AFC West · 2018
Denver Broncos
Record
6-10
Net EPA
-0.030est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.020
- Success rate43.4%
- EPA / dropback-0.009
- EPA / rush-0.040
- Explosive rate9.9%
- CPOE-0.98
- Third-down rate33.1%
- Red-zone TD rate68.1%
- Points / drive1.60
- Turnover rate1.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.006
- Success rate allowed45.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.066
- EPA / rush allowed-0.090
- Explosive rate allowed9.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)20.3%
- Sack rate6.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.78
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.020 · 31th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.006 · 44th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
+0.0 vs line
Home
2-5-1
Away
4-4
As favorite
2-6-1
As dog
4-3
O/U
3-12-1
-3.8 vs total
Roster
107 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Case Keenum | QB | 30 | 6'1" 205 | 6 | Houston | ACT |
| 6 | Chad Kelly | QB | 24 | 6'2" 224 | 1 | Mississippi | CUT |
| 9 | Garrett Grayson | QB | 27 | 6'2" 220 | 3 | Colorado State | DEV |
| 9 | Kevin Hogan | QB | 27 | 6'3" 218 | 2 | Stanford | ACT |
| 12 | Paxton Lynch | QB | 24 | 6'7" 244 | 2 | Memphis | CUT |
Backs & receivers29
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Corey Brown | WR | — | 5'11" 190 | 4 | Ohio State | CUT |
| 9 | John Diarse | WR | — | 6'1" 214 | R | Texas Christian | CUT |
| 10 | Emmanuel Sanders | WR | 31 | 5'11" 180 | 8 | Southern Methodist | RES |
| 11 | River Cracraft | WR | 25 | 6'0" 200 | 1 | Washington State | ACT |
| 13 | Kenny Bell | WR | — | 6'1" 188 | 3 | Nebraska | CUT |
| 13 | Bryce Bobo | WR | — | 6'2" 190 | R | Colorado | CUT |
| 14 | Courtland Sutton | WR | 24 | 6'3" 216 | R | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 16 | Chad Hansen | WR | 23 | 6'2" 202 | 1 | California | DEV |
| 16 | Shay Fields | WR | 22 | 5'11" 193 | R | Colorado | DEV |
| 17 | DaeSean Hamilton | WR | 23 | 6'1" 206 | R | Penn State | ACT |
| 19 | Andre Holmes | WR | 30 | 6'4" 210 | 7 | Hillsdale | RES |
| 19 | Jordan Leslie | WR | — | 6'1" 205 | 3 | Brigham Young | CUT |
| 23 | Devontae Booker | RB | 26 | 5'11" 219 | 2 | Utah | ACT |
| 28 | Royce Freeman | RB | 22 | 6'0" 238 | R | Oregon | ACT |
| 30 | Phillip Lindsay | RB | 24 | 5'8" 190 | R | Colorado | RES |
| 32 | Andy Janovich | RB | 25 | 6'1" 238 | 2 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 42 | Khalfani Muhammad | RB | 25 | 5'7" 174 | 1 | California | DEV |
| 80 | Jake Butt | TE | 23 | 6'5" 250 | 1 | Michigan | RES |
| 81 | Tim Patrick | WR | 26 | 6'4" 205 | 1 | Utah | ACT |
| 82 | Jeff Heuerman | TE | 27 | 6'5" 255 | 3 | Ohio State | RES |
| 83 | Matt LaCosse | TE | 27 | 6'6" 261 | 3 | Illinois | ACT |
| 84 | Troy Fumagalli | TE | 23 | 6'6" 248 | R | Wisconsin | RES |
| 85 | Tim Semisch | TE | 28 | 6'8" 275 | 3 | Northern Illinois | DEV |
| 85 | Temarrick Hemingway | TE | 25 | 6'5" 251 | 2 | South Carolina State | ACT |
| 85 | Jimmy Williams | WR | 23 | 5'11" 194 | R | East Carolina | NWT |
| 85 | Mark Chapman | WR | — | 6'0" 180 | R | Central Michigan | CUT |
| 86 | Austin Traylor | TE | — | 6'3" 255 | 2 | Wisconsin | CUT |
| 87 | Jordan Taylor | WR | 26 | 6'5" 210 | 3 | Rice | PUP |
| 89 | Brian Parker | TE | 26 | 6'4" 265 | 3 | Albany, N.Y. | ACT |
Offensive line20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Connor McGovern | OL | 25 | 6'4" 306 | 2 | Missouri | ACT |
| 61 | Matt Paradis | OL | 30 | 6'3" 300 | 4 | Boise State | RES |
| 63 | Austin Fleer | OL | — | 6'7" 306 | R | Mesa State | CUT |
| 65 | Ronald Leary | OL | 29 | 6'3" 320 | 6 | Memphis | RES |
| 66 | Jared Veldheer | OL | 31 | 6'8" 321 | 8 | Hillsdale | ACT |
| 67 | Avery Gennesy | OL | 24 | 6'5" 318 | 1 | Texas A&M | CUT |
| 67 | Leon Johnson | OL | — | 6'6" 300 | R | Temple | CUT |
| 68 | Elijah Wilkinson | OL | 23 | 6'6" 329 | 1 | Massachusetts | ACT |
| 70 | Sam Jones | OL | 22 | 6'5" 290 | R | Arizona State | ACT |
| 71 | Austin Schlottmann | OL | 24 | 6'6" 300 | R | Texas Christian | DEV |
| 72 | Garett Bolles | OL | 26 | 6'5" 300 | 1 | Utah | ACT |
| 73 | Andreas Knappe | OL | 27 | 6'8" 325 | 1 | Connecticut | DEV |
| 74 | Jeremiah Poutasi | OL | — | 6'5" 330 | 3 | Utah | CUT |
| 74 | Dan Skipper | OL | 25 | 6'9" 317 | 1 | Arkansas | DEV |
| 74 | Nico Falah | OL | 23 | 6'4" 285 | R | Southern California | ACT |
| 75 | Gino Gradkowski | OL | 31 | 6'3" 300 | 6 | Delaware | ACT |
| 75 | Menelik Watson | OL | — | 6'5" 315 | 5 | Florida State | CUT |
| 76 | Max Garcia | OL | 28 | 6'4" 309 | 3 | Florida | RES |
| 77 | Billy Turner | OL | 28 | 6'5" 310 | 4 | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 79 | Cyrus Kouandjio | OL | 25 | 6'7" 322 | 4 | Alabama | CUT |
Defensive front28
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Keishawn Bierria | LB | 23 | 6'1" 223 | R | Washington | ACT |
| 43 | Joe Jones | LB | 24 | 6'0" 235 | 1 | Northwestern | ACT |
| 45 | Bo Bower | LB | — | 6'1" 228 | R | Iowa | CUT |
| 45 | A.J. Johnson | LB | 28 | 6'2" 255 | R | Tennessee | DEV |
| 46 | Jeff Holland | LB | 24 | 6'2" 249 | R | Auburn | ACT |
| 47 | Josey Jewell | LB | 25 | 6'1" 236 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 48 | Shaquil Barrett | LB | 27 | 6'2" 250 | 4 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 49 | Marcus Rush | LB | — | 6'3" 251 | 3 | Michigan State | CUT |
| 50 | Zaire Anderson | LB | — | 5'11" 220 | 3 | Nebraska | CUT |
| 51 | Todd Davis | LB | 26 | 6'1" 230 | 4 | Sacramento State | ACT |
| 52 | Aaron Wallace | LB | 25 | 6'2" 242 | 2 | UCLA | ACT |
| 52 | Jerrol Garcia-Williams | LB | 26 | 6'2" 235 | 1 | Hawaii | RES |
| 53 | Deiontrez Mount | LB | 25 | 6'5" 253 | 3 | Louisville | RES |
| 54 | Brandon Marshall | LB | 30 | 6'1" 250 | 6 | Nevada | ACT |
| 55 | Bradley Chubb | LB | 22 | 6'4" 275 | R | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 56 | Shane Ray | DL | 25 | 6'3" 245 | 3 | Missouri | ACT |
| 57 | DeMarcus Walker | DL | 25 | 6'4" 280 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 58 | Von Miller | LB | 29 | 6'3" 250 | 7 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 59 | Stansly Maponga | LB | — | 6'2" 257 | 5 | Texas Christian | CUT |
| 69 | Antonio Simmons | DL | — | 6'3" 246 | R | Georgia Tech | CUT |
| 78 | DeQuinton Osborne | DL | — | 6'0" 305 | R | Oklahoma State | CUT |
| 91 | Paul Boyette Jr. | DL | — | 6'1" 310 | 1 | Texas | CUT |
| 92 | Zach Kerr | DL | 28 | 6'2" 334 | 4 | Delaware | ACT |
| 94 | Domata Peko Sr. | DL | 35 | 6'3" 325 | 12 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 95 | Derek Wolfe | DL | 28 | 6'5" 285 | 6 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 96 | Shelby Harris | DL | 27 | 6'2" 290 | 4 | Illinois State | ACT |
| 97 | Caushaud Lyons | DL | 25 | 6'5" 284 | 3 | Tusculum | DEV |
| 99 | Adam Gotsis | DL | 27 | 6'4" 287 | 2 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Secondary21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jamal Carter | DB | 24 | 6'1" 215 | 1 | Miami | RES |
| 21 | Su'a Cravens | DB | 23 | 6'1" 224 | 2 | USC | ACT |
| 22 | Tramaine Brock | DB | 30 | 6'0" 197 | 8 | Belhaven | ACT |
| 24 | Adam Jones | DB | 36 | 5'10" 185 | 13 | West Virginia | CUT |
| 24 | Horace Richardson | DB | 26 | 5'11" 212 | 1 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 25 | Chris Harris | DB | 29 | 5'10" 199 | 7 | Kansas | RES |
| 26 | Darian Stewart | DB | 30 | 5'11" 214 | 8 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 27 | Brendan Langley | DB | 25 | 6'0" 199 | 1 | Lamar | ACT |
| 28 | C.J. Smith | DB | — | 5'11" 188 | 2 | North Dakota State | CUT |
| 29 | Bradley Roby | DB | 26 | 5'11" 194 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 30 | Jordan Moore | DB | 26 | 6'3" 225 | 1 | Texas-San Antonio | CUT |
| 31 | Justin Simmons | DB | 26 | 6'2" 202 | 2 | Boston College | ACT |
| 34 | Will Parks | DB | 24 | 6'1" 194 | 2 | Arizona | ACT |
| 35 | Dymonte Thomas | DB | 26 | 6'2" 199 | 1 | Michigan | ACT |
| 36 | Trey Marshall | DB | 22 | 6'0" 217 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 38 | Shamarko Thomas | DB | 27 | 5'9" 205 | 5 | Syracuse | CUT |
| 38 | Marcus Rios | DB | 25 | 5'11" 185 | 1 | UCLA | CUT |
| 39 | Jamar Taylor | DB | 29 | 5'11" 192 | 5 | Boise State | ACT |
| 40 | Linden Stephens | DB | 23 | 6'0" 193 | R | Cincinnati | DEV |
| 41 | Isaac Yiadom | DB | 22 | 6'1" 190 | R | Boston College | ACT |
| 49 | Craig Mager | DB | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 3 | Texas State | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquette King | P | 31 | 6'0" 195 | 6 | Fort Valley State | CUT |
| 3 | Colby Wadman | P | 23 | 6'1" 213 | R | California-Davis | ACT |
| 8 | Brandon McManus | K | 27 | 6'3" 201 | 5 | Temple | ACT |
| 42 | Casey Kreiter | LS | 28 | 6'1" 250 | 4 | Iowa | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Seahawks | W 27-24 | -3 | -0.098 |
| 2 | vs Raiders | W 20-19 | -5.5 | +0.066 |
| 3 | @ Ravens | L 14-27 | +5.5 | -0.112 |
| 4 | vs Chiefs | L 23-27 | +3.5 | +0.074 |
| 5 | @ Jets | L 16-34 | -1 | -0.054 |
| 6 | vs Rams | L 20-23 | +7 | +0.005 |
| 7 | @ Cardinals | W 45-10 | -1 | +0.046 |
| 8 | @ Chiefs | L 23-30 | +8.5 | +0.073 |
| 9 | vs Texans | L 17-19 | -1 | -0.015 |
| 11 | @ Chargers | W 23-22 | +7.5 | +0.117 |
| 12 | vs Steelers | W 24-17 | +3 | +0.029 |
| 13 | @ Bengals | W 24-10 | -3.5 | +0.052 |
| 14 | @ 49ers | L 14-20 | -3 | -0.062 |
| 15 | vs Browns | L 16-17 | -1 | -0.054 |
| 16 | @ Raiders | L 14-27 | -2.5 | -0.021 |
| 17 | vs Chargers | L 9-23 | +7 | -0.247 |