NFC South · 2016
Carolina Panthers
Record
6-10
Net EPA
-0.049est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.048
- Success rate40.9%
- EPA / dropback-0.038
- EPA / rush-0.062
- Explosive rate8.7%
- CPOE-4.49
- Third-down rate36.5%
- Red-zone TD rate62.6%
- Points / drive1.61
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.003
- Success rate allowed43.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.051
- EPA / rush allowed-0.112
- Explosive rate allowed8.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.5%
- Sack rate6.7%
- Points / drive allowed1.77
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.048 · 32th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.003 · 38th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
-3.3 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
3-4-1
As favorite
3-7-1
As dog
3-2
O/U
8-8
+1.5 vs total
Roster
67 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Newton | QB | 27 | 6'5" 245 | 5 | Auburn | ACT |
| 3 | Derek Anderson | QB | 33 | 6'6" 235 | 11 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 14 | Joe Webb | QB | 31 | 6'4" 235 | 6 | Alabama-Birmingham | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Corey Brown | WR | 26 | 5'11" 190 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 11 | Brenton Bersin | WR | 26 | 6'3" 210 | 4 | Wofford | ACT |
| 13 | Kelvin Benjamin | WR | 25 | 6'5" 245 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 17 | Devin Funchess | WR | 22 | 6'4" 225 | 1 | Michigan | RES |
| 18 | Damiere Byrd | WR | 23 | 5'9" 180 | 1 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 19 | Ted Ginn | WR | 31 | 5'11" 180 | 9 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 28 | Jonathan Stewart | RB | 29 | 5'10" 240 | 8 | Oregon | ACT |
| 34 | Cameron Artis-Payne | RB | 26 | 5'10" 220 | 1 | Auburn | ACT |
| 35 | Mike Tolbert | RB | 32 | 5'9" 250 | 8 | Coastal Carolina | ACT |
| 43 | Fozzy Whittaker | RB | 27 | 5'10" 205 | 4 | Texas | ACT |
| 47 | Devon Johnson | RB | 23 | 6'0" 245 | — | — | RES |
| 82 | Chris Manhertz | TE | 24 | 6'6" 255 | 1 | Canisius | ACT |
| 84 | Ed Dickson | TE | 29 | 6'4" 255 | 6 | Oregon | ACT |
| 86 | LaRon Byrd | WR | 27 | 6'4" 225 | — | — | RES |
| 88 | Greg Olsen | TE | 31 | 6'5" 255 | 9 | Miami | ACT |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Daryl Williams | OL | 24 | 6'6" 335 | 1 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 61 | David Yankey | OL | 24 | 6'6" 310 | 2 | Stanford | ACT |
| 62 | Ryan Wendell | OL | 30 | 6'2" 300 | — | Fresno State | ACT |
| 66 | Gino Gradkowski | OL | 29 | 6'3" 300 | 4 | Delaware | RES |
| 67 | Ryan Kalil | OL | 31 | 6'2" 300 | 9 | USC | RES |
| 68 | Andrew Norwell | OL | 26 | 6'6" 325 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 69 | Tyler Larsen | OL | 25 | 6'4" 335 | 2 | Utah State | ACT |
| 70 | Trai Turner | OL | 23 | 6'3" 310 | 2 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 71 | Dan France | OL | 25 | 6'6" 312 | 2 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 72 | Jordan Rigsbee | OL | 23 | 6'4" 315 | — | — | RES |
| 73 | Michael Oher | OL | 30 | 6'4" 315 | 7 | Mississippi | RES |
| 74 | Mike Remmers | OL | 27 | 6'5" 310 | 4 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 79 | Chris Scott | OL | 29 | 6'4" 340 | 6 | Tennessee | ACT |
Defensive front20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Jared Norris | LB | 23 | 6'1" 240 | R | Utah | ACT |
| 53 | Ben Jacobs | LB | 28 | 6'4" 240 | 5 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 54 | Shaq Thompson | LB | 22 | 6'0" 230 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 55 | David Mayo | LB | 23 | 6'2" 245 | 1 | Texas State | ACT |
| 56 | A.J. Klein | LB | 25 | 6'1" 240 | 3 | Iowa State | ACT |
| 57 | Jeremy Cash | LB | 25 | 6'0" 215 | R | Duke | ACT |
| 58 | Thomas Davis | LB | 33 | 6'1" 235 | 11 | Georgia | ACT |
| 59 | Luke Kuechly | LB | 25 | 6'3" 238 | 4 | Boston College | ACT |
| 65 | Chas Alecxih | DL | 27 | 6'4" 295 | — | — | RES |
| 75 | Larry Webster | DL | 26 | 6'6" 272 | 2 | Bloomsburg | ACT |
| 77 | Kyle Love | DL | 31 | 6'1" 315 | 6 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 90 | Paul Soliai | DL | 34 | 6'4" 345 | — | Utah | ACT |
| 91 | Ryan Delaire | DL | 24 | 6'4" 265 | 1 | Towson | RES |
| 92 | Vernon Butler | DL | 22 | 6'4" 325 | R | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 94 | Kony Ealy | DL | 26 | 6'4" 275 | 2 | Missouri | ACT |
| 95 | Charles Johnson | DL | 30 | 6'2" 275 | 9 | Georgia | ACT |
| 96 | Wes Horton | DL | 28 | 6'5" 265 | 3 | Southern California | ACT |
| 97 | Mario Addison | DL | 30 | 6'3" 260 | 5 | Troy | ACT |
| 98 | Star Lotulelei | DL | 28 | 6'2" 315 | 3 | Utah | ACT |
| 99 | Kawann Short | DL | 27 | 6'3" 315 | 3 | Purdue | ACT |
Secondary12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kurt Coleman | DB | 28 | 5'11" 200 | 6 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 21 | Teddy Williams | DB | 28 | 6'1" 210 | 6 | Texas-San Antonio | RES |
| 22 | Michael Griffin | DB | 31 | 6'0" 215 | — | Texas | ACT |
| 23 | Leonard Johnson | DB | 26 | 5'10" 200 | 4 | Iowa State | ACT |
| 24 | James Bradberry | DB | 23 | 6'1" 210 | R | Samford | ACT |
| 25 | Lou Young | DB | 26 | 6'0" 205 | 2 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 26 | Daryl Worley | DB | 21 | 6'1" 205 | R | West Virginia | ACT |
| 29 | Dean Marlowe | DB | 24 | 6'1" 210 | 1 | James Madison | RES |
| 30 | Travell Dixon | DB | 25 | 6'1" 210 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 31 | Zack Sanchez | DB | 24 | 5'11" 185 | R | Oklahoma | RES |
| 33 | Tre Boston | DB | 24 | 6'1" 210 | 2 | North Carolina | RES |
| 42 | Colin Jones | DB | 30 | 6'0" 205 | 5 | Texas Christian | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Michael Palardy | P | 24 | 5'11" 191 | 2 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 8 | Andy Lee | P | 34 | 6'1" 185 | 12 | Pittsburgh | RES |
| 9 | Graham Gano | K | 29 | 6'2" 205 | 7 | Florida State | ACT |
| 44 | J.J. Jansen | LS | 30 | 6'2" 240 | 8 | Notre Dame | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Broncos | L 20-21 | -3 | +0.042 |
| 2 | vs 49ers | W 46-27 | -12 | +0.076 |
| 3 | vs Vikings | L 10-22 | -6 | -0.210 |
| 4 | @ Falcons | L 33-48 | -2.5 | -0.004 |
| 5 | vs Buccaneers | L 14-17 | -6 | -0.017 |
| 6 | @ Saints | L 38-41 | -2.5 | +0.151 |
| 8 | vs Cardinals | W 30-20 | -2.5 | -0.037 |
| 9 | @ Rams | W 13-10 | -3 | -0.049 |
| 10 | vs Chiefs | L 17-20 | -3 | -0.032 |
| 11 | vs Saints | W 23-20 | -3.5 | -0.102 |
| 12 | @ Raiders | L 32-35 | +3.5 | +0.080 |
| 13 | @ Seahawks | L 7-40 | +8.5 | -0.287 |
| 14 | vs Chargers | W 28-16 | -1 | -0.155 |
| 15 | @ Commanders | W 26-15 | +7 | +0.042 |
| 16 | vs Falcons | L 16-33 | +3 | -0.183 |
| 17 | @ Buccaneers | L 16-17 | +3.5 | -0.143 |