Task Enterprises presentsNFL Intelligence

AFC North · 2014

Cleveland Browns

Record

7-9

Net EPA

-0.094est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play-0.069
  • Success rate38.1%
  • EPA / dropback-0.022
  • EPA / rush-0.130
  • Explosive rate9.1%
  • CPOE-7.11
  • Third-down rate29.9%
  • Red-zone TD rate49.1%
  • Points / drive1.44
  • Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed-0.033
  • Success rate allowed43.7%
  • EPA / dropback allowed-0.028
  • EPA / rush allowed-0.041
  • Explosive rate allowed9.2%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)14.9%
  • Sack rate4.6%
  • Points / drive allowed1.62
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.069 · 19th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.033 · 33th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-5-2

-1.2 vs line

Home

4-3-1

Away

5-2-1

As favorite

2-4-1

As dog

7-1-1

O/U

5-11

-4.6 vs total

Roster

Roster

No roster published for 2014

Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.

Schedule

16 games

Cleveland Browns schedule
WkOpponentResult
1@ SteelersL 27-30
2vs SaintsW 26-24
3vs RavensL 21-23
5@ TitansW 29-28
6vs SteelersW 31-10
7@ JaguarsL 6-24
8vs RaidersW 23-13
9vs BuccaneersW 22-17
10@ BengalsW 24-3
11vs TexansL 7-23
12@ FalconsW 26-24
13@ BillsL 10-26
14vs ColtsL 24-25
15vs BengalsL 0-30
16@ PanthersL 13-17
17@ RavensL 10-20