AFC West · 2016
Denver Broncos
Record
9-7
Net EPA
-0.002est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.059
- Success rate41.0%
- EPA / dropback-0.004
- EPA / rush-0.153
- Explosive rate7.5%
- CPOE-0.31
- Third-down rate34.4%
- Red-zone TD rate50.5%
- Points / drive1.51
- Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.119
- Success rate allowed39.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.148
- EPA / rush allowed-0.077
- Explosive rate allowed5.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)22.5%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.37
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.059 · 25th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.119 · 2th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+1.3 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
6-3
As dog
3-4
O/U
7-9
-3.3 vs total
Roster
62 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Paxton Lynch | QB | 22 | 6'7" 242 | R | Memphis | ACT |
| 13 | Trevor Siemian | QB | 26 | 6'3" 220 | 1 | Northwestern | ACT |
Backs & receivers18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Emmanuel Sanders | WR | 29 | 5'11" 180 | 6 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 11 | Jordan Norwood | WR | 31 | 5'11" 180 | 7 | Penn State | ACT |
| 14 | Cody Latimer | WR | 25 | 6'2" 215 | 2 | Indiana | ACT |
| 15 | Marlon Brown | WR | 25 | 6'5" 214 | 3 | Georgia | RES |
| 16 | Bennie Fowler | WR | 25 | 6'1" 212 | 2 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 19 | Kalif Raymond | WR | 22 | 5'9" 160 | R | Holy Cross | ACT |
| 20 | Justin Forsett | RB | 32 | 5'8" 197 | 8 | California | ACT |
| 22 | C.J. Anderson | RB | 25 | 5'8" 224 | 3 | California | RES |
| 23 | Devontae Booker | RB | 24 | 5'11" 212 | R | Utah | ACT |
| 32 | Andy Janovich | RB | 23 | 6'1" 230 | R | Nebraska | RES |
| 35 | Kapri Bibbs | RB | 23 | 5'11" 203 | 2 | Colorado State | RES |
| 40 | Juwan Thompson | RB | 24 | 5'11" 225 | 2 | Duke | ACT |
| 82 | Jeff Heuerman | TE | 25 | 6'5" 255 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 83 | A.J. Derby | TE | 26 | 6'5" 255 | 1 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 84 | Henry Krieger-Coble | TE | 24 | 6'3" 250 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 85 | Virgil Green | TE | 28 | 6'5" 255 | 5 | Nevada | ACT |
| 87 | Jordan Taylor | WR | 24 | 6'5" 210 | 1 | Rice | ACT |
| 88 | Demaryius Thomas | WR | 30 | 6'3" 229 | 6 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | James Ferentz | OL | 27 | 6'2" 285 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 60 | Connor McGovern | OL | 23 | 6'4" 300 | R | Missouri | ACT |
| 61 | Matt Paradis | OL | 28 | 6'3" 300 | 2 | Boise State | ACT |
| 67 | Sam Brenner | OL | 26 | 6'2" 310 | — | — | RES |
| 70 | Billy Turner | OL | 26 | 6'5" 315 | 2 | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 71 | Donald Stephenson | OL | 29 | 6'6" 312 | 4 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 73 | Russell Okung | OL | 29 | 6'5" 310 | 6 | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 74 | Ty Sambrailo | OL | 24 | 6'5" 315 | 1 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 76 | Max Garcia | OL | 26 | 6'4" 309 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 79 | Michael Schofield | OL | 27 | 6'6" 301 | 2 | Michigan | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Shaquil Barrett | LB | 25 | 6'2" 250 | 2 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 49 | Quentin Gause | LB | 25 | 6'0" 232 | R | Rutgers | ACT |
| 50 | Zaire Anderson | LB | 24 | 5'11" 220 | 1 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 51 | Todd Davis | LB | 24 | 6'1" 230 | 2 | Sacramento State | ACT |
| 52 | Corey Nelson | LB | 24 | 6'1" 226 | 2 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 54 | Brandon Marshall | LB | 28 | 6'1" 238 | 4 | Nevada | ACT |
| 56 | Shane Ray | LB | 23 | 6'3" 245 | 1 | Missouri | ACT |
| 57 | Dekoda Watson | LB | 28 | 6'2" 240 | 6 | Florida State | ACT |
| 58 | Von Miller | LB | 27 | 6'3" 250 | 5 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 59 | Vontarrius Dora | LB | 25 | 6'3" 262 | R | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 90 | Kyle Peko | DL | 23 | 6'1" 305 | R | Oregon State | ACT |
| 92 | Sylvester Williams | DL | 29 | 6'2" 313 | 3 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 93 | Jared Crick | DL | 27 | 6'4" 285 | 4 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 94 | DeMarcus Ware | LB | 34 | 6'4" 258 | 11 | Troy | RES |
| 95 | Derek Wolfe | DL | 26 | 6'5" 285 | 4 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 96 | Vance Walker | DL | 29 | 6'2" 305 | — | Georgia Tech | RES |
| 97 | Billy Winn | DL | 27 | 6'4" 300 | 4 | Boise State | ACT |
| 99 | Adam Gotsis | DL | 25 | 6'4" 282 | R | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Aqib Talib | DB | 30 | 6'1" 205 | 8 | Kansas | ACT |
| 25 | Chris Harris | DB | 27 | 5'10" 199 | 5 | Kansas | ACT |
| 26 | Darian Stewart | DB | 28 | 5'11" 214 | 6 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 29 | Bradley Roby | DB | 24 | 5'11" 194 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 31 | Justin Simmons | DB | 24 | 6'2" 201 | R | Boston College | ACT |
| 34 | Will Parks | DB | 22 | 6'0" 194 | R | Arizona | ACT |
| 36 | Kayvon Webster | DB | 25 | 5'11" 198 | 3 | South Florida | RES |
| 37 | Lorenzo Doss | DB | 22 | 5'11" 187 | 1 | Tulane | ACT |
| 39 | Taurean Nixon | DB | 25 | 5'10" 187 | 1 | Tulane | ACT |
| 43 | T.J. Ward | DB | 31 | 5'10" 200 | 6 | Oregon | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brandon McManus | K | 25 | 6'3" 201 | 3 | Temple | ACT |
| 9 | Riley Dixon | P | 23 | 6'4" 219 | R | Syracuse | ACT |
| 42 | Casey Kreiter | LS | 26 | 6'1" 250 | 2 | Iowa | RES |
| 45 | Thomas Gafford | LS | 33 | 6'2" 244 | 11 | Houston | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Panthers | W 21-20 | +3 | +0.027 |
| 2 | vs Colts | W 34-20 | -5 | +0.072 |
| 3 | @ Bengals | W 29-17 | +3.5 | +0.124 |
| 4 | @ Buccaneers | W 27-7 | -3.5 | +0.073 |
| 5 | vs Falcons | L 16-23 | -3.5 | -0.055 |
| 6 | @ Chargers | L 13-21 | -3 | -0.186 |
| 7 | vs Texans | W 27-9 | -8.5 | +0.050 |
| 8 | vs Chargers | W 27-19 | -3.5 | -0.263 |
| 9 | @ Raiders | L 20-30 | +1 | -0.025 |
| 10 | @ Saints | W 25-23 | +3 | -0.032 |
| 12 | vs Chiefs | L 27-30 | -3.5 | +0.147 |
| 13 | @ Jaguars | W 20-10 | -3.5 | -0.244 |
| 14 | @ Titans | L 10-13 | +2 | -0.151 |
| 15 | vs Patriots | L 3-16 | +3 | -0.333 |
| 16 | @ Chiefs | L 10-33 | +3.5 | -0.242 |
| 17 | vs Raiders | W 24-6 | -1 | +0.006 |