NFC South · 2019

Carolina Panthers

Record

5-11

Net EPA

-0.197est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play-0.082
Success rate43.3%
EPA / dropback-0.070
EPA / rush-0.106
Explosive rate7.4%
CPOE-2.45
Third-down rate32.4%
Red-zone TD rate59.4%
Points / drive1.56
Turnover rate2.9%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.059
Success rate allowed45.5%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.055
EPA / rush allowed+0.066
Explosive rate allowed10.9%
Pressure rate (proxy)23.6%
Sack rate8.0%
Points / drive allowed2.17

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.082 · 15th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.059 · 73th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

6-9-1

-6.2 vs line

Home

2-5-1

Away

4-4

As favorite

3-3

As dog

3-6-1

O/U

11-5

+4.7 vs total

Roster

108 players

46 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Cam Newton	QB	30	6'5" 245	8	Auburn	RES
3	Will Grier	QB	24	6'1" 220	R	West Virginia	ACT
6	Taylor Heinicke	QB	—	6'1" 210	4	Old Dominion	CUT
7	Kyle Allen	QB	23	6'3" 211	1	Houston	ACT

Backs & receivers27

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
8	Aldrick Robinson	WR	—	5'10" 185	8	Southern Methodist	CUT
10	Curtis Samuel	WR	23	5'11" 195	2	Ohio State	ACT
11	Torrey Smith	WR	—	6'0" 205	8	Maryland	CUT
11	Brandon Zylstra	WR	26	6'2" 215	1	Concordia, Minn	ACT
12	Braxton Miller	WR	28	6'2" 215	3	Ohio State	CUT
12	D.J. Moore	WR	22	6'0" 215	1	Maryland	INA
13	Jarius Wright	WR	31	5'10" 191	7	Arkansas	ACT
15	Chris Hogan	WR	33	6'1" 210	8	Monmouth, N.J.	ACT
16	Andre Levrone	WR	—	6'2" 220	1	Virginia	CUT
18	DeAndrew White	WR	29	6'0" 195	4	Alabama	ACT
19	Rashad Ross	WR	—	6'0" 180	6	Arizona State	CUT
19	Donte Moncrief	WR	26	6'2" 215	5	Mississippi	CUT
20	Jordan Scarlett	RB	24	5'11" 210	R	Florida	RES
21	Elijah Holyfield	RB	23	5'10" 215	R	Georgia	DEV
22	Christian McCaffrey	RB	23	5'11" 205	2	Stanford	ACT
27	Mike Davis	RB	26	5'9" 221	4	South Carolina	ACT
34	Cameron Artis-Payne	RB	—	5'10" 215	4	Auburn	CUT
39	Reggie Bonnafon	RB	23	6'0" 215	1	Louisville	ACT
40	Alex Armah	RB	25	6'2" 255	2	West Georgia	ACT
80	Ian Thomas	TE	23	6'4" 260	1	Indiana	ACT
81	Cole Hunt	TE	—	6'7" 225	1	Texas Christian	CUT
82	Chris Manhertz	TE	27	6'6" 255	4	Canisius	ACT
83	Damion Jeanpiere	WR	24	6'1" 185	R	Nicholls State	DEV
84	Temarrick Hemingway	TE	26	6'5" 245	3	South Carolina State	DEV
85	Bobo Wilson	WR	24	5'9" 186	2	Florida State	DEV
85	Marcus Baugh	TE	26	6'4" 245	1	Ohio State	RES
88	Greg Olsen	TE	34	6'5" 255	12	Miami	ACT

Offensive line24

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Daryl Williams	OL	27	6'6" 330	4	Oklahoma	ACT
61	Matt Paradis	OL	31	6'3" 300	5	Boise State	ACT
62	Taylor Hearn	OL	—	6'4" 315	1	Clemson	CUT
63	Norman Price	OL	—	6'4" 311	3	Southern Mississippi	CUT
63	Tyler Catalina	OL	—	6'6" 315	2	Georgia	CUT
63	Matt Kaskey	OL	22	6'7" 325	R	Dartmouth	INA
64	Chris Reed	OL	27	6'4" 320	4	Minn. State-Mankato	ACT
64	Dorian Johnson	OL	—	6'5" 305	2	Pittsburgh	CUT
64	John Yarbrough	OL	—	6'4" 300	R	Richmond	CUT
65	Dennis Daley	OL	23	6'6" 324	R	South Carolina	ACT
66	Dillon Gordon	OL	27	6'4" 320	3	LSU	RES
66	Aaron Monteiro	OL	22	6'7" 320	R	Boston College	DEV
68	Rishard Cook	OL	22	6'3" 320	R	Alabama-Birmingham	CUT
69	Tyler Larsen	OL	28	6'4" 325	5	Utah State	ACT
69	Tyler Marz	OL	28	6'7" 316	3	Wisconsin	DEV
70	Trai Turner	OL	26	6'3" 315	5	Louisiana State	ACT
72	Taylor Moton	OL	25	6'5" 325	2	Western Michigan	ACT
73	Greg Van Roten	OL	29	6'3" 305	7	Pennsylvania	RES
74	Greg Little	OL	23	6'5" 310	R	Mississippi	RES
75	Brandon Greene	OL	25	6'5" 295	2	Alabama	RES
76	Bryan Witzmann	OL	29	6'7" 320	5	South Dakota State	CUT
76	Parker Collins	OL	—	6'3" 295	2	Appalachian State	CUT
76	Garrett McGhin	OL	26	6'6" 302	R	East Carolina	RES
77	Kitt O'Brien	OL	29	6'5" 325	4	Ball State	RES

Defensive front29

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
41	Brandon Chubb	LB	—	6'1" 245	3	Wake Forest	CUT
41	Brandon Bell	LB	—	6'1" 230	2	Penn State	CUT
43	Jordan Kunaszyk	LB	24	6'3" 235	R	California	ACT
46	Sione Teuhema	LB	25	6'4" 250	1	Southeastern Louisiana	DEV
48	Jonathan Celestin	LB	—	6'1" 230	1	Minnesota	CUT
49	Antwione Williams	LB	—	6'3" 250	3	Georgia Southern	CUT
50	Christian Miller	LB	23	6'3" 244	R	Alabama	INA
52	Ramik Wilson	LB	27	6'2" 237	4	Georgia	CUT
52	Jared Norris	LB	26	6'1" 238	3	Utah	CUT
53	Brian Burns	LB	21	6'5" 250	R	Florida State	ACT
54	Shaq Thompson	LB	25	6'0" 230	4	Washington	INA
55	Bruce Irvin	LB	33	6'3" 250	7	West Virginia	ACT
56	Jermaine Carter	LB	24	6'1" 225	1	Maryland	ACT
57	Andre Smith	LB	22	6'0" 240	1	North Carolina	ACT
59	Luke Kuechly	LB	28	6'3" 238	7	Boston College	ACT
65	Greg Gilmore	DL	26	6'4" 308	1	LSU	DEV
71	Bijhon Jackson	DL	25	6'1" 339	1	Arkansas	NWT
75	Destiny Vaeao	DL	25	6'4" 300	3	Washington State	CUT
77	Kyle Love	DL	34	6'1" 310	9	Mississippi State	ACT
78	Woodrow Hamilton	DL	28	6'3" 315	3	Mississippi	INA
91	Stacy McGee	DL	29	6'3" 341	6	Oklahoma	ACT
92	Vernon Butler	DL	25	6'4" 330	3	Louisiana Tech	ACT
93	Gerald McCoy	DL	31	6'4" 300	9	Oklahoma	ACT
94	Efe Obada	DL	27	6'6" 265	4	No College	ACT
95	Dontari Poe	DL	29	6'3" 346	7	Memphis	RES
96	Wes Horton	DL	31	6'5" 265	6	Southern California	ACT
97	Mario Addison	DL	33	6'3" 260	8	Troy	ACT
98	Marquis Haynes	DL	27	6'2" 235	1	Mississippi	INA
99	Kawann Short	DL	30	6'3" 315	6	Purdue	RES

Secondary19

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
23	Kevon Seymour	DB	—	6'0" 185	3	Southern California	CUT
23	Javien Elliott	DB	26	5'11" 176	3	Florida State	ACT
24	James Bradberry	DB	26	6'1" 212	3	Samford	ACT
25	Eric Reid	DB	29	6'1" 213	6	Louisiana State	ACT
26	Donte Jackson	DB	25	5'10" 180	1	Louisiana State	ACT
27	Josh Thornton	DB	—	5'11" 185	2	Southern Utah	CUT
29	Corn Elder	DB	26	5'10" 185	2	Miami	INA
30	Natrell Jamerson	DB	25	5'11" 200	1	Wisconsin	RES
31	Lorenzo Doss	DB	—	5'11" 185	4	Tulane	CUT
32	Cole Luke	DB	24	5'11" 200	2	Notre Dame	ACT
33	Tre Boston	DB	27	6'1" 205	5	North Carolina	ACT
35	Corrion Ballard	DB	—	6'3" 200	R	Utah	CUT
36	T.J. Green	DB	24	6'3" 215	3	Clemson	ACT
36	Dominique Hatfield	DB	26	5'10" 178	2	Utah	DEV
36	Ryan Pulley	DB	—	5'10" 191	R	Arkansas	CUT
37	Quin Blanding	DB	23	6'2" 210	1	Virginia	DEV
42	Colin Jones	DB	33	6'0" 205	8	Texas Christian	ACT
45	Damian Parms	DB	28	6'2" 210	4	Florida Atlantic	CUT
47	Ross Cockrell	DB	28	6'0" 191	5	Duke	ACT

Specialists5

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
4	Joey Slye	K	23	5'11" 213	R	Virginia Tech	ACT
5	Michael Palardy	P	27	5'11" 200	5	Tennessee	ACT
9	Graham Gano	K	32	6'2" 202	10	Florida State	RES
44	J.J. Jansen	LS	33	6'2" 235	11	Notre Dame	ACT
48	Andrew DePaola	LS	—	6'2" 220	7	Rutgers	CUT

Schedule

16 games

Carolina Panthers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Rams	L 27-30	+1.5	-0.144
2	vs Buccaneers	L 14-20	-6.5	-0.240
3	@ Cardinals	W 38-20	+2.5	+0.277
4	@ Texans	W 16-10	+5.5	-0.133
5	vs Jaguars	W 34-27	-3	+0.198
6	@ Buccaneers	W 37-26	-2	-0.020
8	@ 49ers	L 13-51	+4.5	-0.520
9	vs Titans	W 30-20	-3.5	+0.111
10	@ Packers	L 16-24	+5	+0.014
11	vs Falcons	L 3-29	-3.5	-0.329
12	@ Saints	L 31-34	+10	+0.203
13	vs Commanders	L 21-29	-10.5	-0.104
14	@ Falcons	L 20-40	+3.5	-0.053
15	vs Seahawks	L 24-30	+6	+0.014
16	@ Colts	L 6-38	+7.5	-0.189
17	vs Saints	L 10-42	+13.5	-0.312