AFC North · 2003
Cleveland Browns
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.123est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.100
- Success rate43.0%
- EPA / dropback-0.069
- EPA / rush-0.144
- Explosive rate6.8%
- Third-down rate37.1%
- Red-zone TD rate47.9%
- Points / drive1.31
- Turnover rate3.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.010
- Success rate allowed42.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.003
- EPA / rush allowed-0.018
- Explosive rate allowed6.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)5.9%
- Sack rate5.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.68
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.100 · 19th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.010 · 67th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10
-1.3 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
4-4
As favorite
2-3
As dog
4-7
O/U
7-9
-5.4 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2003
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Colts | L 6-9 | +2 | -0.082 |
| 2 | @ Ravens | L 13-33 | +2.5 | -0.418 |
| 3 | @ 49ers | W 13-12 | +7 | +0.127 |
| 4 | vs Bengals | L 14-21 | -4.5 | +0.056 |
| 5 | @ Steelers | W 33-13 | +7 | +0.098 |
| 6 | vs Raiders | W 13-7 | -3.5 | -0.043 |
| 7 | vs Chargers | L 20-26 | -3.5 | -0.291 |
| 8 | @ Patriots | L 3-9 | +4.5 | -0.121 |
| 10 | @ Chiefs | L 20-41 | +9 | -0.044 |
| 11 | vs Cardinals | W 44-6 | -5 | +0.324 |
| 12 | vs Steelers | L 6-13 | -3 | -0.307 |
| 13 | @ Seahawks | L 7-34 | +6.5 | -0.396 |
| 14 | vs Rams | L 20-26 | +5.5 | -0.241 |
| 15 | @ Broncos | L 20-23 | +11.5 | +0.077 |
| 16 | vs Ravens | L 0-35 | +3 | -0.477 |
| 17 | @ Bengals | W 22-14 | +8.5 | +0.177 |

