AFC East · 2014
Buffalo Bills
Record
9-7
Net EPA
+0.012est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.076
- Success rate41.0%
- EPA / dropback-0.029
- EPA / rush-0.158
- Explosive rate7.5%
- CPOE-1.80
- Third-down rate37.3%
- Red-zone TD rate51.7%
- Points / drive1.48
- Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.102
- Success rate allowed41.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.082
- EPA / rush allowed-0.134
- Explosive rate allowed7.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.8%
- Sack rate7.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.29
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.076 · 12th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.102 · 9th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+4.2 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-3
As favorite
3-5
As dog
6-2
O/U
3-13
-4.2 vs total
Roster
58 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | E.J. Manuel | QB | 24 | 6'4" 237 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 18 | Kyle Orton | QB | 33 | 6'4" 228 | 9 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers19
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Robert Woods | WR | 22 | 6'0" 190 | 1 | Southern California | ACT |
| 11 | Marcus Thigpen | WR | 28 | 5'9" 200 | 5 | Indiana | TRT |
| 11 | Marcus Thigpen | WR | 28 | 5'9" 200 | 5 | Indiana | ACT |
| 11 | Marcus Thigpen | WR | 28 | 5'9" 200 | 5 | Indiana | TRC |
| 14 | Sammy Watkins | WR | 21 | 6'1" 211 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 15 | Chris Hogan | WR | 28 | 6'1" 220 | 3 | Monmouth, N.J. | ACT |
| 22 | Fred Jackson | RB | 33 | 6'1" 216 | 9 | Coe | ACT |
| 26 | Anthony Dixon | RB | 28 | 6'1" 233 | 4 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 28 | C.J. Spiller | RB | 27 | 5'11" 200 | 4 | Clemson | ACT |
| 35 | Bryce Brown | RB | 23 | 6'0" 220 | 2 | Kansas State | ACT |
| 48 | MarQueis Gray | TE | 26 | 6'4" 242 | 1 | Minnesota | TRC |
| 48 | MarQueis Gray | TE | 26 | 6'4" 242 | 1 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 80 | Deonte Thompson | WR | 25 | 6'0" 203 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 80 | Deonte Thompson | WR | 25 | 6'0" 203 | 2 | Florida | TRD |
| 81 | Marcus Easley | WR | 28 | 6'2" 217 | 4 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 84 | Scott Chandler | TE | 29 | 6'7" 260 | 7 | Iowa | ACT |
| 85 | Lee Smith | TE | 28 | 6'6" 265 | 3 | Marshall | ACT |
| 88 | Marquise Goodwin | WR | 25 | 5'9" 179 | 1 | Texas | ACT |
| 89 | Chris Gragg | TE | 24 | 6'3" 244 | 1 | Arkansas | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Kraig Urbik | G | 30 | 6'5" 324 | 5 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 66 | Seantrel Henderson | T | 22 | 6'7" 331 | R | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 68 | Cyril Richardson | G | 25 | 6'5" 343 | R | Baylor | ACT |
| 70 | Eric Wood | C | 28 | 6'4" 310 | 5 | Louisville | ACT |
| 71 | Cyrus Kouandjio | T | 21 | 6'7" 322 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 75 | Chris Hairston | T | 25 | 6'6" 330 | 3 | Clemson | ACT |
| 77 | Cordy Glenn | T | 26 | 6'6" 345 | 2 | Georgia | ACT |
| 79 | Erik Pears | G | 32 | 6'8" 316 | 9 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Brandon Spikes | MLB | 28 | 6'2" 255 | 4 | Florida | ACT |
| 52 | Preston Brown | OLB | 23 | 6'1" 251 | R | Louisville | ACT |
| 53 | Nigel Bradham | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 241 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 54 | Larry Dean | OLB | 26 | 6'0" 226 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Jerry Hughes | DE | 26 | 6'2" 254 | 4 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 56 | Keith Rivers | OLB | 28 | 6'2" 235 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Ty Powell | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 249 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Randell Johnson | OLB | 23 | 6'4" 245 | R | Florida Atlantic | ACT |
| 91 | Manny Lawson | DE | 30 | 6'5" 240 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Jarius Wynn | DE | 28 | 6'3" 285 | 5 | Georgia | ACT |
| 94 | Mario Williams | DE | 29 | 6'6" 292 | 8 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DT | 31 | 6'1" 303 | 8 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 96 | Stefan Charles | DT | 26 | 6'5" 323 | 1 | Regina (Canada) | ACT |
| 97 | Corbin Bryant | DT | 26 | 6'4" 300 | 3 | Northwestern | ACT |
| 99 | Marcell Dareus | DT | 24 | 6'3" 331 | 3 | Alabama | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Corey Graham | CB | 29 | 6'0" 196 | 7 | New Hampshire | ACT |
| 23 | Aaron Williams | SS | 24 | 6'0" 199 | 3 | Texas | ACT |
| 24 | Stephon Gilmore | CB | 25 | 6'1" 190 | 2 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 25 | Da'Norris Searcy | FS | 27 | 5'11" 207 | 3 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 27 | Duke Williams | FS | 25 | 5'11" 201 | 1 | Nevada | ACT |
| 29 | Ross Cockrell | CB | 23 | 6'0" 190 | R | Duke | ACT |
| 30 | Bacarri Rambo | SS | 24 | 6'0" 211 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 30 | Bacarri Rambo | SS | 24 | 6'0" 211 | 1 | Georgia | TRC |
| 33 | Ron Brooks | CB | 27 | 5'10" 190 | 2 | LSU | ACT |
| 37 | Nickell Robey | CB | 22 | 5'8" 165 | 1 | Southern California | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dan Carpenter | K | 30 | 6'2" 228 | 6 | Montana | ACT |
| 4 | Jordan Gay | K | 24 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | Centre | ACT |
| 6 | Colton Schmidt | P | 25 | 5'11" 224 | 1 | California-Davis | ACT |
| 65 | Garrison Sanborn | LS | 29 | 6'1" 240 | 5 | Florida State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bears | W 23-20 | +7 | +0.068 |
| 2 | vs Dolphins | W 29-10 | -1 | -0.062 |
| 3 | vs Chargers | L 10-22 | -2.5 | -0.126 |
| 4 | @ Texans | L 17-23 | +3 | -0.232 |
| 5 | @ Lions | W 17-14 | +4.5 | -0.168 |
| 6 | vs Patriots | L 22-37 | -1 | -0.042 |
| 7 | vs Vikings | W 17-16 | -7 | -0.104 |
| 8 | @ Jets | W 43-23 | +3 | +0.049 |
| 10 | vs Chiefs | L 13-17 | -2 | -0.107 |
| 11 | @ Dolphins | L 9-22 | +4 | -0.152 |
| 12 | vs Jets | W 38-3 | -2.5 | +0.152 |
| 13 | vs Browns | W 26-10 | -3 | -0.199 |
| 14 | @ Broncos | L 17-24 | +9 | -0.016 |
| 15 | vs Packers | W 21-13 | +3.5 | -0.214 |
| 16 | @ Raiders | L 24-26 | -7 | -0.052 |
| 17 | @ Patriots | W 17-9 | +4.5 | +0.043 |