NFC North · 2018

Green Bay Packers

Record

6-9-1

Net EPA

-0.017est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.054
Success rate45.9%
EPA / dropback+0.093
EPA / rush-0.046
Explosive rate9.3%
CPOE-1.39
Third-down rate36.5%
Red-zone TD rate62.4%
Points / drive2.05
Turnover rate0.9%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.056
Success rate allowed44.3%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.147
EPA / rush allowed-0.083
Explosive rate allowed9.1%
Pressure rate (proxy)18.3%
Sack rate6.9%
Points / drive allowed2.03

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.054 · 66th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.056 · 76th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

6-9-1

-3.9 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

2-5-1

As favorite

4-5

As dog

2-4-1

O/U

8-8

+0.6 vs total

Roster

106 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
8	Tim Boyle	QB	25	6'4" 233	R	Eastern Kentucky	ACT
9	DeShone Kizer	QB	22	6'4" 233	1	Notre Dame	ACT
12	Aaron Rodgers	QB	36	6'2" 225	13	California	ACT

Backs & receivers33

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Kyle Lewis	WR	—	5'11" 203	R	Cal Poly-S.L.O.	CUT
10	Teo Redding	WR	25	6'1" 181	R	Bowling Green State	DEV
11	Trevor Davis	WR	25	6'1" 188	2	California	RES
13	Allen Lazard	WR	24	6'5" 222	R	Iowa State	ACT
13	Adonis Jennings	WR	—	6'2" 203	R	Temple	CUT
16	Jake Kumerow	WR	26	6'4" 206	3	Wisconsin-Whitewater	ACT
17	Davante Adams	WR	27	6'1" 215	4	Fresno State	ACT
18	Randall Cobb	WR	28	5'10" 192	7	Kentucky	ACT
19	Equanimeous St. Brown	WR	23	6'5" 203	R	Notre Dame	ACT
22	Kapri Bibbs	RB	25	5'10" 203	4	Colorado State	ACT
22	Aaron Ripkowski	RB	—	6'1" 246	3	Oklahoma	CUT
24	Lavon Coleman	RB	25	5'11" 235	R	Washington	ACT
30	Jamaal Williams	RB	23	6'0" 213	1	Brigham Young	ACT
32	Tra Carson	RB	27	5'11" 228	2	Texas A&M	RES
33	Aaron Jones	RB	25	5'9" 208	1	Texas-El Paso	RES
36	Bronson Hill	RB	—	5'10" 215	3	Eastern Michigan	CUT
36	Akeem Judd	RB	—	5'11" 225	1	Mississippi	CUT
40	Joe Kerridge	RB	27	6'0" 245	2	Michigan	CUT
45	Danny Vitale	RB	26	6'1" 239	2	Northwestern	ACT
45	Ethan Wolf	TE	24	6'6" 252	R	Tennessee	DEV
46	Malcolm Johnson	RB	26	6'1" 231	3	Mississippi State	DEV
46	LeShun Daniels	RB	—	5'11" 225	1	Iowa	CUT
48	Ryan Smith	TE	—	6'4" 257	R	Miami (Ohio)	CUT
49	Kevin Rader	TE	23	6'4" 250	R	Youngstown State	CUT
80	Jimmy Graham	TE	33	6'7" 265	8	Miami	ACT
81	Geronimo Allison	WR	24	6'3" 202	2	Illinois	RES
82	J'Mon Moore	WR	23	6'3" 205	R	Missouri	ACT
83	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	WR	25	6'4" 207	R	South Florida	ACT
84	Lance Kendricks	TE	30	6'3" 250	7	Wisconsin	ACT
85	Robert Tonyan	TE	24	6'5" 220	1	Indiana State	ACT
85	Evan Baylis	TE	26	6'6" 245	1	Oregon	DEV
86	Emanuel Byrd	TE	—	6'2" 240	1	Marshall	CUT
89	Marcedes Lewis	TE	34	6'6" 280	12	UCLA	ACT

Offensive line16

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
55	Dillon Day	OL	—	6'4" 296	3	Mississippi State	CUT
56	Nico Siragusa	OL	24	6'4" 320	1	San Diego State	ACT
60	Austin Davis	OL	23	6'4" 301	R	Duke	CUT
61	Cole Madison	OL	25	6'5" 308	R	Washington State	NWT
62	Lucas Patrick	OL	25	6'3" 313	2	Duke	ACT
63	Corey Linsley	OL	27	6'3" 301	4	Ohio State	ACT
64	Justin McCray	OL	26	6'3" 317	4	Central Florida	ACT
65	Lane Taylor	OL	30	6'3" 324	5	Oklahoma State	ACT
67	Gerhard de Beer	OL	24	6'6" 312	R	Arizona	DEV
69	David Bakhtiari	OL	28	6'4" 310	5	Colorado	ACT
70	Alex Light	OL	22	6'5" 310	R	Richmond	ACT
74	Byron Bell	OL	29	6'5" 320	7	New Mexico	RES
75	Bryan Bulaga	OL	29	6'5" 314	8	Iowa	ACT
77	Adam Pankey	OL	24	6'5" 313	1	West Virginia	ACT
78	Jason Spriggs	OL	24	6'6" 301	2	Indiana	ACT
78	Anthony Coyle	OL	23	6'5" 300	R	Fordham	DEV

Defensive front31

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
32	Jason Thompson	LB	24	6'2" 208	1	Utah	DEV
42	Oren Burks	LB	23	6'3" 230	R	Vanderbilt	ACT
44	Antonio Morrison	LB	25	6'1" 241	2	Florida	ACT
46	Naashon Hughes	LB	—	6'3" 259	R	Texas	CUT
47	Jake Ryan	LB	26	6'2" 240	3	Michigan	RES
49	Brady Sheldon	LB	25	6'5" 220	1	Ferris State	DEV
49	James Hearns	DL	—	6'2" 265	R	Louisville	CUT
50	Blake Martinez	LB	24	6'2" 237	2	Stanford	ACT
51	Kyler Fackrell	LB	28	6'5" 245	2	Utah State	ACT
52	Clay Matthews	LB	32	6'3" 255	9	Southern California	ACT
53	Nick Perry	LB	28	6'3" 265	6	USC	RES
54	C.J. Johnson	LB	—	6'2" 226	R	East Texas Baptist	CUT
54	James Crawford	LB	25	6'2" 235	R	Illinois	ACT
56	Korey Toomer	LB	31	6'2" 235	6	Idaho	CUT
58	Greer Martini	LB	23	6'3" 232	R	Notre Dame	CUT
59	Marcus Porter	LB	—	6'0" 229	R	Fairmont State	CUT
67	Conor Sheehy	DL	—	6'4" 295	R	Wisconsin	CUT
73	Joey Mbu	DL	—	6'3" 313	3	Houston	CUT
76	Mike Daniels	DL	29	6'0" 310	6	Iowa	RES
90	Montravius Adams	DL	23	6'4" 304	1	Auburn	ACT
91	Kendall Donnerson	LB	22	6'3" 248	R	Southeast Missouri	ACT
93	Deon Simon	DL	28	6'4" 332	3	Northwestern State-Louisiana	DEV
93	Reggie Gilbert	LB	25	6'3" 261	2	Arizona	ACT
94	Dean Lowry	DL	24	6'6" 296	2	Northwestern	ACT
95	Tyler Lancaster	DL	25	6'3" 315	R	Northwestern	ACT
96	Muhammad Wilkerson	DL	30	6'4" 315	7	Temple	RES
97	Kenny Clark	DL	24	6'3" 314	2	UCLA	RES
98	Chris Odom	LB	—	6'4" 262	1	Arkansas State	CUT
98	Fadol Brown	DL	25	6'4" 282	1	Mississippi	ACT
99	James Looney	DL	23	6'2" 280	R	California	ACT
—	Eric Cotton	DL	23	6'6" 242	R	Stanford	DEV

Secondary18

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Kevin King	DB	23	6'3" 200	1	Washington	RES
21	Natrell Jamerson	DB	24	5'11" 198	R	Wisconsin	ACT
23	Jaire Alexander	DB	21	5'10" 189	R	Louisville	ACT
25	Marwin Evans	DB	25	5'11" 211	2	Utah State	CUT
25	Will Redmond	DB	26	5'11" 186	2	Mississippi State	RES
26	Bashaud Breeland	DB	26	5'11" 195	4	Clemson	ACT
27	Josh Jones	DB	25	6'2" 220	1	North Carolina State	ACT
28	Tony Brown	DB	23	6'0" 198	R	Alabama	ACT
29	Kentrell Brice	DB	24	5'11" 200	2	Louisiana Tech	ACT
31	Davon House	DB	29	6'0" 195	7	New Mexico State	RES
35	Eddie Pleasant	DB	31	5'10" 200	6	Oregon	ACT
36	Raven Greene	DB	23	5'11" 197	R	James Madison	RES
37	D.J. Killings	DB	23	6'0" 185	1	Central Florida	DEV
37	Josh Jackson	DB	22	6'0" 192	R	Iowa	ACT
38	Tramon Williams	DB	35	5'11" 192	12	Louisiana Tech	ACT
38	Tray Matthews	DB	25	6'1" 213	R	Auburn	DEV
39	Ibraheim Campbell	DB	26	5'11" 210	3	Northwestern	RES
44	Donatello Brown	DB	—	6'0" 190	1	Valdosta State	CUT

Specialists5

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Mason Crosby	K	35	6'1" 207	11	Colorado	ACT
6	J.K. Scott	P	24	6'5" 204	R	Alabama	ACT
10	Drew Kaser	P	25	6'2" 206	2	Texas A&M	CUT
43	Hunter Bradley	LS	24	6'3" 240	R	Mississippi State	ACT
57	Zach Triner	LS	27	6'2" 247	2	Assumption	CUT

Schedule

16 games

Green Bay Packers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Bears	W 24-23	-6.5	-0.035
2	vs Vikings	T 29-29	+2	+0.027
3	@ Commanders	L 17-31	-2.5	-0.105
4	vs Bills	W 22-0	-8.5	-0.040
5	@ Lions	L 23-31	+1	+0.199
6	vs 49ers	W 33-30	-9	+0.124
8	@ Rams	L 27-29	+7.5	+0.146
9	@ Patriots	L 17-31	+5	+0.043
10	vs Dolphins	W 31-12	-13	+0.262
11	@ Seahawks	L 24-27	+3	+0.161
12	@ Vikings	L 17-24	+4	-0.098
13	vs Cardinals	L 17-20	-13.5	+0.017
14	vs Falcons	W 34-20	-4	+0.134
15	@ Bears	L 17-24	+6	-0.070
16	@ Jets	W 44-38	-3	+0.347
17	vs Lions	L 0-31	-7.5	-0.363