AFC North · 2015
Cleveland Browns
Record
3-13
Net EPA
-0.189est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.074
- Success rate41.1%
- EPA / dropback-0.025
- EPA / rush-0.179
- Explosive rate7.0%
- CPOE-0.75
- Third-down rate41.6%
- Red-zone TD rate41.3%
- Points / drive1.32
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.087
- Success rate allowed44.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.194
- EPA / rush allowed-0.061
- Explosive rate allowed10.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.4%
- Sack rate4.9%
- Points / drive allowed2.21
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.074 · 16th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.087 · 95th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10
-4.3 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
3-5
As favorite
2-2
As dog
4-8
O/U
8-8
+1.0 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2015
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Jets | L 10-31 | +3.5 | -0.237 |
| 2 | vs Titans | W 28-14 | -1 | -0.046 |
| 3 | vs Raiders | L 20-27 | -3.5 | +0.079 |
| 4 | @ Chargers | L 27-30 | +4.5 | +0.114 |
| 5 | @ Ravens | W 33-30 | +6 | +0.208 |
| 6 | vs Broncos | L 23-26 | +3.5 | -0.298 |
| 7 | @ Rams | L 6-24 | +6.5 | -0.258 |
| 8 | vs Cardinals | L 20-34 | +7 | -0.102 |
| 9 | @ Bengals | L 10-31 | +13 | -0.109 |
| 10 | @ Steelers | L 9-30 | +7 | -0.124 |
| 12 | vs Ravens | L 27-33 | -6 | +0.054 |
| 13 | vs Bengals | L 3-37 | +7.5 | -0.315 |
| 14 | vs 49ers | W 24-10 | -2.5 | +0.145 |
| 15 | @ Seahawks | L 13-30 | +14.5 | +0.051 |
| 16 | @ Chiefs | L 13-17 | +11.5 | -0.041 |
| 17 | vs Steelers | L 12-28 | +13 | -0.303 |