AFC South · 2003

Houston Texans

Record

5-11

Net EPA

-0.152est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play-0.099
  • Success rate38.7%
  • EPA / dropback-0.096
  • EPA / rush-0.102
  • Explosive rate9.0%
  • Third-down rate30.8%
  • Red-zone TD rate65.8%
  • Points / drive1.15
  • Turnover rate2.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed+0.041
  • Success rate allowed43.4%
  • EPA / dropback allowed+0.108
  • EPA / rush allowed-0.033
  • Explosive rate allowed10.8%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)3.3%
  • Sack rate3.3%
  • Points / drive allowed1.84
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.099 · 26th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.041 · 88th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-7

-0.8 vs line

Home

6-2

Away

3-5

As favorite

1-0

As dog

8-7

O/U

9-7

+0.3 vs total

Roster

Roster

No roster published for 2003

Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.

Schedule

16 games

Houston Texans schedule
WkOpponentResult
1@ DolphinsW 21-20
2@ SaintsL 10-31
3vs ChiefsL 14-42
4vs JaguarsW 24-20
6@ TitansL 17-38
7vs JetsL 14-19
8@ ColtsL 21-30
9vs PanthersW 14-10
10@ BengalsL 27-34
11@ BillsW 12-10
12vs PatriotsL 20-23
13vs FalconsW 17-13
14@ JaguarsL 0-27
15@ BuccaneersL 3-16
16vs TitansL 24-27
17vs ColtsL 17-20