AFC East · 2008
Buffalo Bills
Record
7-9
Net EPA
-0.092est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.050
- Success rate44.2%
- EPA / dropback-0.043
- EPA / rush-0.059
- Explosive rate8.5%
- CPOE+1.44
- Third-down rate40.4%
- Red-zone TD rate44.7%
- Points / drive1.59
- Turnover rate3.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.005
- Success rate allowed43.7%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.037
- EPA / rush allowed-0.058
- Explosive rate allowed8.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)13.7%
- Sack rate4.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.75
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.050 · 26th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.005 · 50th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-9
-0.9 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
5-3
As favorite
3-5
As dog
4-4
O/U
8-7-1
+1.0 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trent Edwards | QB | 26 | 6'4" 231 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 7 | J.P. Losman | QB | 27 | 6'2" 212 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Gibran Hamdan | QB | 27 | 6'4" 220 | 5 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Roscoe Parrish | WR | 26 | 5'9" 171 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Steve Johnson | WR | 22 | 6'2" 202 | R | Kentucky | ACT |
| 17 | Justin Jenkins | WR | 29 | 6'0" 207 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Fred Jackson | RB | 27 | 6'1" 215 | 3 | Coe | ACT |
| 23 | Marshawn Lynch | RB | 22 | 5'11" 215 | 1 | California | ACT |
| 25 | Xavier Omon | RB | 23 | 5'11" 227 | R | — | ACT |
| 38 | Corey McIntyre | FB | 29 | 6'0" 258 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Bruce Hall | RB | 23 | 5'11" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 80 | Derek Schouman | TE | 23 | 6'2" 223 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Reed | WR | 28 | 5'10" 210 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Lee Evans | WR | 27 | 5'10" 197 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Robert Royal | TE | 29 | 6'4" 255 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Derek Fine | TE | 25 | 6'3" 247 | R | — | ACT |
| 87 | Jonathan Stupar | TE | 24 | 6'3" 254 | R | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Brad Butler | G | 26 | 6'7" 315 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Jason Whittle | G | 33 | 6'4" 297 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Derrick Dockery | G | 29 | 6'6" 330 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Melvin Fowler | C | 29 | 6'3" 310 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Langston Walker | T | 30 | 6'8" 366 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Jason Peters | T | 26 | 6'4" 340 | 4 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 73 | Kirk Chambers | T | 29 | 6'7" 315 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Duke Preston | C | 26 | 6'5" 326 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Demetrius Bell | T | 24 | 6'5" 307 | R | — | ACT |
| 79 | Jonathan Scott | T | 25 | 6'6" 318 | 2 | — | ACT |
Defensive front13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Paul Posluszny | MLB | 25 | 6'1" 238 | 1 | Penn State | ACT |
| 54 | Blake Costanzo | OLB | 24 | 6'2" 235 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Keith Ellison | OLB | 24 | 6'0" 229 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Jon Corto | OLB | 25 | 6'0" 208 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Teddy Lehman | MLB | 28 | 6'1" 238 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Kawika Mitchell | OLB | 30 | 6'1" 253 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Corey Mace | DE | 24 | 6'3" 287 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Chris Kelsay | DE | 30 | 6'4" 261 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Spencer Johnson | DT | 28 | 6'3" 286 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Ryan Denney | DE | 31 | 6'7" 264 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DT | 25 | 6'1" 306 | 2 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 96 | Copeland Bryan | DE | 25 | 6'4" 253 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Marcus Stroud | DT | 30 | 6'6" 310 | 7 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Donte Whitner | SS | 23 | 5'10" 208 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 24 | Terrence McGee | CB | 29 | 5'9" 198 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Reggie Corner | CB | 26 | 5'9" 175 | R | — | ACT |
| 28 | Leodis McKelvin | CB | 24 | 5'10" 184 | R | Troy | ACT |
| 29 | John Wendling | SS | 25 | 6'1" 222 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Ko Simpson | FS | 26 | 6'1" 202 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Jabari Greer | CB | 26 | 5'11" 180 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Dustin Fox | CB | 27 | 5'11" 200 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 37 | George Wilson | FS | 27 | 6'0" 212 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Bryan Scott | SS | 27 | 6'1" 219 | 5 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 32 | 6'0" 172 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Rian Lindell | K | 31 | 6'3" 233 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Ryan Neill | LS | 27 | 6'3" 253 | 2 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Seahawks | W 34-10 | -1 | -0.019 |
| 2 | @ Jaguars | W 20-16 | +4 | +0.097 |
| 3 | vs Raiders | W 24-23 | -10 | -0.045 |
| 4 | @ Rams | W 31-14 | -8.5 | -0.081 |
| 5 | @ Cardinals | L 17-41 | +1 | -0.205 |
| 7 | vs Chargers | W 23-14 | +1 | +0.195 |
| 8 | @ Dolphins | L 16-25 | +1 | -0.060 |
| 9 | vs Jets | L 17-26 | -5 | -0.223 |
| 10 | @ Patriots | L 10-20 | +3.5 | -0.203 |
| 11 | vs Browns | L 27-29 | -4.5 | -0.138 |
| 12 | @ Chiefs | W 54-31 | -3 | +0.303 |
| 13 | vs 49ers | L 3-10 | -6.5 | -0.120 |
| 14 | vs Dolphins | L 3-16 | -1 | -0.347 |
| 15 | @ Jets | L 27-31 | +9 | -0.092 |
| 16 | @ Broncos | W 30-23 | +6.5 | +0.252 |
| 17 | vs Patriots | L 0-13 | +5.5 | -0.207 |