AFC West · 2017
Denver Broncos
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.029est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.119
- Success rate38.4%
- EPA / dropback-0.110
- EPA / rush-0.134
- Explosive rate8.3%
- CPOE-2.16
- Third-down rate38.9%
- Red-zone TD rate42.9%
- Points / drive1.24
- Turnover rate2.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.087
- Success rate allowed39.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.027
- EPA / rush allowed-0.249
- Explosive rate allowed7.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)18.9%
- Sack rate5.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.69
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.119 · 11th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.087 · 18th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
4-11-1
-6.0 vs line
Home
3-4-1
Away
1-7
As favorite
2-6-1
As dog
2-5
O/U
8-8
+1.1 vs total
Roster
91 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chad Kelly | QB | 23 | 6'2" 224 | R | Mississippi | RSN |
| 12 | Paxton Lynch | QB | 23 | 6'7" 244 | 1 | Memphis | ACT |
| 13 | Trevor Siemian | QB | 27 | 6'3" 220 | 2 | Northwestern | RES |
| 17 | Brock Osweiler | QB | 28 | 6'7" 240 | 5 | Arizona State | ACT |
Backs & receivers26
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Anthony Nash | WR | — | 6'5" 200 | R | Duke | CUT |
| 4 | Tim Patrick | WR | 25 | 6'5" 210 | R | Utah | DEV |
| 10 | Emmanuel Sanders | WR | 30 | 5'11" 180 | 7 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 11 | Jordan Leslie | WR | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 2 | Brigham Young | DEV |
| 11 | Carlos Henderson | WR | 24 | 5'11" 198 | R | Louisiana Tech | RES |
| 14 | Cody Latimer | WR | 26 | 6'2" 215 | 3 | Indiana | ACT |
| 15 | Marlon Brown | WR | — | 6'5" 214 | 4 | Georgia | CUT |
| 16 | Bennie Fowler | WR | 26 | 6'1" 212 | 3 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 22 | C.J. Anderson | RB | 26 | 5'8" 224 | 4 | California | ACT |
| 23 | Devontae Booker | RB | 25 | 5'11" 219 | 1 | Utah | ACT |
| 28 | Jamaal Charles | RB | 32 | 5'11" 199 | 9 | Texas | ACT |
| 30 | Bernard Pierce | RB | — | 6'0" 222 | 5 | Temple | CUT |
| 30 | Stanley Williams | RB | — | 5'8" 190 | R | Kentucky | CUT |
| 32 | Andy Janovich | RB | 24 | 6'1" 238 | 1 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 33 | De'Angelo Henderson Sr. | RB | 26 | 5'7" 208 | R | Coastal Carolina | ACT |
| 40 | Juwan Thompson | RB | — | 5'11" 225 | 3 | Duke | CUT |
| 80 | Jake Butt | TE | 22 | 6'6" 250 | R | Michigan | RSN |
| 81 | Steven Scheu | TE | — | 6'5" 255 | 1 | Vanderbilt | CUT |
| 82 | Jeff Heuerman | TE | 26 | 6'5" 255 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 83 | Matt LaCosse | TE | 26 | 6'6" 261 | 2 | Illinois | ACT |
| 84 | Isaiah McKenzie | WR | 22 | 5'7" 173 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 85 | Virgil Green | TE | 29 | 6'5" 255 | 6 | Nevada | ACT |
| 86 | Austin Traylor | TE | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 1 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 87 | Jordan Taylor | WR | 25 | 6'5" 210 | 2 | Rice | ACT |
| 88 | Demaryius Thomas | WR | 31 | 6'3" 229 | 7 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 89 | Brian Parker | TE | 25 | 6'4" 265 | 2 | Albany, N.Y. | DEV |
Offensive line14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Connor McGovern | OL | 24 | 6'4" 306 | 1 | Missouri | ACT |
| 61 | Gabe Ikard | OL | 28 | 6'4" 304 | 3 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 61 | Matt Paradis | OL | 29 | 6'3" 300 | 3 | Boise State | ACT |
| 64 | J.J Dielman | OL | 25 | 6'5" 309 | R | Utah | ACT |
| 65 | Ronald Leary | OL | 28 | 6'3" 320 | 5 | Memphis | RES |
| 68 | Elijah Wilkinson | OL | 22 | 6'4" 329 | R | Massachusetts | ACT |
| 71 | Donald Stephenson | OL | 30 | 6'6" 312 | 5 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 72 | Garett Bolles | OL | 25 | 6'5" 300 | R | Utah | ACT |
| 73 | Allen Barbre | OL | 33 | 6'4" 310 | 10 | Missouri Southern State | ACT |
| 73 | Jeremiah Poutasi | OL | 23 | 6'5" 330 | 2 | Utah | DEV |
| 75 | Menelik Watson | OL | 30 | 6'5" 315 | 4 | Florida State | RES |
| 76 | Max Garcia | OL | 27 | 6'4" 309 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 77 | Billy Turner | OL | 27 | 6'5" 310 | 3 | North Dakota State | RES |
| 79 | Cyrus Kouandjio | OL | 24 | 6'7" 322 | 3 | Alabama | ACT |
Defensive front29
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | Jerrol Garcia-Williams | LB | 25 | 6'2" 235 | R | Hawaii | ACT |
| 43 | Joe Jones | LB | 23 | 6'0" 235 | R | Northwestern | ACT |
| 47 | Danny Mason | LB | — | 6'3" 235 | 3 | Texas A&M-Commerce | CUT |
| 48 | Shaquil Barrett | LB | 26 | 6'2" 250 | 3 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 49 | Quentin Gause | LB | — | 6'0" 243 | 1 | Rutgers | CUT |
| 50 | Zaire Anderson | LB | 25 | 5'11" 220 | 2 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 51 | Todd Davis | LB | 25 | 6'1" 230 | 3 | Sacramento State | ACT |
| 52 | Corey Nelson | LB | 25 | 6'1" 226 | 3 | Oklahoma | RES |
| 53 | Deiontrez Mount | LB | 24 | 6'5" 253 | 2 | Louisville | ACT |
| 54 | Brandon Marshall | LB | 29 | 6'1" 250 | 5 | Nevada | ACT |
| 56 | Shane Ray | LB | 24 | 6'3" 245 | 2 | Missouri | RES |
| 57 | DeMarcus Walker | DL | 24 | 6'4" 280 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 58 | Von Miller | LB | 28 | 6'3" 250 | 6 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 62 | Nelson Adams | DL | — | 6'3" 289 | R | Mississippi State | CUT |
| 63 | Jimmy Bean | DL | — | 6'5" 250 | 1 | Oklahoma State | CUT |
| 66 | Ken Ekanem | LB | — | 6'3" 260 | R | Virginia Tech | CUT |
| 69 | Jhaustin Thomas | DL | 24 | 6'5" 282 | R | Iowa State | DEV |
| 69 | Deon Hollins | LB | — | 6'0" 216 | R | UCLA | CUT |
| 90 | Kyle Peko | DL | 24 | 6'1" 305 | 1 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 92 | Zach Kerr | DL | 27 | 6'2" 334 | 3 | Delaware | ACT |
| 92 | Paul Boyette Jr. | DL | 25 | 6'1" 310 | R | Texas | DEV |
| 93 | Jared Crick | DL | 28 | 6'4" 285 | 5 | Nebraska | RES |
| 94 | Domata Peko Sr. | DL | 34 | 6'3" 325 | 11 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 95 | Derek Wolfe | DL | 27 | 6'5" 285 | 5 | Cincinnati | RES |
| 95 | Stansly Maponga | DL | 26 | 6'2" 257 | 4 | Texas Christian | DEV |
| 96 | Shelby Harris | DL | 26 | 6'2" 290 | 3 | Illinois State | ACT |
| 97 | Billy Winn | DL | 28 | 6'4" 300 | 5 | Boise State | RES |
| 98 | Tyrique Jarrett | DL | 23 | 6'2" 335 | R | Pittsburgh | CUT |
| 99 | Adam Gotsis | DL | 26 | 6'4" 287 | 1 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dante Barnett | DB | — | 6'1" 193 | R | Kansas State | CUT |
| 20 | Jamal Carter | DB | 23 | 6'1" 218 | R | Miami | ACT |
| 21 | Aqib Talib | DB | 31 | 6'1" 205 | 9 | Kansas | ACT |
| 25 | Chris Harris | DB | 28 | 5'10" 199 | 6 | Kansas | ACT |
| 26 | Darian Stewart | DB | 29 | 5'11" 214 | 7 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 27 | Brendan Langley | DB | 24 | 6'0" 199 | R | Lamar | ACT |
| 29 | Bradley Roby | DB | 25 | 5'11" 194 | 3 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 31 | Justin Simmons | DB | 25 | 6'2" 202 | 1 | Boston College | RES |
| 34 | Will Parks | DB | 23 | 6'1" 194 | 1 | Arizona | ACT |
| 35 | Dymonte Thomas | DB | 25 | 6'2" 199 | R | Michigan | ACT |
| 38 | Marcus Rios | DB | 24 | 5'11" 181 | R | UCLA | ACT |
| 39 | Chris Lewis-Harris | DB | — | 5'9" 185 | 5 | Tennessee-Chattanooga | CUT |
| 39 | Michael Hunter | DB | 24 | 6'0" 186 | 1 | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 46 | Dontrell Nelson | DB | — | 6'1" 180 | R | Memphis | CUT |
| 48 | Jordan Moore | DB | 25 | 6'3" 225 | R | Texas-San Antonio | DEV |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brandon McManus | K | 26 | 6'3" 201 | 4 | Temple | ACT |
| 9 | Riley Dixon | P | 24 | 6'4" 221 | 1 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 42 | Casey Kreiter | LS | 27 | 6'1" 250 | 3 | Iowa | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chargers | W 24-21 | -3 | -0.008 |
| 2 | vs Cowboys | W 42-17 | +2.5 | +0.076 |
| 3 | @ Bills | L 16-26 | -3.5 | -0.057 |
| 4 | vs Raiders | W 16-10 | -3.5 | -0.034 |
| 6 | vs Giants | L 10-23 | -14 | -0.189 |
| 7 | @ Chargers | L 0-21 | -1 | -0.365 |
| 8 | @ Chiefs | L 19-29 | +7 | -0.167 |
| 9 | @ Eagles | L 23-51 | +7 | -0.224 |
| 10 | vs Patriots | L 16-41 | +7 | -0.009 |
| 11 | vs Bengals | L 17-20 | -2.5 | -0.188 |
| 12 | @ Raiders | L 14-21 | +3.5 | -0.132 |
| 13 | @ Dolphins | L 9-35 | -1 | -0.432 |
| 14 | vs Jets | W 23-0 | +1 | -0.035 |
| 15 | @ Colts | W 25-13 | -3 | +0.195 |
| 16 | @ Commanders | L 11-27 | +3 | -0.251 |
| 17 | vs Chiefs | L 24-27 | -3 | -0.108 |