AFC East · 2018
Buffalo Bills
Record
6-10
Net EPA
+0.050est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.140
- Success rate37.8%
- EPA / dropback-0.137
- EPA / rush-0.143
- Explosive rate7.7%
- CPOE-7.12
- Third-down rate32.3%
- Red-zone TD rate50.4%
- Points / drive1.26
- Turnover rate2.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.078
- Success rate allowed43.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.066
- EPA / rush allowed-0.094
- Explosive rate allowed9.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)20.8%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.80
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.140 · 5th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.078 · 8th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-9
-0.2 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
4-4
As favorite
1-2
As dog
6-7
O/U
7-9
-0.2 vs total
Roster
95 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derek Anderson | QB | 35 | 6'6" 235 | 13 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Barkley | QB | 29 | 6'2" 227 | 5 | Southern California | ACT |
| 17 | Josh Allen | QB | 22 | 6'5" 240 | R | Wyoming | ACT |
Backs & receivers25
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jeremy Kerley | WR | 31 | 5'9" 188 | 7 | Texas Christian | CUT |
| 10 | Terrelle Pryor | WR | 29 | 6'4" 228 | 7 | Ohio State | CUT |
| 10 | Deonte Thompson | WR | 29 | 6'0" 204 | 6 | Florida | ACT |
| 11 | Zay Jones | WR | 23 | 6'2" 200 | 1 | East Carolina | ACT |
| 13 | Victor Bolden | WR | 23 | 5'8" 178 | 1 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 14 | Ray-Ray McCloud | WR | 23 | 5'9" 180 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 15 | Da'Mari Scott | WR | 23 | 6'0" 210 | R | Fresno State | ACT |
| 16 | Tanner McEvoy | WR | 25 | 6'6" 230 | 2 | Wisconsin | DEV |
| 16 | Robert Foster | WR | 24 | 6'2" 194 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 19 | Isaiah McKenzie | WR | 23 | 5'8" 173 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 25 | LeSean McCoy | RB | 30 | 5'11" 210 | 9 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 26 | Taiwan Jones | RB | 30 | 6'0" 195 | 7 | Eastern Washington | RES |
| 33 | Chris Ivory | RB | 30 | 6'0" 223 | 8 | Tiffin University | ACT |
| 35 | Keith Ford | RB | 24 | 5'10" 215 | R | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 36 | Sam Rogers | RB | — | 5'10" 235 | 1 | Virginia Tech | CUT |
| 36 | Zach Olstad | RB | — | 5'11" 245 | R | Winona State | CUT |
| 42 | Patrick DiMarco | RB | 29 | 6'1" 234 | 7 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 45 | Marcus Murphy | RB | 28 | 5'9" 195 | 3 | Missouri | RES |
| 48 | Kyle Carter | TE | 27 | 6'3" 245 | 2 | Penn State | DEV |
| 80 | Jason Croom | TE | 24 | 6'4" 246 | 1 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 82 | Logan Thomas | TE | 27 | 6'6" 250 | 4 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 85 | Charles Clay | TE | 29 | 6'3" 255 | 7 | Tulsa | ACT |
| 86 | Keith Towbridge | TE | 23 | 6'5" 262 | 1 | Louisville | DEV |
| 87 | Cam Phillips | WR | 24 | 6'0" 201 | R | Virginia Tech | DEV |
| 88 | Khari Lee | TE | 26 | 6'4" 253 | 3 | Bowie State | CUT |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Josh James | OL | — | 6'5" 314 | 2 | Carroll (Mont.) | CUT |
| 61 | Andrew Lauderdale | OL | 26 | 6'6" 291 | 1 | New Hampshire | DEV |
| 62 | Vladimir Ducasse | OL | 32 | 6'5" 329 | 8 | Massachusetts | ACT |
| 65 | Ike Boettger | OL | 25 | 6'6" 307 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 66 | Russell Bodine | OL | 26 | 6'3" 308 | 4 | North Carolina | RES |
| 68 | Conor McDermott | OL | 27 | 6'8" 305 | 1 | UCLA | ACT |
| 72 | Ryan Groy | OL | 29 | 6'5" 320 | 4 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 73 | Dion Dawkins | OL | 24 | 6'5" 320 | 1 | Temple | ACT |
| 74 | Jeremiah Sirles | OL | 27 | 6'6" 315 | 4 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 75 | Wyatt Teller | OL | 25 | 6'4" 315 | R | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 76 | John Miller | OL | 25 | 6'3" 315 | 3 | Louisville | ACT |
| 77 | Mo Porter | OL | — | 6'5" 305 | R | Baylor | CUT |
| 79 | Jordan Mills | OL | 29 | 6'5" 316 | 5 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
Defensive front29
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Mat Boesen | DL | — | 6'4" 238 | R | Texas Christian | CUT |
| 44 | Deon Lacey | LB | 28 | 6'3" 235 | 5 | West Alabama | ACT |
| 48 | Keenan Robinson | LB | — | 6'3" 245 | 6 | Texas | CUT |
| 49 | Tremaine Edmunds | LB | 20 | 6'5" 250 | R | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 51 | Julian Stanford | LB | 29 | 6'1" 230 | 6 | Wagner | ACT |
| 52 | Richard Jarvis | LB | 23 | 6'2" 220 | R | Brown | DEV |
| 52 | Corey Thompson | LB | 26 | 6'1" 228 | R | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 54 | Eddie Yarbrough | DL | 25 | 6'3" 259 | 2 | Wyoming | ACT |
| 55 | Jerry Hughes | DL | 30 | 6'2" 254 | 8 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 56 | Mike Love | DL | 24 | 6'3" 266 | R | South Florida | ACT |
| 57 | Lorenzo Alexander | LB | 35 | 6'1" 245 | 13 | California | ACT |
| 58 | Matt Milano | LB | 24 | 6'0" 223 | 1 | Boston College | RES |
| 59 | Owa Odighizuwa | DL | — | 6'4" 264 | 3 | UCLA | CUT |
| 59 | Ryan Russell | DL | — | 6'5" 275 | 3 | Purdue | CUT |
| 90 | Kyle Peko | DL | 25 | 6'1" 305 | 2 | Oregon State | DEV |
| 90 | Shaq Lawson | DL | 24 | 6'3" 267 | 2 | Clemson | ACT |
| 91 | Tyrunn Walker | DL | 28 | 6'3" 310 | 6 | Tulsa | CUT |
| 91 | John Hughes | DL | — | 6'2" 320 | 6 | Cincinnati | CUT |
| 91 | Tenny Palepoi | DL | — | 6'1" 298 | 4 | Utah | CUT |
| 93 | Trent Murphy | DL | 29 | 6'6" 259 | 4 | Stanford | ACT |
| 94 | Rickey Hatley | DL | — | 6'4" 320 | 1 | Missouri | CUT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DL | 35 | 6'1" 303 | 12 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 96 | Terrence Fede | DL | — | 6'4" 267 | 4 | Marist | CUT |
| 97 | Robert Thomas | DL | 27 | 6'1" 316 | 4 | Arkansas | DEV |
| 97 | Jordan Phillips | DL | 27 | 6'6" 333 | 3 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 97 | Marquavius Lewis | DL | — | 6'3" 293 | 1 | South Carolina | CUT |
| 97 | Albert Havili | DL | — | 6'2" 255 | R | Eastern Washington | CUT |
| 98 | Star Lotulelei | DL | 30 | 6'2" 315 | 5 | Utah | ACT |
| 99 | Harrison Phillips | DL | 22 | 6'3" 295 | R | Stanford | ACT |
Secondary17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rafael Bush | DB | 31 | 5'11" 205 | 8 | South Carolina State | ACT |
| 21 | Jordan Poyer | DB | 27 | 6'0" 191 | 5 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 22 | Vontae Davis | DB | 30 | 5'11" 207 | 9 | Illinois | NWT |
| 23 | Micah Hyde | DB | 29 | 6'0" 197 | 5 | Iowa | ACT |
| 24 | Taron Johnson | DB | 22 | 5'11" 192 | R | Weber State | RES |
| 27 | Tre'Davious White | DB | 23 | 5'11" 192 | 1 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 29 | Siran Neal | DB | 24 | 6'0" 205 | R | Jacksonville State | ACT |
| 30 | Lafayette Pitts | DB | 27 | 5'11" 194 | 2 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 31 | Dean Marlowe | DB | 26 | 6'1" 205 | 3 | James Madison | ACT |
| 36 | Josh Thornton | DB | 27 | 5'11" 185 | 1 | Southern Utah | DEV |
| 37 | Kelcie McCray | DB | — | 6'1" 205 | 6 | Arkansas State | CUT |
| 37 | Denzel Rice | DB | 25 | 6'0" 196 | 3 | Coastal Carolina | ACT |
| 38 | L.J. McCray | DB | — | 6'0" 204 | 4 | Catawba | CUT |
| 38 | Xavier Coleman | DB | 23 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | Portland State | DEV |
| 38 | Ryan Lewis | DB | 24 | 5'11" 200 | 1 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 46 | Ryan Carter | DB | — | 5'9" 184 | R | Clemson | CUT |
| 47 | Levi Wallace | DB | 23 | 6'0" 183 | R | Alabama | ACT |
Specialists8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stephen Hauschka | K | 33 | 6'4" 210 | 10 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 6 | Colton Schmidt | P | 29 | 5'11" 224 | 5 | California-Davis | CUT |
| 7 | Cory Carter | P | 24 | 5'11" 220 | 2 | Texas Southern | RES |
| 8 | Matt Darr | P | 26 | 6'1" 220 | 3 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 9 | Jon Ryan | P | — | 6'0" 217 | 12 | Regina (Canada) | CUT |
| 9 | Tyler Davis | K | — | 5'10" 192 | R | Penn State | CUT |
| 9 | Corey Bojorquez | P | 23 | 6'0" 208 | R | New Mexico | RES |
| 69 | Reid Ferguson | LS | 24 | 6'2" 244 | 2 | Louisiana State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Ravens | L 3-47 | +7.5 | -0.615 |
| 2 | vs Chargers | L 20-31 | +7.5 | -0.089 |
| 3 | @ Vikings | W 27-6 | +16.5 | +0.014 |
| 4 | @ Packers | L 0-22 | +8.5 | -0.414 |
| 5 | vs Titans | W 13-12 | +6 | -0.170 |
| 6 | @ Texans | L 13-20 | +10.5 | -0.286 |
| 7 | @ Colts | L 5-37 | +7 | -0.479 |
| 8 | vs Patriots | L 6-25 | +13.5 | -0.379 |
| 9 | vs Bears | L 9-41 | +10.5 | -0.280 |
| 10 | @ Jets | W 41-10 | +6.5 | +0.267 |
| 12 | vs Jaguars | W 24-21 | +3 | +0.057 |
| 13 | @ Dolphins | L 17-21 | +3.5 | +0.066 |
| 14 | vs Jets | L 23-27 | -4.5 | +0.025 |
| 15 | vs Lions | W 14-13 | -2.5 | +0.057 |
| 16 | @ Patriots | L 12-24 | +14 | -0.324 |
| 17 | vs Dolphins | W 42-17 | -5.5 | +0.227 |