AFC East · 2010
Buffalo Bills
Record
4-12
Net EPA
-0.173est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.106
- Success rate40.1%
- EPA / dropback-0.089
- EPA / rush-0.132
- Explosive rate8.1%
- CPOE-1.94
- Third-down rate38.1%
- Red-zone TD rate60.1%
- Points / drive1.49
- Turnover rate3.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.063
- Success rate allowed46.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.131
- EPA / rush allowed-0.004
- Explosive rate allowed9.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)14.6%
- Sack rate5.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.96
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.106 · 16th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.063 · 88th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
-3.8 vs line
Home
3-4-1
Away
5-3
As favorite
2-1
As dog
6-6-1
O/U
7-9
+2.6 vs total
Roster
64 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brian Brohm | QB | 26 | 6'3" 223 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Levi Brown | QB | 23 | 6'4" 225 | R | — | ACT |
| 14 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | 29 | 6'2" 225 | 5 | Harvard | ACT |
Backs & receivers18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Steve Johnson | WR | 24 | 6'2" 202 | 2 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 17 | Paul Hubbard | WR | 25 | 6'2" 225 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Naaman Roosevelt | WR | 24 | 6'0" 189 | R | — | ACT |
| 19 | Donald Jones | WR | 24 | 6'0" 214 | R | — | ACT |
| 21 | C.J. Spiller | RB | 23 | 5'11" 196 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 22 | Fred Jackson | RB | 29 | 6'1" 215 | 5 | Coe | ACT |
| 25 | Quinton Ganther | FB | 26 | 5'9" 220 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Quinton Ganther | FB | 26 | 5'9" 220 | 4 | — | TRC |
| 30 | Jehuu Caulcrick | RB | 27 | 6'0" 250 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Jehuu Caulcrick | RB | 27 | 6'0" 250 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 38 | Corey McIntyre | FB | 31 | 6'0" 245 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 80 | David Martin | TE | 31 | 6'4" 265 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Mike Caussin | TE | 23 | 6'5" 252 | R | — | ACT |
| 82 | Mike Caussin | TE | 23 | 6'5" 252 | R | — | TRD |
| 84 | Scott Chandler | TE | 25 | 6'7" 272 | 3 | Iowa | TRC |
| 84 | Scott Chandler | TE | 25 | 6'7" 272 | 3 | Iowa | ACT |
| 86 | David Nelson | WR | 25 | 6'5" 217 | R | — | ACT |
| 88 | Jonathan Stupar | TE | 26 | 6'3" 254 | 2 | — | ACT |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Mansfield Wrotto | G | 27 | 6'3" 313 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 61 | Mansfield Wrotto | G | 27 | 6'3" 313 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Geoff Hangartner | C | 28 | 6'5" 301 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Andy Levitre | G | 24 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 70 | Eric Wood | G | 24 | 6'4" 315 | 1 | Louisville | ACT |
| 71 | Ed Wang | T | 23 | 6'5" 314 | R | — | ACT |
| 74 | Colin Brown | T | 25 | 6'7" 335 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Colin Brown | T | 25 | 6'7" 335 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 76 | Chad Rinehart | G | 25 | 6'5" 310 | 2 | — | TRT |
| 76 | Chad Rinehart | G | 25 | 6'5" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Demetress Bell | T | 26 | 6'5" 307 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Erik Pears | T | 28 | 6'8" 305 | 5 | — | TRD |
| 79 | Erik Pears | T | 28 | 6'8" 305 | 5 | — | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Jon Corto | OLB | 27 | 6'1" 220 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Pierre Woods | OLB | 28 | 6'5" 255 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Pierre Woods | OLB | 28 | 6'5" 255 | 4 | — | TRT |
| 50 | Akin Ayodele | ILB | 32 | 6'2" 245 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Paul Posluszny | ILB | 27 | 6'1" 238 | 3 | Penn State | ACT |
| 52 | Arthur Moats | ILB | 22 | 6'0" 250 | R | James Madison | ACT |
| 58 | Aaron Maybin | OLB | 22 | 6'4" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Kellen Heard | DT | 26 | 6'6" 355 | R | — | ACT |
| 72 | Kellen Heard | DT | 26 | 6'6" 355 | R | — | TRD |
| 90 | Chris Kelsay | OLB | 32 | 6'4" 261 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Spencer Johnson | DE | 30 | 6'3" 286 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Alex Carrington | DE | 23 | 6'5" 284 | R | — | ACT |
| 94 | Mike Balogun | LB | 28 | 6'0" 240 | R | — | TRC |
| 94 | Mike Balogun | LB | 28 | 6'0" 240 | R | — | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | NT | 27 | 6'1" 306 | 4 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 96 | Torell Troup | NT | 22 | 6'3" 315 | R | — | ACT |
| 97 | John McCargo | DE | 27 | 6'2" 307 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Marcus Stroud | DE | 32 | 6'6" 310 | 9 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Donte Whitner | FS | 25 | 5'10" 208 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 24 | Terrence McGee | CB | 31 | 5'9" 198 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Ashton Youboty | CB | 26 | 5'11" 189 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Reggie Corner | CB | 28 | 5'9" 175 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Leodis McKelvin | CB | 26 | 5'10" 184 | 2 | Troy | ACT |
| 29 | Drayton Florence | CB | 31 | 6'0" 195 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Jairus Byrd | FS | 25 | 5'10" 200 | 1 | Oregon | ACT |
| 37 | George Wilson | SS | 29 | 6'0" 212 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Bryan Scott | SS | 29 | 6'1" 219 | 7 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 34 | 6'0" 172 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Rian Lindell | K | 33 | 6'3" 233 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Garrison Sanborn | LS | 25 | 6'1" 253 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Dolphins | L 10-15 | +3 | -0.232 |
| 2 | @ Packers | L 7-34 | +12.5 | -0.294 |
| 3 | @ Patriots | L 30-38 | +14 | +0.185 |
| 4 | vs Jets | L 14-38 | +5.5 | -0.242 |
| 5 | vs Jaguars | L 26-36 | -2.5 | -0.011 |
| 7 | @ Ravens | L 34-37 | +12 | +0.105 |
| 8 | @ Chiefs | L 10-13 | +7 | -0.005 |
| 9 | vs Bears | L 19-22 | +3 | -0.047 |
| 10 | vs Lions | W 14-12 | -1.5 | -0.120 |
| 11 | @ Bengals | W 49-31 | +4 | +0.409 |
| 12 | vs Steelers | L 16-19 | +6.5 | -0.062 |
| 13 | @ Vikings | L 14-38 | +5 | -0.468 |
| 14 | vs Browns | W 13-6 | -1 | -0.131 |
| 15 | @ Dolphins | W 17-14 | +5.5 | -0.014 |
| 16 | vs Patriots | L 3-34 | +7 | -0.416 |
| 17 | @ Jets | L 7-38 | +1 | -0.692 |