AFC North · 2015
Baltimore Ravens
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.162est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.081
- Success rate42.4%
- EPA / dropback-0.034
- EPA / rush-0.170
- Explosive rate8.1%
- CPOE-0.66
- Third-down rate37.0%
- Red-zone TD rate49.4%
- Points / drive1.48
- Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.048
- Success rate allowed42.5%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.172
- EPA / rush allowed-0.159
- Explosive rate allowed7.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.6%
- Sack rate5.7%
- Points / drive allowed1.90
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.081 · 12th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.048 · 78th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
5-9-2
-2.7 vs line
Home
1-6-1
Away
4-3-1
As favorite
0-6-2
As dog
5-3
O/U
7-9
+1.4 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2015
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Broncos | L 13-19 | +4.5 | -0.362 |
| 2 | @ Raiders | L 33-37 | -6 | +0.226 |
| 3 | vs Bengals | L 24-28 | -2.5 | -0.007 |
| 4 | @ Steelers | W 23-20 | -3 | -0.188 |
| 5 | vs Browns | L 30-33 | -6 | +0.127 |
| 6 | @ 49ers | L 20-25 | -2.5 | +0.025 |
| 7 | @ Cardinals | L 18-26 | +10 | -0.020 |
| 8 | vs Chargers | W 29-26 | -4.5 | +0.137 |
| 10 | vs Jaguars | L 20-22 | -4 | -0.069 |
| 11 | vs Rams | W 16-13 | -3 | -0.277 |
| 12 | @ Browns | W 33-27 | +6 | +0.010 |
| 13 | @ Dolphins | L 13-15 | +3.5 | -0.187 |
| 14 | vs Seahawks | L 6-35 | +10.5 | -0.303 |
| 15 | vs Chiefs | L 14-34 | +6.5 | -0.357 |
| 16 | vs Steelers | W 20-17 | +11 | +0.035 |
| 17 | @ Bengals | L 16-24 | +10 | -0.148 |