AFC East · 2012
Buffalo Bills
Record
6-10
Net EPA
-0.043est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.007
- Success rate42.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.004
- EPA / rush-0.021
- Explosive rate10.0%
- CPOE-1.57
- Third-down rate39.8%
- Red-zone TD rate58.2%
- Points / drive1.58
- Turnover rate3.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.072
- Success rate allowed43.5%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.080
- EPA / rush allowed+0.061
- Explosive rate allowed10.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.8%
- Sack rate5.7%
- Points / drive allowed2.10
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.007 · 36th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.072 · 78th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-9
-3.6 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
3-5
As favorite
5-2
As dog
2-7
O/U
8-8
+3.5 vs total
Roster
58 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tyler Thigpen | QB | 28 | 6'1" 218 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 7 | Tarvaris Jackson | QB | 29 | 6'2" 225 | 6 | Alabama State | ACT |
| 14 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | 31 | 6'2" 225 | 7 | Harvard | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | T.J. Graham | WR | 23 | 5'11" 188 | R | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 13 | Steve Johnson | WR | 26 | 6'2" 207 | 4 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 15 | Chris Hogan | WR | 26 | 6'1" 215 | 1 | Monmouth, N.J. | TRT |
| 15 | Chris Hogan | WR | 26 | 6'1" 215 | 1 | Monmouth, N.J. | ACT |
| 16 | Brad Smith | WR | 30 | 6'2" 213 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Kevin Elliott | WR | 25 | 6'3" 215 | R | — | ACT |
| 18 | Kevin Elliott | WR | 25 | 6'3" 215 | R | — | TRD |
| 20 | Tashard Choice | RB | 29 | 5'10" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 28 | C.J. Spiller | RB | 25 | 5'11" 200 | 2 | Clemson | ACT |
| 38 | Corey McIntyre | FB | 33 | 6'0" 245 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Dorin Dickerson | FB | 24 | 6'1" 226 | 2 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 81 | Marcus Easley | WR | 26 | 6'2" 217 | 2 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 82 | Ruvell Martin | WR | 30 | 6'4" 214 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Lee Smith | TE | 26 | 6'6" 265 | 1 | Marshall | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Kraig Urbik | G | 28 | 6'5" 324 | 3 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 61 | David Snow | C | 24 | 6'4" 303 | R | — | ACT |
| 66 | Thomas Welch | T | 25 | 6'6" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Andy Levitre | G | 26 | 6'2" 305 | 3 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 68 | Keith Williams | G | 24 | 6'5" 330 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Eric Wood | C | 26 | 6'4" 310 | 3 | Louisville | ACT |
| 71 | Sam Young | T | 25 | 6'8" 316 | 2 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 73 | Chris Scott | G | 25 | 6'4" 319 | 2 | Tennessee | TRC |
| 73 | Chris Scott | G | 25 | 6'4" 319 | 2 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 77 | Cordy Glenn | T | 24 | 6'5" 345 | R | Georgia | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Bryan Scott | OLB | 31 | 6'1" 220 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 50 | Nick Barnett | OLB | 31 | 6'2" 228 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Chris White | OLB | 23 | 6'3" 238 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Nigel Bradham | OLB | 24 | 6'2" 241 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 54 | Kyle Moore | DE | 27 | 6'6" 263 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Kelvin Sheppard | MLB | 24 | 6'2" 244 | 1 | LSU | ACT |
| 56 | Shawne Merriman | OLB | 28 | 6'4" 261 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Kirk Morrison | MLB | 30 | 6'2" 245 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Greg Lloyd | LB | 23 | 6'1" 247 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Jay Ross | DT | 26 | 6'3" 319 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Spencer Johnson | DT | 32 | 6'3" 304 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Alex Carrington | DT | 25 | 6'5" 301 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Mark Anderson | DE | 29 | 6'4" 255 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Mario Williams | DE | 27 | 6'6" 292 | 6 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DT | 29 | 6'1" 303 | 6 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 99 | Marcell Dareus | DE | 22 | 6'3" 331 | 1 | Alabama | ACT |
Secondary12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Aaron Williams | CB | 22 | 6'0" 199 | 1 | Texas | ACT |
| 25 | Da'Norris Searcy | SS | 25 | 5'11" 216 | 1 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 26 | Justin Rogers | CB | 24 | 5'11" 181 | 1 | Richmond | ACT |
| 27 | Stephon Gilmore | CB | 23 | 6'0" 190 | R | South Carolina | ACT |
| 29 | Crezdon Butler | CB | 25 | 6'0" 191 | 2 | Clemson | TRC |
| 29 | Crezdon Butler | CB | 25 | 6'0" 191 | 2 | Clemson | ACT |
| 30 | Mana Silva | SS | 24 | 6'1" 214 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 30 | Mana Silva | SS | 24 | 6'1" 214 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Jairus Byrd | FS | 27 | 5'10" 203 | 3 | Oregon | ACT |
| 33 | Ron Brooks | DB | 25 | 5'10" 190 | R | LSU | ACT |
| 37 | George Wilson | SS | 31 | 6'0" 214 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 44 | T.J. Heath | DB | 26 | 6'0" 188 | 1 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shawn Powell | P | 25 | 6'4" 243 | R | — | ACT |
| 9 | Rian Lindell | K | 35 | 6'3" 227 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Garrison Sanborn | LS | 27 | 6'1" 240 | 3 | Florida State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Jets | L 28-48 | +3 | +0.097 |
| 2 | vs Chiefs | W 35-17 | -3 | +0.232 |
| 3 | @ Browns | W 24-14 | -2.5 | +0.121 |
| 4 | vs Patriots | L 28-52 | +3.5 | -0.113 |
| 5 | @ 49ers | L 3-45 | +10 | -0.290 |
| 6 | @ Cardinals | W 19-16 | +5 | -0.106 |
| 7 | vs Titans | L 34-35 | -4 | +0.144 |
| 9 | @ Texans | L 9-21 | +11 | -0.112 |
| 10 | @ Patriots | L 31-37 | +13.5 | +0.266 |
| 11 | vs Dolphins | W 19-14 | -1 | -0.067 |
| 12 | @ Colts | L 13-20 | +2 | +0.008 |
| 13 | vs Jaguars | W 34-18 | -6 | +0.075 |
| 14 | vs Rams | L 12-15 | -3.5 | -0.145 |
| 15 | vs Seahawks | L 17-50 | +4.5 | -0.274 |
| 16 | @ Dolphins | L 10-24 | +5 | -0.076 |
| 17 | vs Jets | W 28-9 | -3.5 | +0.044 |