AFC East · 2007
Buffalo Bills
Record
7-9
Net EPA
-0.121est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.125
- Success rate38.9%
- EPA / dropback-0.137
- EPA / rush-0.112
- Explosive rate7.6%
- CPOE-1.62
- Third-down rate33.2%
- Red-zone TD rate50.7%
- Points / drive1.13
- Turnover rate2.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.025
- Success rate allowed44.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.101
- EPA / rush allowed-0.082
- Explosive rate allowed10.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)13.3%
- Sack rate4.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.86
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.125 · 16th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.025 · 81th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
-0.8 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
4-4
As favorite
2-0
As dog
8-6
O/U
7-9
-0.8 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trent Edwards | QB | 25 | 6'3" 231 | R | — | ACT |
| 7 | J.P. Losman | QB | 26 | 6'2" 212 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Gibran Hamdan | QB | 26 | 6'6" 240 | 4 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Roscoe Parrish | WR | 25 | 5'9" 171 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Justin Jenkins | WR | 28 | 6'0" 207 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Scott Mayle | WR | 25 | 6'1" 175 | R | — | ACT |
| 22 | Fred Jackson | RB | 26 | 6'1" 215 | 2 | Coe | ACT |
| 23 | Marshawn Lynch | RB | 21 | 5'11" 215 | R | California | ACT |
| 31 | Dwayne Wright | RB | 24 | 5'11" 228 | R | — | ACT |
| 36 | Shaud Williams | RB | 28 | 5'7" 193 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Tim Massaquoi | TE | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Reed | WR | 27 | 5'10" 210 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Lee Evans | WR | 26 | 5'10" 197 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Robert Royal | TE | 28 | 6'4" 255 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Michael Gaines | TE | 27 | 6'3" 277 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Ryan Neufeld | FB | 33 | 6'4" 245 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Sam Aiken | WR | 28 | 6'2" 215 | 4 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Brad Butler | G | 25 | 6'7" 315 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Christian Gaddis | C | 24 | 6'1" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 66 | Derrick Dockery | G | 28 | 6'6" 330 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Melvin Fowler | C | 28 | 6'3" 310 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Langston Walker | T | 29 | 6'8" 366 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Jason Peters | T | 25 | 6'4" 340 | 3 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 73 | Kirk Chambers | T | 28 | 6'7" 315 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Duke Preston | C | 25 | 6'5" 326 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Patrick Estes | T | 24 | 6'7" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Patrick Estes | T | 24 | 6'7" 310 | 2 | — | TRC |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | John DiGiorgio | MLB | 25 | 6'2" 229 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Mario Haggan | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 263 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Blake Costanzo | LB | 23 | 6'1" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Angelo Crowell | OLB | 26 | 6'1" 246 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Keith Ellison | OLB | 23 | 6'0" 229 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Josh Stamer | OLB | 31 | 6'2" 236 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Leon Joe | OLB | 27 | 6'1" 235 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Ryan Neill | DE | 26 | 6'3" 253 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Corey Mace | DE | 23 | 6'3" 285 | R | — | ACT |
| 90 | Chris Kelsay | DE | 29 | 6'4" 261 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Tony Hargrove | DE | 24 | 6'3" 272 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Aaron Schobel | DE | 31 | 6'4" 243 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DT | 24 | 6'1" 306 | 1 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 97 | John McCargo | DT | 24 | 6'2" 307 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Larry Tripplett | DT | 28 | 6'2" 293 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Jason Jefferson | DT | 27 | 6'1" 295 | 2 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Donte Whitner | SS | 22 | 5'10" 208 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 24 | Terrence McGee | CB | 28 | 5'9" 198 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Ashton Youboty | CB | 23 | 5'11" 189 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 29 | John Wendling | SS | 24 | 6'1" 222 | R | — | ACT |
| 33 | Jabari Greer | CB | 25 | 5'11" 180 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Dustin Fox | CB | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Jerametrius Butler | CB | 30 | 5'10" 185 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Jim Leonhard | FS | 26 | 5'8" 185 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Bryan Scott | FS | 26 | 6'1" 219 | 4 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 31 | 6'0" 172 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Rian Lindell | K | 30 | 6'3" 233 | 7 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Broncos | L 14-15 | +3 | -0.091 |
| 2 | @ Steelers | L 3-26 | +10 | -0.254 |
| 3 | @ Patriots | L 7-38 | +16.5 | -0.257 |
| 4 | vs Jets | W 17-14 | +3.5 | +0.084 |
| 5 | vs Cowboys | L 24-25 | +10.5 | -0.280 |
| 7 | vs Ravens | W 19-14 | +3 | -0.135 |
| 8 | @ Jets | W 13-3 | +3 | +0.026 |
| 9 | vs Bengals | W 33-21 | +1 | +0.241 |
| 10 | @ Dolphins | W 13-10 | -1 | -0.163 |
| 11 | vs Patriots | L 10-56 | +15.5 | -0.321 |
| 12 | @ Jaguars | L 14-36 | +9.5 | -0.159 |
| 13 | @ Commanders | W 17-16 | +6.5 | -0.046 |
| 14 | vs Dolphins | W 38-17 | -7 | -0.016 |
| 15 | @ Browns | L 0-8 | +4.5 | -0.222 |
| 16 | vs Giants | L 21-38 | +1 | -0.421 |
| 17 | @ Eagles | L 9-17 | +9.5 | -0.111 |