AFC East · 2013
Buffalo Bills
Record
6-10
Net EPA
+0.041est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.076
- Success rate39.7%
- EPA / dropback-0.107
- EPA / rush-0.037
- Explosive rate8.5%
- CPOE-3.82
- Third-down rate33.7%
- Red-zone TD rate54.5%
- Points / drive1.33
- Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.072
- Success rate allowed38.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.057
- EPA / rush allowed-0.095
- Explosive rate allowed8.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)22.3%
- Sack rate8.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.63
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.076 · 22th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.072 · 19th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
+0.4 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
2-6
As favorite
2-1
As dog
6-7
O/U
10-6
+1.8 vs total
Roster
59 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | E.J. Manuel | QB | 23 | 6'4" 237 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 7 | Jeff Tuel | QB | 22 | 6'3" 221 | R | — | ACT |
| 9 | Thaddeus Lewis | QB | 27 | 6'2" 200 | 3 | Duke | ACT |
Backs & receivers18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Robert Woods | WR | 21 | 6'0" 190 | R | Southern California | ACT |
| 11 | T.J. Graham | WR | 24 | 5'11" 188 | 1 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 13 | Steve Johnson | WR | 27 | 6'2" 207 | 5 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 14 | Cordell Roberson | WR | 24 | 6'4" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 14 | Cordell Roberson | WR | 24 | 6'4" 205 | R | — | TRC |
| 15 | Chris Hogan | WR | 27 | 6'1" 220 | 2 | Monmouth, N.J. | ACT |
| 22 | Fred Jackson | RB | 32 | 6'1" 216 | 8 | Coe | ACT |
| 28 | C.J. Spiller | RB | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 3 | Clemson | ACT |
| 38 | Frank Summers | FB | 29 | 5'9" 248 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Ronnie Wingo | RB | 22 | 6'2" 231 | R | — | ACT |
| 48 | Evan Rodriguez | FB | 26 | 6'2" 245 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Marcus Easley | WR | 27 | 6'2" 217 | 3 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 82 | Tony Moeaki | TE | 26 | 6'3" 252 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 82 | Tony Moeaki | TE | 26 | 6'3" 252 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Scott Chandler | TE | 28 | 6'7" 260 | 6 | Iowa | ACT |
| 85 | Lee Smith | TE | 27 | 6'6" 265 | 2 | Marshall | ACT |
| 88 | Marquise Goodwin | WR | 24 | 5'9" 179 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 89 | Chris Gragg | TE | 23 | 6'3" 244 | R | Arkansas | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | Doug Legursky | G | 27 | 6'1" 315 | 5 | Marshall | ACT |
| 60 | Kraig Urbik | G | 29 | 6'5" 324 | 4 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 62 | Mark Asper | G | 29 | 6'7" 325 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Joe Unga | T | 26 | 6'5" 320 | R | — | ACT |
| 64 | Joe Unga | T | 26 | 6'5" 320 | R | — | TRD |
| 66 | Thomas Welch | T | 26 | 6'7" 310 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Eric Wood | C | 27 | 6'4" 310 | 4 | Louisville | ACT |
| 73 | Antoine McClain | G | 25 | 6'5" 336 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Antoine McClain | G | 25 | 6'5" 336 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 77 | Cordy Glenn | T | 25 | 6'6" 345 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 79 | Erik Pears | T | 31 | 6'8" 316 | 8 | — | ACT |
Defensive front14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Kiko Alonso | MLB | 23 | 6'3" 238 | R | Oregon | ACT |
| 52 | Arthur Moats | MLB | 25 | 6'2" 250 | 3 | James Madison | ACT |
| 53 | Nigel Bradham | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 241 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 55 | Jerry Hughes | DE | 25 | 6'2" 254 | 3 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 57 | Ty Powell | LB | 25 | 6'2" 249 | R | — | ACT |
| 57 | Ty Powell | LB | 25 | 6'2" 249 | R | — | TRC |
| 90 | Alan Branch | DT | 30 | 6'6" 325 | 6 | Michigan | ACT |
| 91 | Manny Lawson | OLB | 29 | 6'5" 240 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Mario Williams | DE | 28 | 6'6" 292 | 7 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DT | 30 | 6'1" 303 | 7 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 96 | Stefan Charles | DT | 25 | 6'5" 302 | R | Regina (Canada) | TRD |
| 96 | Stefan Charles | DT | 25 | 6'5" 302 | R | Regina (Canada) | ACT |
| 97 | Corbin Bryant | DT | 25 | 6'4" 300 | 2 | Northwestern | ACT |
| 99 | Marcell Dareus | DT | 23 | 6'3" 331 | 2 | Alabama | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Leodis McKelvin | CB | 29 | 5'10" 185 | 5 | Troy | ACT |
| 24 | Stephon Gilmore | CB | 24 | 6'1" 190 | 1 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 25 | Da'Norris Searcy | FS | 26 | 5'11" 216 | 2 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 27 | Duke Williams | FS | 24 | 5'11" 201 | R | Nevada | ACT |
| 31 | Jairus Byrd | FS | 28 | 5'10" 203 | 4 | Oregon | ACT |
| 33 | Ron Brooks | CB | 26 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | LSU | ACT |
| 35 | Jim Leonhard | SS | 32 | 5'8" 188 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Jonathan Meeks | SS | 25 | 6'0" 209 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 37 | Nickell Robey | CB | 21 | 5'7" 165 | R | Southern California | ACT |
| 44 | Brandon Smith | CB | 26 | 6'1" 205 | 2 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dan Carpenter | K | 29 | 6'2" 228 | 5 | Montana | ACT |
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 37 | 6'0" 174 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Garrison Sanborn | LS | 28 | 6'1" 240 | 4 | Florida State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Patriots | L 21-23 | +10 | -0.140 |
| 2 | vs Panthers | W 24-23 | +3.5 | +0.052 |
| 3 | @ Jets | L 20-27 | +2.5 | -0.109 |
| 4 | vs Ravens | W 23-20 | +4 | -0.201 |
| 5 | @ Browns | L 24-37 | +3.5 | -0.029 |
| 6 | vs Bengals | L 24-27 | +6 | +0.052 |
| 7 | @ Dolphins | W 23-21 | +6 | -0.063 |
| 8 | @ Saints | L 17-35 | +10.5 | -0.123 |
| 9 | vs Chiefs | L 13-23 | +4.5 | -0.147 |
| 10 | @ Steelers | L 10-23 | +3 | -0.192 |
| 11 | vs Jets | W 37-14 | +1 | -0.004 |
| 13 | vs Falcons | L 31-34 | -5 | +0.092 |
| 14 | @ Buccaneers | L 6-27 | +3 | -0.461 |
| 15 | @ Jaguars | W 27-20 | -4 | +0.065 |
| 16 | vs Dolphins | W 19-0 | -1 | -0.034 |
| 17 | @ Patriots | L 20-34 | +7.5 | +0.032 |