | vs Cardinals | W 29-18 | +1.5 | -0.030 |
| 14 | @ Packers | L 37-43 | +13.5 | +0.359 |
| 15 | vs Steelers | L 20-27 | +3 | +0.023 |
| 16 | @ Saints | W 30-14 | +6 | +0.100 |
| 17 | vs Panthers | L 3-34 | -2.5 | -0.491 |