NFC South · 2020

Atlanta Falcons

Record

4-12

Net EPA

-0.096est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.042
Success rate44.3%
EPA / dropback+0.145
EPA / rush-0.148
Explosive rate8.0%
CPOE+1.23
Third-down rate43.8%
Red-zone TD rate55.3%
Points / drive2.28
Turnover rate1.6%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.072
Success rate allowed47.6%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.178
EPA / rush allowed-0.147
Explosive rate allowed10.3%
Pressure rate (proxy)16.5%
Sack rate4.1%
Points / drive allowed2.34

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.042 · 52th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.072 · 61th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-9

+1.2 vs line

Home

3-5

Away

4-4

As favorite

1-4

As dog

6-5

O/U

7-9

-0.6 vs total

Roster

72 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Matt Ryan	QB	35	6'4" 217	12	Boston College	ACT
6	Kurt Benkert	QB	25	6'4" 215	2	Virginia	DEV
8	Matt Schaub	QB	39	6'6" 245	16	Virginia	ACT

Backs & receivers21

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
11	Julio Jones	WR	31	6'3" 220	9	Alabama	INA
12	Juwan Green	WR	22	6'0" 187	R	Albany, N.Y.	DEV
13	Christian Blake	WR	24	6'1" 181	2	Northern Illinois	ACT
14	Chris Rowland	WR	24	5'8" 180	R	Tennessee State	ACT
15	Brandon Powell	WR	26	5'8" 189	2	Florida	INA
17	Olamide Zaccheaus	WR	23	5'8" 193	1	Virginia	RES
18	Calvin Ridley	WR	27	6'1" 190	2	Alabama	ACT
19	Devin Gray	WR	25	6'0" 192	2	Cincinnati	ACT
21	Todd Gurley	RB	26	6'1" 224	5	Georgia	ACT
23	Brian Hill	RB	26	6'1" 219	3	Wyoming	ACT
25	Ito Smith	RB	26	5'9" 195	2	Southern Mississippi	ACT
30	Qadree Ollison	RB	25	6'1" 232	1	Pittsburgh	INA
36	Tony Brooks-James	RB	27	5'9" 179	1	Oregon	DEV
40	Keith Smith	RB	28	6'0" 240	6	San Jose State	ACT
80	Laquon Treadwell	WR	25	6'2" 215	4	Mississippi	ACT
81	Hayden Hurst	TE	27	6'4" 245	2	South Carolina	ACT
83	Russell Gage	WR	24	6'0" 184	2	Louisiana State	ACT
87	Jaeden Graham	TE	26	6'4" 250	2	Yale	ACT
87	Greg Dortch	WR	22	5'7" 173	1	Wake Forest	DEV
88	Luke Stocker	TE	32	6'5" 253	9	Tennessee	ACT
89	Jared Pinkney	TE	23	6'4" 255	R	Vanderbilt	INA

Offensive line12

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
51	Alex Mack	OL	36	6'4" 311	11	California	RES
61	Matt Hennessy	OL	24	6'4" 290	R	Temple	ACT
63	Chris Lindstrom	OL	23	6'4" 307	1	Boston College	ACT
64	Sean Harlow	OL	25	6'4" 284	3	Oregon State	DEV
65	Justin McCray	OL	28	6'3" 317	6	Central Florida	ACT
66	Willie Wright	OL	24	6'3" 300	1	Tulsa	DEV
70	Jake Matthews	OL	28	6'5" 309	6	Texas A&M	ACT
71	Willie Beavers	OL	28	6'5" 322	4	Western Michigan	DEV
73	Matt Gono	OL	24	6'4" 305	2	Wesley	ACT
75	John Wetzel	OL	29	6'7" 328	7	Boston College	ACT
76	Kaleb McGary	OL	25	6'6" 306	1	Washington	ACT
77	James Carpenter	OL	31	6'5" 321	9	Alabama	ACT

Defensive front18

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
43	Mykal Walker	LB	23	6'3" 219	R	Fresno State	ACT
45	Deion Jones	LB	27	6'1" 227	4	Louisiana State	ACT
46	Edmond Robinson	LB	28	6'3" 245	5	Newberry	ACT
50	John Cominsky	DL	26	6'5" 285	1	Charleston, W. Va.	ACT
52	Pita Taumoepenu	LB	26	6'1" 243	3	Utah	DEV
54	Foyesade Oluokun	LB	25	6'2" 215	2	Yale	ACT
55	Steven Means	DL	31	6'3" 263	7	Buffalo	ACT
56	Dante Fowler	DL	26	6'3" 255	5	Florida	ACT
59	LaRoy Reynolds	LB	31	6'1" 240	7	Virginia	ACT
79	Chris Slayton	DL	24	6'4" 309	1	Syracuse	DEV
90	Marlon Davidson	DL	22	6'3" 279	R	Auburn	ACT
91	Jacob Tuioti-Mariner	DL	24	6'2" 285	2	UCLA	ACT
92	Charles Harris	DL	25	6'3" 250	3	Missouri	ACT
93	Allen Bailey	DL	31	6'3" 288	9	Miami	ACT
94	Deadrin Senat	DL	26	6'1" 305	2	South Florida	INA
95	Austin Edwards	DL	23	6'5" 280	R	Ferris State	DEV
96	Tyeler Davison	DL	29	6'2" 309	5	Fresno State	ACT
97	Grady Jarrett	DL	27	6'0" 305	5	Clemson	ACT

Secondary14

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Kendall Sheffield	DB	24	5'10" 212	1	Ohio State	ACT
22	Keanu Neal	DB	25	6'0" 216	4	Florida	ACT
24	A.J. Terrell	DB	23	6'1" 190	R	Clemson	ACT
26	Isaiah Oliver	DB	25	6'0" 210	2	Colorado	ACT
27	Damontae Kazee	DB	27	5'11" 190	3	San Diego State	RES
31	Chris Williamson	DB	23	6'0" 205	R	Minnesota	DEV
32	Jaylinn Hawkins	DB	23	6'1" 210	R	California	ACT
33	Blidi Wreh-Wilson	DB	32	6'1" 190	7	Connecticut	ACT
34	Darqueze Dennard	DB	30	5'11" 205	6	Michigan State	INA
37	Ricardo Allen	DB	30	5'9" 186	6	Purdue	ACT
39	T.J. Green	DB	25	6'3" 215	4	Clemson	DEV
41	Sharrod Neasman	DB	30	6'0" 198	4	Florida Atlantic	ACT
42	Delrick Abrams	DB	23	6'3" 185	R	Colorado	DEV
44	Tyler Hall	DB	23	5'10" 190	R	Wyoming	INA

Specialists4

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Elliott Fry	K	27	6'0" 170	1	South Carolina	DEV
4	Sterling Hofrichter	P	25	5'10" 199	R	Syracuse	ACT
7	Younghoe Koo	K	26	5'10" 195	3	Georgia Southern	ACT
47	Josh Harris	LS	31	6'1" 224	8	Auburn	ACT

Schedule

16 games

Atlanta Falcons schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Seahawks	L 25-38	-1	+0.001
2	@ Cowboys	L 39-40	+3	+0.154
3	vs Bears	L 26-30	-2.5	+0.001
4	@ Packers	L 16-30	+5	+0.098
5	vs Panthers	L 16-23	-2.5	+0.014
6	@ Vikings	W 40-23	+3.5	+0.185
7	vs Lions	L 22-23	-1	+0.071
8	@ Panthers	W 25-17	+1.5	+0.227
9	vs Broncos	W 34-27	-4.5	+0.105
11	@ Saints	L 9-24	+3.5	-0.256
12	vs Raiders	W 43-6	+3.5	-0.031
13	vs Saints	L 16-21	+2.5	-0.157
14	@ Chargers	L 17-20	+1	+0.013
15	vs Buccaneers	L 27-31	+6	+0.028
16	@ Chiefs	L 14-17	+11	+0.055
17	@ Buccaneers	L 27-44	+7.5	+0.097