AFC South · 2007
Houston Texans
Record
8-8
Net EPA
-0.096est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.015
- Success rate45.4%
- EPA / dropback+0.012
- EPA / rush-0.052
- Explosive rate7.5%
- CPOE+3.67
- Third-down rate44.5%
- Red-zone TD rate65.4%
- Points / drive1.85
- Turnover rate3.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.040
- Success rate allowed46.7%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.094
- EPA / rush allowed-0.041
- Explosive rate allowed8.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)12.7%
- Sack rate5.1%
- Points / drive allowed2.00
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.015 · 53th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.040 · 88th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
+1.6 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
2-6
As favorite
3-3
As dog
5-5
O/U
9-6-1
+5.2 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2007
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chiefs | W 20-3 | -3 | -0.066 |
| 2 | @ Panthers | W 34-21 | +6.5 | +0.082 |
| 3 | vs Colts | L 24-30 | +6.5 | -0.092 |
| 4 | @ Falcons | L 16-26 | -2.5 | -0.035 |
| 5 | vs Dolphins | W 22-19 | -4.5 | -0.059 |
| 6 | @ Jaguars | L 17-37 | +6.5 | -0.104 |
| 7 | vs Titans | L 36-38 | -2 | -0.189 |
| 8 | @ Chargers | L 10-35 | +10 | -0.196 |
| 9 | @ Raiders | W 24-17 | +3 | +0.322 |
| 11 | vs Saints | W 23-10 | -1 | -0.041 |
| 12 | @ Browns | L 17-27 | +3 | -0.134 |
| 13 | @ Titans | L 20-28 | +3.5 | +0.049 |
| 14 | vs Buccaneers | W 28-14 | +3 | -0.047 |
| 15 | vs Broncos | W 31-13 | +2.5 | +0.230 |
| 16 | @ Colts | L 15-38 | +6.5 | -0.042 |
| 17 | vs Jaguars | W 42-28 | -7 | +0.224 |

