AFC East · 2005
Buffalo Bills
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.121est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.082
- Success rate39.5%
- EPA / dropback-0.036
- EPA / rush-0.141
- Explosive rate7.0%
- Third-down rate37.9%
- Red-zone TD rate43.1%
- Points / drive1.44
- Turnover rate2.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.069
- Success rate allowed47.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.105
- EPA / rush allowed+0.025
- Explosive rate allowed9.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.5%
- Sack rate6.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.99
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.082 · 36th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.069 · 91th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-8-1
-3.6 vs line
Home
4-3-1
Away
3-5
As favorite
4-2
As dog
3-6-1
O/U
10-6
+1.7 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shane Matthews | QB | 35 | 6'3" 199 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 7 | J.P. Losman | QB | 24 | 6'2" 217 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Kelly Holcomb | QB | 32 | 6'2" 212 | 10 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Roscoe Parrish | WR | 23 | 5'9" 168 | R | — | ACT |
| 15 | George Wilson | WR | 24 | 6'1" 210 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Jonathan Smith | WR | 25 | 5'10" 194 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 20 | Shaud Williams | RB | 26 | 5'7" 193 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Willis McGahee | RB | 25 | 6'0" 228 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Lionel Gates | RB | 23 | 6'0" 223 | R | — | ACT |
| 31 | Daimon Shelton | FB | 34 | 6'0" 262 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Joe Burns | FB | 27 | 5'9" 215 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Jon Goldsberry | FB | 25 | 6'1" 246 | R | — | ACT |
| 48 | Brad Cieslak | TE | 23 | 6'3" 262 | R | — | ACT |
| 80 | Eric Moulds | WR | 32 | 6'2" 210 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Reed | WR | 25 | 5'10" 208 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Lee Evans | WR | 24 | 5'10" 197 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Mark Campbell | TE | 31 | 6'6" 255 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Tim Euhus | TE | 26 | 6'5" 249 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Sam Aiken | WR | 26 | 6'2" 204 | 2 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | Chris Villarrial | G | 32 | 6'3" 318 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Bennie Anderson | G | 28 | 6'5" 345 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Mike Williams | T | 25 | 6'6" 360 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Mike Gandy | T | 26 | 6'4" 310 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Trey Teague | C | 32 | 6'5" 300 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Jason Peters | T | 23 | 6'4" 328 | 1 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 73 | Justin Geisinger | G | 23 | 6'3" 322 | R | — | ACT |
| 75 | Duke Preston | G | 23 | 6'5" 311 | R | — | ACT |
| 76 | Greg Jerman | T | 26 | 6'5" 310 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Dylan McFarland | T | 25 | 6'5" 290 | 1 | — | ACT |
Defensive front13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Liam Ezekiel | LB | 24 | 6'0" 249 | R | — | ACT |
| 53 | Mario Haggan | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 248 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Angelo Crowell | MLB | 24 | 6'1" 235 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Josh Stamer | OLB | 29 | 6'2" 238 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 59 | London Fletcher | MLB | 30 | 5'10" 245 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Tim Anderson | DT | 26 | 6'3" 304 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Chris Kelsay | DE | 27 | 6'4" 275 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Ryan Denney | DE | 28 | 6'7" 275 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Aaron Schobel | DE | 29 | 6'4" 262 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Sam Adams | DT | 32 | 6'4" 335 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Jeff Posey | OLB | 30 | 6'4" 241 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Justin Bannan | DT | 26 | 6'3" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Jason Jefferson | DT | 25 | 6'1" 306 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nate Clements | CB | 27 | 6'0" 209 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Troy Vincent | FS | 35 | 6'1" 200 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Terrence McGee | CB | 26 | 5'9" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Rashad Baker | FS | 23 | 5'10" 198 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Eric King | CB | 23 | 5'8" 185 | R | — | ACT |
| 33 | Jabari Greer | CB | 23 | 5'11" 169 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Lawyer Milloy | SS | 33 | 6'0" 190 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Jim Leonhard | FS | 24 | 5'8" 190 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 29 | 6'0" 175 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Rian Lindell | K | 28 | 6'3" 235 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Mike Schneck | LS | 28 | 6'0" 237 | 6 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Texans | W 22-7 | -4.5 | -0.039 |
| 2 | @ Buccaneers | L 3-19 | +2.5 | -0.270 |
| 3 | vs Falcons | L 16-24 | -3 | -0.094 |
| 4 | @ Saints | L 7-19 | -1 | -0.170 |
| 5 | vs Dolphins | W 20-14 | -2.5 | -0.066 |
| 6 | vs Jets | W 27-17 | -3 | +0.011 |
| 7 | @ Raiders | L 17-38 | +3 | -0.052 |
| 8 | @ Patriots | L 16-21 | +7 | -0.001 |
| 10 | vs Chiefs | W 14-3 | -2.5 | -0.258 |
| 11 | @ Chargers | L 10-48 | +9 | -0.232 |
| 12 | vs Panthers | L 9-13 | +4 | -0.111 |
| 13 | @ Dolphins | L 23-24 | +3 | +0.003 |
| 14 | vs Patriots | L 7-35 | +3.5 | -0.426 |
| 15 | vs Broncos | L 17-28 | +8 | +0.052 |
| 16 | @ Bengals | W 37-27 | +13 | +0.192 |
| 17 | @ Jets | L 26-30 | +1.5 | -0.072 |