AFC East · 2016
Buffalo Bills
Record
7-9
Net EPA
+0.012est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.056
- Success rate44.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.076
- EPA / rush+0.028
- Explosive rate10.0%
- CPOE+0.94
- Third-down rate41.7%
- Red-zone TD rate68.0%
- Points / drive2.08
- Turnover rate1.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.022
- Success rate allowed42.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.102
- EPA / rush allowed-0.087
- Explosive rate allowed10.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.0%
- Sack rate6.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.89
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.056 · 75th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.022 · 62th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10
+0.6 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
3-5
As favorite
3-5
As dog
3-5
O/U
12-4
+4.0 vs total
Roster
70 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | EJ Manuel | QB | 26 | 6'4" 237 | 3 | Florida State | ACT |
| 5 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | 27 | 6'1" 215 | 5 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 7 | Cardale Jones | QB | 25 | 6'5" 250 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
| 82 | Logan Thomas | QB | 25 | 6'6" 250 | 2 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
Backs & receivers20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Robert Woods | WR | 24 | 6'0" 190 | 3 | Southern California | ACT |
| 13 | Dezmin Lewis | WR | 25 | 6'4" 214 | 1 | Central Arkansas | ACT |
| 14 | Sammy Watkins | WR | 23 | 6'1" 211 | 2 | Clemson | ACT |
| 15 | Brandon Tate | WR | 30 | 6'1" 195 | 7 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 17 | Justin Hunter | WR | 25 | 6'4" 203 | 3 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 18 | Percy Harvin | WR | 28 | 5'11" 184 | 7 | Florida | RES |
| 18 | Kolby Listenbee | WR | 22 | 6'1" 183 | — | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 19 | Walt Powell | WR | 26 | 6'0" 189 | 2 | Murray State | RES |
| 22 | Reggie Bush | RB | 31 | 6'0" 205 | — | USC | ACT |
| 25 | LeSean McCoy | RB | 28 | 5'11" 208 | 7 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 31 | Jonathan Williams | RB | 22 | 5'11" 223 | R | Arkansas | ACT |
| 35 | Mike Gillislee | RB | 27 | 5'11" 219 | 3 | Florida | ACT |
| 42 | Jerome Felton | RB | 30 | 6'0" 248 | — | Furman | ACT |
| 81 | Marcus Easley | WR | 30 | 6'2" 217 | 6 | Connecticut | PUP |
| 84 | Nick O'Leary | TE | 24 | 6'3" 252 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 85 | Charles Clay | TE | 27 | 6'3" 255 | 5 | Tulsa | ACT |
| 86 | Blake Annen | TE | 25 | 6'4" 247 | — | — | RES |
| 87 | Gerald Christian | TE | 25 | 6'3" 250 | 1 | Louisville | ACT |
| 88 | Marquise Goodwin | WR | 27 | 5'9" 179 | 3 | Texas | ACT |
| 89 | Chris Gragg | TE | 26 | 6'3" 244 | 3 | Arkansas | RES |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | Richie Incognito | OL | 33 | 6'3" 319 | 11 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 66 | Seantrel Henderson | OL | 24 | 6'7" 331 | 2 | Miami (Fla.) | RSN |
| 67 | Patrick Lewis | OL | 25 | 6'1" 311 | — | — | ACT |
| 70 | Eric Wood | OL | 30 | 6'4" 310 | 7 | Louisville | RES |
| 71 | Cyrus Kouandjio | OL | 23 | 6'7" 322 | 2 | Alabama | ACT |
| 72 | Ryan Groy | OL | 27 | 6'5" 320 | 2 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 74 | Michael Ola | OL | 28 | 6'5" 312 | 3 | Hampton | ACT |
| 76 | John Miller | OL | 23 | 6'2" 303 | 1 | Louisville | ACT |
| 77 | Cordy Glenn | OL | 28 | 6'6" 345 | 4 | Georgia | ACT |
| 79 | Jordan Mills | OL | 27 | 6'5" 316 | 3 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Ramon Humber | LB | 29 | 5'11" 232 | 7 | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 51 | Brandon Spikes | LB | 30 | 6'2" 255 | — | Florida | ACT |
| 52 | Preston Brown | LB | 25 | 6'1" 251 | 2 | Louisville | ACT |
| 53 | Zach Brown | LB | 28 | 6'1" 248 | 4 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 55 | Jerry Hughes | LB | 28 | 6'2" 254 | 6 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 56 | Lerentee McCray | LB | 26 | 6'3" 249 | 3 | Florida | ACT |
| 57 | Lorenzo Alexander | LB | 33 | 6'1" 245 | 11 | California | ACT |
| 59 | Reggie Ragland | LB | 24 | 6'2" 252 | R | Alabama | RES |
| 62 | Deandre Coleman | DL | 25 | 6'5" 341 | 2 | California | ACT |
| 75 | IK Enemkpali | DL | 25 | 6'1" 261 | 2 | Louisiana Tech | RES |
| 90 | Shaq Lawson | DL | 22 | 6'3" 270 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 91 | Leger Douzable | DL | 30 | 6'4" 284 | 8 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 92 | Adolphus Washington | DL | 25 | 6'4" 295 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
| 94 | Jerel Worthy | DL | 26 | 6'2" 308 | 4 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DL | 33 | 6'1" 303 | 10 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 97 | Corbin Bryant | DL | 28 | 6'4" 300 | 5 | Northwestern | RES |
| 99 | Marcell Dareus | DL | 26 | 6'3" 331 | 5 | Alabama | ACT |
Secondary16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Corey Graham | DB | 31 | 6'0" 196 | 9 | New Hampshire | ACT |
| 21 | Nickell Robey-Coleman | DB | 24 | 5'8" 165 | 3 | Southern California | ACT |
| 23 | Aaron Williams | DB | 26 | 6'0" 199 | 5 | Texas | RES |
| 24 | Stephon Gilmore | DB | 27 | 6'1" 190 | 4 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 26 | Robert Blanton | DB | 28 | 6'1" 200 | 4 | Notre Dame | RES |
| 28 | Ronald Darby | DB | 22 | 5'11" 193 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 29 | Kevon Seymour | DB | 24 | 6'0" 185 | R | Southern California | ACT |
| 30 | Corey White | DB | 26 | 6'1" 210 | 4 | Samford | ACT |
| 31 | Jonathan Dowling | DB | 26 | 6'3" 190 | — | — | RES |
| 32 | James Ihedigbo | DB | 34 | 6'1" 214 | — | Massachusetts | RES |
| 33 | Colt Anderson | DB | 32 | 5'10" 195 | 7 | Montana | RES |
| 36 | Jonathan Meeks | DB | 28 | 6'0" 209 | — | Clemson | ACT |
| 37 | Shamiel Gary | DB | 26 | 6'0" 217 | 2 | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 38 | Sergio Brown | DB | 28 | 6'2" 207 | — | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 39 | Marcus Roberson | DB | 25 | 6'0" 191 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 43 | Phillip Thomas | DB | 27 | 6'0" 223 | — | — | RES |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dan Carpenter | K | 32 | 6'2" 228 | — | Montana | ACT |
| 6 | Colton Schmidt | P | 27 | 5'11" 224 | 3 | California-Davis | ACT |
| 65 | Garrison Sanborn | LS | 31 | 6'1" 240 | 7 | Florida State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Ravens | L 7-13 | +3 | -0.165 |
| 2 | vs Jets | L 31-37 | -1.5 | +0.129 |
| 3 | vs Cardinals | W 33-18 | +5 | -0.077 |
| 4 | @ Patriots | W 16-0 | +3.5 | +0.096 |
| 5 | @ Rams | W 30-19 | -2.5 | +0.041 |
| 6 | vs 49ers | W 45-16 | -7.5 | +0.167 |
| 7 | @ Dolphins | L 25-28 | -2.5 | +0.055 |
| 8 | vs Patriots | L 25-41 | +5.5 | +0.105 |
| 9 | @ Seahawks | L 25-31 | +5.5 | +0.126 |
| 11 | @ Bengals | W 16-12 | +2.5 | -0.041 |
| 12 | vs Jaguars | W 28-21 | -8.5 | +0.174 |
| 13 | @ Raiders | L 24-38 | +3 | +0.081 |
| 14 | vs Steelers | L 20-27 | +1 | -0.005 |
| 15 | vs Browns | W 33-13 | -10.5 | +0.249 |
| 16 | vs Dolphins | L 31-34 | -4.5 | +0.183 |
| 17 | @ Jets | L 10-30 | -3.5 | -0.401 |