Task Enterprises presentsNFL Intelligence

AFC North · 2013

Cleveland Browns

Record

4-12

Net EPA

-0.093est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play-0.075
  • Success rate39.2%
  • EPA / dropback-0.074
  • EPA / rush-0.076
  • Explosive rate7.2%
  • CPOE-3.79
  • Third-down rate34.9%
  • Red-zone TD rate60.1%
  • Points / drive1.27
  • Turnover rate2.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed+0.009
  • Success rate allowed42.2%
  • EPA / dropback allowed+0.076
  • EPA / rush allowed-0.100
  • Explosive rate allowed6.5%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)17.2%
  • Sack rate5.7%
  • Points / drive allowed1.72
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.075 · 26th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.009 · 60th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

6-10

-3.6 vs line

Home

3-5

Away

3-5

As favorite

1-4

As dog

5-6

O/U

9-7

+2.6 vs total

Roster

Roster

No roster published for 2013

Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.

Schedule

16 games

Cleveland Browns schedule
WkOpponentResult
1vs DolphinsL 10-23
2@ RavensL 6-14
3@ VikingsW 31-27
4vs BengalsW 17-6
5vs BillsW 37-24
6vs LionsL 17-31
7@ PackersL 13-31
8@ ChiefsL 17-23
9vs RavensW 24-18
11@ BengalsL 20-41
12vs SteelersL 11-27
13vs JaguarsL 28-32
14@ PatriotsL 26-27
15vs BearsL 31-38
16@ JetsL 13-24
17@ SteelersL 7-20