NFC South · 2004
Carolina Panthers
Record
7-9
Net EPA
+0.076est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.025
- Success rate42.1%
- EPA / dropback+0.129
- EPA / rush-0.127
- Explosive rate8.9%
- Third-down rate39.2%
- Red-zone TD rate66.2%
- Points / drive1.65
- Turnover rate2.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.010
- Success rate allowed43.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.043
- EPA / rush allowed-0.085
- Explosive rate allowed7.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)5.5%
- Sack rate5.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.61
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.025 · 64th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.010 · 53th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
+1.3 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
7-1
As favorite
3-5
As dog
7-1
O/U
7-9
+1.8 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rodney Peete | QB | 38 | 6'0" 230 | 15 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Rod Rutherford | QB | 25 | 6'2" 223 | R | — | ACT |
| 16 | Chris Weinke | QB | 32 | 6'4" 232 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Jake Delhomme | QB | 29 | 6'2" 215 | 7 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Micah Ross | WR | 28 | 6'2" 219 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 11 | Micah Ross | WR | 28 | 6'2" 219 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Jamal Robertson | RB | 27 | 5'10" 210 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 22 | Jamal Robertson | RB | 27 | 5'10" 210 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Brandon Bennett | RB | 31 | 5'11" 220 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Nick Goings | FB | 26 | 6'0" 225 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 45 | Brad Hoover | FB | 29 | 6'0" 245 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Casey Cramer | RB | 22 | 6'1" 235 | R | — | ACT |
| 81 | Ricky Proehl | WR | 36 | 6'0" 190 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Mike Seidman | TE | 23 | 6'4" 261 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Keary Colbert | WR | 22 | 5'10" 193 | R | — | ACT |
| 84 | Michael Gaines | TE | 24 | 6'2" 275 | R | — | ACT |
| 86 | Kris Mangum | TE | 31 | 6'4" 252 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Muhsin Muhammad | WR | 31 | 6'2" 217 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Karl Hankton | WR | 34 | 6'2" 202 | 7 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Jeff Mitchell | C | 30 | 6'4" 300 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Dave Kadela | G | 26 | 6'6" 304 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Bill Ferrario | G | 27 | 6'2" 315 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Rich Tylski | G | 33 | 6'4" 305 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Jordan Gross | T | 24 | 6'4" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Travelle Wharton | T | 23 | 6'4" 312 | R | — | ACT |
| 71 | Matt Willig | T | 35 | 6'8" 315 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Tutan Reyes | G | 28 | 6'3" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Todd Fordham | T | 32 | 6'5" 319 | 7 | — | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Vinny Ciurciu | MLB | 24 | 5'11" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Brian Allen | OLB | 26 | 6'0" 232 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Brandon Short | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 253 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Will Witherspoon | OLB | 24 | 6'1" 231 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Dan Morgan | MLB | 27 | 6'2" 245 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Jason Kyle | OLB | 32 | 6'3" 242 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Sean Tufts | LB | 22 | 6'3" 236 | R | — | ACT |
| 58 | Mark Fields | OLB | 33 | 6'2" 244 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Cleveland Pinkney | DT | 28 | 6'1" 300 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Cleveland Pinkney | DT | 28 | 6'1" 300 | 3 | — | TRT |
| 67 | Jordan Carstens | DT | 23 | 6'5" 303 | R | — | ACT |
| 90 | Julius Peppers | DE | 24 | 6'6" 283 | 2 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 91 | Omari Jordan | DT | 26 | 6'4" 315 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Mike Rucker | DE | 29 | 6'5" 275 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Kindal Moorehead | DT | 27 | 6'2" 285 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Al Wallace | DE | 30 | 6'5" 275 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Kemp Rasmussen | DE | 25 | 6'3" 265 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Brentson Buckner | DT | 34 | 6'2" 310 | 10 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Chris Gamble | CB | 21 | 6'1" 181 | R | — | ACT |
| 21 | Dante Wesley | CB | 25 | 6'0" 211 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Curtis Fuller | FS | 26 | 5'10" 188 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Curtis Fuller | FS | 26 | 5'10" 188 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 24 | Ricky Manning | CB | 25 | 5'8" 185 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Artrell Hawkins | CB | 29 | 5'10" 190 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Colin Branch | FS | 24 | 5'11" 205 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Mike Minter | SS | 30 | 5'10" 195 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Eddie Jackson | DB | 25 | 6'0" 190 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | John Kasay | K | 36 | 5'10" 198 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Todd Sauerbrun | P | 31 | 5'10" 215 | 9 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Packers | L 14-24 | -3 | -0.054 |
| 2 | @ Chiefs | W 28-17 | +7 | +0.061 |
| 4 | vs Falcons | L 10-27 | -3.5 | -0.164 |
| 5 | @ Broncos | L 17-20 | +4 | +0.038 |
| 6 | @ Eagles | L 8-30 | +10 | -0.152 |
| 7 | vs Chargers | L 6-17 | -3 | -0.114 |
| 8 | @ Seahawks | L 17-23 | +8 | +0.117 |
| 9 | vs Raiders | L 24-27 | -6 | +0.168 |
| 10 | @ 49ers | W 37-27 | +1.5 | +0.242 |
| 11 | vs Cardinals | W 35-10 | -3 | +0.098 |
| 12 | vs Buccaneers | W 21-14 | +3 | +0.046 |
| 13 | @ Saints | W 32-21 | -2 | +0.136 |
| 14 | vs Rams | W 20-7 | -7 | -0.088 |
| 15 | @ Falcons | L 31-34 | +3.5 | +0.056 |
| 16 | @ Buccaneers | W 37-20 | +1.5 | +0.299 |
| 17 | vs Saints | L 18-21 | -7 | -0.194 |