NFC North · 2003
Detroit Lions
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.129est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.156
- Success rate36.7%
- EPA / dropback-0.144
- EPA / rush-0.178
- Explosive rate5.6%
- Third-down rate34.9%
- Red-zone TD rate47.3%
- Points / drive1.04
- Turnover rate2.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.013
- Success rate allowed43.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.076
- EPA / rush allowed-0.139
- Explosive rate allowed8.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)4.6%
- Sack rate4.6%
- Points / drive allowed1.59
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.156 · 2th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.013 · 57th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
-0.8 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
1-1
As dog
7-6
O/U
6-10
-1.5 vs total
Roster
59 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Joey Harrington | QB | 26 | 6'4" 220 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 8 | Mike McMahon | QB | 24 | 6'2" 208 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Ty Detmer | QB | 37 | 6'0" 189 | 11 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Reginald Swinton | WR | 28 | 6'0" 186 | 5 | — | TRT |
| 10 | Reginald Swinton | WR | 28 | 6'0" 186 | 5 | — | TRD |
| 10 | Reginald Swinton | WR | 28 | 6'0" 186 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 11 | David Kircus | WR | 23 | 6'1" 186 | R | — | ACT |
| 16 | James Williams | WR | 25 | 5'10" 186 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Eddie Drummond | WR | 23 | 5'9" 185 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Artose Pinner | RB | 25 | 5'10" 229 | R | — | ACT |
| 24 | Shawn Bryson | RB | 28 | 6'1" 228 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Cory Schlesinger | FB | 31 | 6'0" 247 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Avon Cobourne | RB | 24 | 5'8" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 33 | Olandis Gary | RB | 28 | 5'11" 218 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Stephen Trejo | FB | 27 | 6'2" 254 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Paul Smith | FB | 25 | 5'11" 234 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Az-Zahir Hakim | WR | 26 | 5'10" 189 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Casey Fitzsimmons | TE | 24 | 6'3" 250 | R | — | ACT |
| 83 | John Owens | TE | 23 | 6'3" 266 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Bill Schroeder | WR | 32 | 6'3" 200 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Mikhael Ricks | TE | 30 | 6'5" 260 | 5 | — | ACT |
Offensive line7
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Dominic Raiola | C | 26 | 6'1" 295 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Ray Brown | G | 42 | 6'5" 318 | 17 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Josh Lovelady | G | 25 | 6'3" 330 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Stockar McDougle | T | 26 | 6'6" 335 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Matt Joyce | T | 31 | 6'7" 300 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Jeff Backus | T | 27 | 6'5" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Kerlin Blaise | T | 30 | 6'5" 315 | 5 | — | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Earl Holmes | MLB | 30 | 6'2" 242 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 52 | James Davis | MLB | 24 | 6'1" 221 | R | — | ACT |
| 54 | Barrett Green | OLB | 27 | 6'0" 225 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Donte' Curry | OLB | 25 | 6'1" 233 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Jody Littleton | MLB | 30 | 6'1" 235 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Wali Rainer | MLB | 26 | 6'2" 247 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Jeff Gooch | OLB | 30 | 5'11" 226 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Dan Wilkinson | DT | 30 | 6'4" 353 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Cory Redding | DT | 24 | 6'4" 285 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 90 | Colin Cole | DT | 23 | 6'2" 309 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 90 | Colin Cole | DT | 23 | 6'2" 309 | R | Iowa | TRT |
| 91 | Robert Porcher | DE | 34 | 6'3" 266 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Shaun Rogers | DT | 24 | 6'4" 357 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Kelvin Pritchett | DT | 35 | 6'3" 322 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Luther Elliss | DT | 30 | 6'5" 318 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Jared DeVries | DE | 27 | 6'4" 272 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 96 | James Hall | DE | 26 | 6'2" 270 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Boss Bailey | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 233 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Otis Smith | CB | 39 | 5'11" 198 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Bracy Walker | SS | 34 | 6'0" 210 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Dre' Bly | CB | 26 | 5'9" 185 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Doug Evans | CB | 33 | 6'1" 188 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Doug Evans | CB | 33 | 6'1" 188 | 10 | — | TRD |
| 41 | Leonard Myers | CB | 26 | 5'10" 198 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Leonard Myers | CB | 26 | 5'10" 198 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 42 | Terrence Holt | FS | 23 | 6'2" 208 | R | — | ACT |
| 44 | Julius Curry | DB | 24 | 6'1" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 45 | Brian Walker | FS | 31 | 6'1" 205 | 7 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nick Harris | P | 25 | 6'2" 220 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 2 | Nick Harris | P | 25 | 6'2" 220 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 4 | Jason Hanson | K | 33 | 5'11" 182 | 11 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cardinals | W 42-24 | -3.5 | +0.074 |
| 2 | @ Packers | L 6-31 | +7 | -0.396 |
| 3 | vs Vikings | L 13-23 | +4 | -0.099 |
| 4 | @ Broncos | L 16-20 | +12 | +0.028 |
| 5 | @ 49ers | L 17-24 | +7.5 | -0.189 |
| 7 | vs Cowboys | L 7-38 | +3 | -0.609 |
| 8 | @ Bears | L 16-24 | +3 | -0.158 |
| 9 | vs Raiders | W 23-13 | +3.5 | -0.133 |
| 10 | vs Bears | W 12-10 | +0 | -0.221 |
| 11 | @ Seahawks | L 14-35 | +11 | +0.047 |
| 12 | @ Vikings | L 14-24 | +10.5 | -0.361 |
| 13 | vs Packers | W 22-14 | +6.5 | -0.148 |
| 14 | vs Chargers | L 7-14 | -3 | -0.130 |
| 15 | @ Chiefs | L 17-45 | +14.5 | +0.097 |
| 16 | @ Panthers | L 14-20 | +7.5 | -0.309 |
| 17 | vs Rams | W 30-20 | +12 | -0.046 |