AFC North · 2012
Cleveland Browns
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.121est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.068
- Success rate39.6%
- EPA / dropback-0.069
- EPA / rush-0.066
- Explosive rate7.9%
- CPOE-4.22
- Third-down rate30.6%
- Red-zone TD rate58.2%
- Points / drive1.48
- Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.022
- Success rate allowed44.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.089
- EPA / rush allowed-0.082
- Explosive rate allowed7.7%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.0%
- Sack rate5.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.71
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.068 · 22th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.022 · 57th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
-0.3 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
3-4-1
As favorite
2-1
As dog
6-6-1
O/U
6-10
+0.5 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2012
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eagles | L 16-17 | +9 | -0.386 |
| 2 | @ Bengals | L 27-34 | +7 | +0.204 |
| 3 | vs Bills | L 14-24 | +2.5 | -0.203 |
| 4 | @ Ravens | L 16-23 | +11.5 | -0.161 |
| 5 | @ Giants | L 27-41 | +7.5 | +0.106 |
| 6 | vs Bengals | W 34-24 | +1 | -0.052 |
| 7 | @ Colts | L 13-17 | +1 | +0.092 |
| 8 | vs Chargers | W 7-6 | +2.5 | -0.133 |
| 9 | vs Ravens | L 15-25 | +3.5 | -0.174 |
| 11 | @ Cowboys | L 20-23 | +7 | -0.032 |
| 12 | vs Steelers | W 20-14 | +1 | -0.330 |
| 13 | @ Raiders | W 20-17 | -2.5 | +0.220 |
| 14 | vs Chiefs | W 30-7 | -7 | +0.091 |
| 15 | vs Commanders | L 21-38 | -4 | -0.211 |
| 16 | @ Broncos | L 12-34 | +11 | -0.019 |
| 17 | @ Steelers | L 10-24 | +10 | -0.111 |