AFC West · 2019
Denver Broncos
Record
7-9
Net EPA
-0.036est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.054
- Success rate40.3%
- EPA / dropback-0.019
- EPA / rush-0.110
- Explosive rate8.2%
- CPOE-2.47
- Third-down rate32.0%
- Red-zone TD rate50.1%
- Points / drive1.47
- Turnover rate1.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.001
- Success rate allowed42.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.063
- EPA / rush allowed-0.098
- Explosive rate allowed8.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)18.4%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.71
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.054 · 27th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.001 · 50th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+0.5 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
2-3
As dog
7-4
O/U
7-9
-4.0 vs total
Roster
99 players
46 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brandon Allen | QB | 28 | 6'2" 209 | 3 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 3 | Drew Lock | QB | 24 | 6'4" 228 | R | Missouri | ACT |
| 4 | Brett Rypien | QB | 23 | 6'2" 202 | R | Boise State | DEV |
| 5 | Joe Flacco | QB | 34 | 6'6" 245 | 11 | Delaware | RES |
| 9 | Kevin Hogan | QB | — | 6'3" 218 | 3 | Stanford | CUT |
Backs & receivers28
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Diontae Spencer | WR | 27 | 5'8" 170 | 5 | McNeese State | ACT |
| 12 | Brendan Langley | WR | 26 | 6'0" 199 | 2 | Lamar | CUT |
| 12 | Trinity Benson | WR | 22 | 6'0" 180 | R | East Central | DEV |
| 13 | Steven Dunbar | WR | — | 6'3" 202 | 1 | Houston | CUT |
| 14 | Courtland Sutton | WR | 25 | 6'4" 216 | 1 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 15 | Juwann Winfree | WR | 24 | 6'3" 215 | R | Colorado | RES |
| 16 | Kelvin McKnight | WR | 22 | 5'8" 186 | R | Samford | DEV |
| 17 | DaeSean Hamilton | WR | 24 | 6'1" 206 | 1 | Penn State | ACT |
| 19 | Fred Brown | WR | 27 | 6'1" 196 | 2 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 21 | Theo Riddick | RB | 28 | 5'9" 201 | 6 | Notre Dame | RES |
| 23 | Devontae Booker | RB | 27 | 5'11" 219 | 3 | Utah | ACT |
| 28 | Royce Freeman | RB | 23 | 6'0" 238 | 1 | Oregon | ACT |
| 30 | Phillip Lindsay | RB | 25 | 5'8" 190 | 1 | Colorado | ACT |
| 32 | Andy Janovich | RB | 26 | 6'1" 238 | 3 | Nebraska | RES |
| 33 | Khalfani Muhammad | RB | 26 | 5'7" 174 | 2 | California | DEV |
| 48 | Devontae Jackson | RB | — | 5'7" 170 | R | West Georgia | CUT |
| 49 | Dave Williams | RB | — | 6'1" 229 | 1 | Arkansas | CUT |
| 80 | Jake Butt | TE | 24 | 6'6" 250 | 2 | Michigan | RES |
| 81 | Tim Patrick | WR | 27 | 6'4" 212 | 2 | Utah | ACT |
| 82 | Jeff Heuerman | TE | 28 | 6'5" 255 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 83 | Orson Charles | TE | — | 6'3" 257 | 7 | Georgia | CUT |
| 83 | Andrew Beck | RB | 23 | 6'3" 255 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 83 | Jamarius Way | WR | — | 6'3" 215 | R | South Alabama | CUT |
| 84 | Troy Fumagalli | TE | 24 | 6'6" 248 | 1 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 85 | Bug Howard | TE | 26 | 6'4" 214 | 2 | North Carolina | DEV |
| 87 | Noah Fant | TE | 23 | 6'4" 249 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 88 | Moral Stephens | TE | — | 6'4" 247 | R | Florida | CUT |
| 89 | Austin Fort | TE | 24 | 6'4" 244 | R | Wyoming | RES |
Offensive line17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Patrick Morris | OL | 24 | 6'3" 300 | 1 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 60 | Connor McGovern | OL | 26 | 6'4" 306 | 3 | Missouri | ACT |
| 64 | Jake Brendel | OL | 28 | 6'4" 299 | 3 | UCLA | CUT |
| 65 | Ronald Leary | OL | 30 | 6'3" 320 | 7 | Memphis | INA |
| 66 | Dalton Risner | OL | 24 | 6'5" 312 | R | Kansas State | ACT |
| 67 | Don Barclay | OL | — | 6'4" 305 | 7 | West Virginia | CUT |
| 67 | Ka'John Armstrong | OL | 23 | 6'5" 300 | R | Eastern Michigan | DEV |
| 68 | Elijah Wilkinson | OL | 24 | 6'6" 329 | 2 | Massachusetts | INA |
| 69 | Jake Rodgers | OL | 29 | 6'6" 320 | 4 | Eastern Washington | ACT |
| 70 | Ja'Wuan James | OL | 27 | 6'6" 312 | 5 | Tennessee | INA |
| 71 | Austin Schlottmann | OL | 25 | 6'6" 300 | 1 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 72 | Garett Bolles | OL | 27 | 6'5" 300 | 2 | Utah | ACT |
| 74 | Nico Falah | OL | 24 | 6'4" 301 | 1 | Southern California | RES |
| 75 | Quinn Bailey | OL | 25 | 6'6" 323 | R | Arizona State | ACT |
| 76 | Adam Bisnowaty | OL | — | 6'5" 310 | 2 | Pittsburgh | CUT |
| 76 | Calvin Anderson | OL | 23 | 6'5" 300 | R | Texas | INA |
| 79 | Chaz Green | OL | 27 | 6'5" 318 | 4 | Florida | CUT |
Defensive front26
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Joe Jones | LB | 25 | 6'0" 231 | 2 | Northwestern | ACT |
| 45 | A.J. Johnson | LB | 29 | 6'2" 255 | 1 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 47 | Josey Jewell | LB | 26 | 6'2" 236 | 1 | Iowa | ACT |
| 50 | Dadi Nicolas | DL | 28 | 6'3" 235 | 3 | Virginia Tech | CUT |
| 50 | Aaron Wallace | LB | — | 6'2" 242 | 3 | UCLA | CUT |
| 51 | Todd Davis | LB | 27 | 6'1" 230 | 5 | Sacramento State | ACT |
| 52 | Justin Hollins | LB | 23 | 6'5" 248 | R | Oregon | ACT |
| 53 | Malik Carney | LB | 25 | 6'3" 231 | R | North Carolina | DEV |
| 54 | Josh Watson | LB | 23 | 6'2" 240 | R | Colorado State | ACT |
| 55 | Bradley Chubb | DL | 23 | 6'4" 275 | 1 | North Carolina State | RES |
| 56 | Corey Nelson | LB | 27 | 6'1" 226 | 5 | Oklahoma | RES |
| 57 | DeMarcus Walker | DL | 26 | 6'4" 280 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 58 | Von Miller | LB | 30 | 6'3" 250 | 8 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 59 | Malik Reed | LB | 23 | 6'2" 235 | R | Nevada | ACT |
| 61 | Jay-Tee Tiuli | DL | 23 | 6'4" 328 | R | Eastern Washington | DEV |
| 77 | Kyle Peko | DL | 26 | 6'1" 305 | 3 | Oregon State | INA |
| 90 | Billy Winn | DL | 30 | 6'4" 300 | 7 | Boise State | RES |
| 91 | Deyon Sizer | DL | 23 | 6'4" 280 | R | Colorado State-Pueblo | INA |
| 92 | Jonathan Harris | DL | 23 | 6'5" 295 | R | Lindenwood | ACT |
| 93 | Dre'Mont Jones | DL | 22 | 6'3" 281 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
| 95 | Derek Wolfe | DL | 29 | 6'5" 285 | 7 | Cincinnati | RES |
| 96 | Shelby Harris | DL | 28 | 6'2" 290 | 5 | Illinois State | ACT |
| 97 | Jeremiah Attaochu | LB | 26 | 6'3" 252 | 5 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 97 | DeShawn Williams | DL | 28 | 6'1" 292 | 4 | Clemson | CUT |
| 98 | Mike Purcell | DL | 28 | 6'3" 328 | 6 | Wyoming | ACT |
| 99 | Adam Gotsis | DL | 28 | 6'4" 287 | 3 | Georgia Tech | RES |
Secondary20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Duke Dawson | DB | 25 | 5'10" 198 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 21 | Su'a Cravens | DB | — | 6'1" 224 | 3 | USC | CUT |
| 22 | Kareem Jackson | DB | 31 | 5'10" 183 | 9 | Alabama | SUS |
| 24 | P.J. Locke | DB | 22 | 5'11" 210 | R | Texas | DEV |
| 25 | Chris Harris | DB | 30 | 5'10" 199 | 8 | Kansas | ACT |
| 26 | Isaac Yiadom | DB | 23 | 6'1" 190 | 1 | Boston College | ACT |
| 27 | Horace Richardson | DB | 27 | 6'0" 190 | 2 | Southern Methodist | RES |
| 27 | Davontae Harris | DB | 24 | 5'11" 200 | 1 | Illinois State | ACT |
| 29 | Bryce Callahan | DB | 29 | 5'9" 188 | 4 | Rice | RES |
| 31 | Justin Simmons | DB | 27 | 6'2" 202 | 3 | Boston College | ACT |
| 34 | Will Parks | DB | 25 | 6'1" 194 | 3 | Arizona | ACT |
| 35 | Dymonte Thomas | DB | 27 | 6'2" 199 | 2 | Michigan | RES |
| 36 | Trey Marshall | DB | 23 | 6'0" 207 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 38 | Shamarko Thomas | DB | — | 5'9" 205 | 6 | Syracuse | CUT |
| 38 | Shakial Taylor | DB | 24 | 6'0" 175 | R | Kansas | INA |
| 39 | Cyrus Jones | DB | 27 | 5'10" 200 | 3 | Alabama | RSN |
| 39 | Trey Johnson | DB | — | 5'11" 170 | 1 | Villanova | CUT |
| 41 | DeVante Bausby | DB | 26 | 6'2" 190 | 4 | Pittsburg State | RES |
| 45 | Tyvis Powell | DB | 25 | 6'2" 211 | 3 | Ohio State | DEV |
| 49 | Alijah Holder | DB | 23 | 6'2" 188 | R | Stanford | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colby Wadman | P | 24 | 6'1" 213 | 1 | California-Davis | ACT |
| 8 | Brandon McManus | K | 28 | 6'3" 201 | 6 | Temple | ACT |
| 42 | Casey Kreiter | LS | 29 | 6'1" 250 | 5 | Iowa | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Raiders | L 16-24 | -3 | +0.108 |
| 2 | vs Bears | L 14-16 | +3 | +0.032 |
| 3 | @ Packers | L 16-27 | +7 | -0.110 |
| 4 | vs Jaguars | L 24-26 | -2.5 | +0.060 |
| 5 | @ Chargers | W 20-13 | +4 | -0.034 |
| 6 | vs Titans | W 16-0 | -1 | -0.161 |
| 7 | vs Chiefs | L 6-30 | +3 | -0.372 |
| 8 | @ Colts | L 13-15 | +6 | -0.081 |
| 9 | vs Browns | W 24-19 | +4 | +0.076 |
| 11 | @ Vikings | L 23-27 | +10 | -0.013 |
| 12 | @ Bills | L 3-20 | +3.5 | -0.363 |
| 13 | vs Chargers | W 23-20 | +4.5 | -0.174 |
| 14 | @ Texans | W 38-24 | +8 | +0.269 |
| 15 | @ Chiefs | L 3-23 | +10 | -0.198 |
| 16 | vs Lions | W 27-17 | -9.5 | +0.158 |
| 17 | vs Raiders | W 16-15 | -5.5 | -0.105 |