AFC West · 2020
Denver Broncos
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.093est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.071
- Success rate40.3%
- EPA / dropback-0.051
- EPA / rush-0.103
- Explosive rate9.1%
- CPOE-5.11
- Third-down rate39.5%
- Red-zone TD rate60.5%
- Points / drive1.59
- Turnover rate3.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.041
- Success rate allowed44.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.080
- EPA / rush allowed-0.025
- Explosive rate allowed10.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.8%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed2.25
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.071 · 5th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.041 · 52th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
-2.1 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-3
As favorite
0-0
As dog
9-7
O/U
8-8
+2.7 vs total
Roster
86 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Drew Lock | QB | 25 | 6'4" 228 | 1 | Missouri | ACT |
| 4 | Brett Rypien | QB | 24 | 6'2" 200 | 1 | Boise State | ACT |
| 9 | Jeff Driskel | QB | 27 | 6'4" 235 | 4 | Louisiana Tech | INA |
Backs & receivers24
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kendall Hinton | WR | 23 | 6'0" 195 | R | Wake Forest | DEV |
| 10 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | 21 | 6'1" 192 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 11 | Diontae Spencer | WR | 28 | 5'8" 170 | 6 | McNeese State | ACT |
| 12 | Trinity Benson | WR | 23 | 6'0" 180 | 1 | East Central | DEV |
| 13 | K.J. Hamler | WR | 21 | 5'9" 176 | R | Penn State | RES |
| 14 | Courtland Sutton | WR | 26 | 6'4" 216 | 2 | Southern Methodist | RES |
| 16 | Tyrie Cleveland | WR | 24 | 6'2" 205 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 17 | DaeSean Hamilton | WR | 25 | 6'1" 206 | 2 | Penn State | ACT |
| 19 | Fred Brown | WR | 28 | 6'1" 196 | 3 | Mississippi State | DEV |
| 25 | Melvin Gordon | RB | 27 | 6'1" 215 | 5 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 28 | Royce Freeman | RB | 24 | 6'0" 238 | 2 | Oregon | ACT |
| 30 | Phillip Lindsay | RB | 26 | 5'8" 190 | 2 | Colorado | RES |
| 32 | LeVante Bellamy | RB | 25 | 5'10" 188 | R | Western Michigan | ACT |
| 34 | Damarea Crockett | RB | 24 | 5'11" 225 | 1 | Missouri | DEV |
| 35 | Jeremy Cox | RB | 24 | 6'0" 235 | 1 | Old Dominion | DEV |
| 80 | Jake Butt | TE | 25 | 6'6" 250 | 3 | Michigan | ACT |
| 81 | Tim Patrick | WR | 28 | 6'4" 212 | 3 | Utah | ACT |
| 81 | Jordan Leggett | TE | 25 | 6'5" 258 | 3 | Clemson | DEV |
| 83 | Andrew Beck | TE | 24 | 6'3" 255 | 1 | Texas | ACT |
| 84 | Troy Fumagalli | TE | 25 | 6'6" 248 | 2 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 85 | Albert Okwuegbunam | TE | 22 | 6'5" 255 | R | Missouri | RES |
| 87 | Noah Fant | TE | 24 | 6'4" 249 | 1 | Iowa | ACT |
| 88 | Nick Vannett | TE | 27 | 6'6" 261 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 89 | Austin Fort | TE | 25 | 6'4" 244 | 1 | Wyoming | RES |
Offensive line14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Patrick Morris | OL | 25 | 6'3" 300 | 2 | Texas Christian | DEV |
| 52 | Netane Muti | OL | 21 | 6'3" 307 | R | Fresno State | ACT |
| 61 | Graham Glasgow | OL | 28 | 6'6" 310 | 4 | Michigan | ACT |
| 66 | Dalton Risner | OL | 25 | 6'5" 312 | 1 | Kansas State | ACT |
| 68 | Elijah Wilkinson | OL | 25 | 6'6" 329 | 3 | Massachusetts | ACT |
| 70 | Ja'Wuan James | OL | 28 | 6'6" 312 | 6 | Tennessee | RES |
| 71 | Austin Schlottmann | OL | 26 | 6'6" 300 | 2 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 72 | Garett Bolles | OL | 28 | 6'5" 300 | 3 | Utah | ACT |
| 75 | Jon Halapio | OL | 29 | 6'4" 315 | 6 | Florida | DEV |
| 75 | Quinn Bailey | OL | 26 | 6'6" 323 | 1 | Arizona State | DEV |
| 76 | Calvin Anderson | OL | 24 | 6'5" 300 | 1 | Texas | ACT |
| 78 | Demar Dotson | OL | 36 | 6'9" 315 | 11 | Southern Mississippi | INA |
| 79 | Darrin Paulo | OL | 23 | 6'5" 315 | R | Utah | DEV |
| 79 | Lloyd Cushenberry | OL | 24 | 6'4" 315 | R | Louisiana State | ACT |
Defensive front25
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Justin Strnad | LB | 24 | 6'3" 235 | R | Wake Forest | RES |
| 43 | Joseph Jones | LB | 26 | 6'0" 231 | 3 | Northwestern | ACT |
| 45 | A.J. Johnson | LB | 30 | 6'2" 255 | 2 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 47 | Josey Jewell | LB | 27 | 6'2" 236 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 48 | Derrek Tuszka | LB | 24 | 6'4" 246 | R | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 53 | Austin Calitro | LB | 26 | 6'0" 240 | 3 | Villanova | ACT |
| 54 | Josh Watson | LB | 24 | 6'2" 240 | 1 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 55 | Bradley Chubb | DL | 24 | 6'4" 275 | 2 | North Carolina State | INA |
| 57 | DeMarcus Walker | DL | 27 | 6'4" 280 | 3 | Florida State | ACT |
| 58 | Von Miller | LB | 31 | 6'3" 250 | 9 | Texas A&M | RES |
| 59 | Malik Reed | LB | 24 | 6'2" 235 | 1 | Nevada | ACT |
| 73 | Sylvester Williams | DL | 33 | 6'2" 328 | 7 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 90 | DeShawn Williams | DL | 29 | 6'1" 292 | 5 | Clemson | ACT |
| 90 | Kyle Peko | DL | 27 | 6'1" 305 | 4 | Oregon State | RES |
| 91 | Anthony Chickillo | LB | 29 | 6'3" 255 | 5 | Miami | INA |
| 91 | Deyon Sizer | DL | 24 | 6'4" 280 | 1 | Colorado State-Pueblo | DEV |
| 92 | Jonathan Harris | DL | 24 | 6'5" 295 | 1 | Lindenwood | RES |
| 93 | Dre'Mont Jones | DL | 23 | 6'3" 281 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 95 | Joel Heath | DL | 27 | 6'6" 300 | 4 | Michigan State | RES |
| 95 | McTelvin Agim | DL | 24 | 6'3" 300 | R | Arkansas | ACT |
| 96 | Shelby Harris | DL | 29 | 6'2" 290 | 6 | Illinois State | RES |
| 97 | Jeremiah Attaochu | LB | 27 | 6'3" 252 | 6 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 97 | Darius Kilgo | DL | 30 | 6'3" 312 | 5 | Maryland | DEV |
| 98 | Mike Purcell | DL | 29 | 6'3" 328 | 7 | Wyoming | RES |
| 99 | Jurrell Casey | DL | 32 | 6'1" 305 | 9 | Southern California | RES |
Secondary16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Duke Dawson | DB | 26 | 5'10" 198 | 2 | Florida | RES |
| 21 | A.J. Bouye | DB | 29 | 6'0" 191 | 7 | Central Florida | RES |
| 22 | Kareem Jackson | DB | 32 | 5'10" 185 | 10 | Alabama | ACT |
| 23 | Michael Ojemudia | DB | 24 | 6'1" 200 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 26 | Kevin Toliver | DB | 26 | 6'2" 199 | 2 | Louisiana State | RES |
| 27 | Will Parks | DB | 26 | 6'1" 194 | 4 | Arizona | ACT |
| 29 | Bryce Callahan | DB | 30 | 5'9" 188 | 5 | Rice | RES |
| 31 | Justin Simmons | DB | 28 | 6'2" 202 | 4 | Boston College | ACT |
| 33 | Alijah Holder | DB | 24 | 6'2" 188 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 34 | Chris Cooper | DB | 26 | 5'10" 200 | 2 | Stony Brook | DEV |
| 34 | Essang Bassey | DB | 23 | 5'10" 190 | R | Wake Forest | RES |
| 36 | Trey Marshall | DB | 24 | 6'0" 207 | 2 | Florida State | INA |
| 37 | P.J. Locke | DB | 23 | 5'10" 202 | 1 | Texas | ACT |
| 41 | De'Vante Bausby | DB | 27 | 6'2" 190 | 5 | Pittsburg State | ACT |
| 42 | Parnell Motley | DB | 24 | 6'0" 175 | R | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 49 | Nate Hairston | DB | 26 | 6'0" 185 | 3 | Temple | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Russolino | K | 31 | 6'0" 160 | R | Millsaps | DEV |
| 6 | Sam Martin | P | 30 | 6'1" 211 | 7 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 8 | Brandon McManus | K | 29 | 6'3" 201 | 7 | Temple | ACT |
| 46 | Jacob Bobenmoyer | LS | 23 | 6'2" 235 | R | Northern Colorado | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Titans | L 14-16 | +3 | -0.085 |
| 2 | @ Steelers | L 21-26 | +6 | -0.114 |
| 3 | vs Buccaneers | L 10-28 | +6 | -0.263 |
| 4 | @ Jets | W 37-28 | +1 | +0.135 |
| 6 | @ Patriots | W 18-12 | +7 | -0.103 |
| 7 | vs Chiefs | L 16-43 | +7 | -0.262 |
| 8 | vs Chargers | W 31-30 | +3 | +0.072 |
| 9 | @ Falcons | L 27-34 | +4.5 | +0.007 |
| 10 | @ Raiders | L 12-37 | +3.5 | -0.286 |
| 11 | vs Dolphins | W 20-13 | +4 | +0.017 |
| 12 | vs Saints | L 3-31 | +17 | -0.720 |
| 13 | @ Chiefs | L 16-22 | +13 | +0.116 |
| 14 | @ Panthers | W 32-27 | +4 | +0.224 |
| 15 | vs Bills | L 19-48 | +5.5 | -0.116 |
| 16 | @ Chargers | L 16-19 | +2.5 | +0.020 |
| 17 | vs Raiders | L 31-32 | +2.5 | +0.043 |